Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (5/7/12/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/12/3/10)-(5/7/12/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/12/3/10)-(5/7/12/3/10)-(5/7/12/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/12/3/10)-(1/2/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/12/3/10)-(1/2/8/3)-(3/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CNL-2   WIN (1/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/3)-(1/2/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/3)-(1/2/7/8/3)-(1/2/7/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/8/3)-(3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8/3)-(3/4)-(2/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CNL-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/9/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CNL-4   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(2/9/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(2/9/6/1)-(8/9/4/2/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-5   WIN (2/9/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/1)-(2/9/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/1)-(2/9/6/1)-(2/9/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/6/1)-(8/9/4/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/9/6/1)-(8/9/4/2/10)-(5/1/3/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-6   WIN (8/9/4/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/4/2/10)-(8/9/4/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/4/2/10)-(8/9/4/2/10)-(8/9/4/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/4/2/10)-(5/1/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/9/4/2/10)-(5/1/3/2)-(7/8/4/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-7   WIN (5/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/2)-(7/8/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/2)-(7/8/4/5)-(4/8/2/3/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-8   WIN (7/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/4/5)-(4/8/2/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CNL-9   WIN (4/8/2/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/3/7)-(4/8/2/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/3/7)-(4/8/2/3/7)-(4/8/2/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/23/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORQUIDEA REAL Jul25 Jun26 May30 May02 Mar28 (rodriguez m)LOPEZ E 119 30.00    
SCR  RANCHO VISTA Jan15 Dec13 Nov09 Sep29 Sep01 (braddy d)SANCHEZ J 119 5.00    
3  MOTOWN OMI Mar01 Dec14       (yates michael)MORENO ANGEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAGIC MARK Aug02 Jul12 Jul27     (munoz ca)GALLARDO A 119 8.00    
5  NAVAL HOSPITAL Aug02 Jul04 Jun20 May17 Apr26 (casse mark)ASHTON GAVIN 119 3.00 49% 1.00    
6  GALENE Jul17 Jun26 Nov04 Oct09   (wojczynski justin)MURGIA A 119 6.00    
7  DON'T BLINK Jul12 Mar03 Feb06 Dec28   (figgins ollie)KARAMANOS A 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  SILVER FLAME Dec05         (gardea abraham)ROSADO JOHAN 119 15.00    
9  GOTTA BE DA SHOES Jun29         (dilodovico )HAMILTON WESTON 119 30.00    
10  SONG AND A BREEZE Aug15 Jul25 Jul06 May08 Mar13 (mcgoey monica)CENTENO E 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  TEA ROSE Jun29 Jun08 May15 Sep07 Jun22 (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 15.00    
12  INNOCENT NYGHT Aug02 Jul12 Jun15 May30 May11 (cooney s)RUIZ JORGE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-2   08/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATHENIX Jul26         (campbell m)SANCHEZ J 119 2.50 54% 0.80    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CONTINGENCY PLAN by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  SUDDEN SQUALL         (west ethan)HUSBANDS J 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by VOLATILE out of SKY GESTURE by TIZNOW)
3  GELINOTTE         (ochoa gerard)RUIZ JORGE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ALWAYS TROUBLE by BERNARDINI)
4  P. O. S. H. POSH         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 12.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of SWANKY JAS by FLAT OUT)
5  VELOCITY GIRL Jul31         (meyers madison)ROSADO JOHAN 119 15.00    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of CONSCRIPTION by WAR FRONT)
6  SNOWBOARDER         (allen a )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 20.00    
  (by FROSTED out of DETERMIN THIS by DEHERE)
7  C'MON EILEEN         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.50 ★    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of WIDE OPEN by FLAT OUT)
8  MUSICAL POWER Aug06 Jul26 Jul12     (munoz carlos)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of POWDER DAY by FROSTED (GB))
9  LIGHT DE NIGHT         (duarte jorge )KARAMANOS A 119 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of GREEK SISTER by TAPIT)
 
CNL-3   08/23/2025 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Dolley Madison Purse ($125K) 2 F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARINA ANNA Aug06 Jul17       (kingsley archi)ASHTON GAVIN 120 5.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of JUNGLE DIAMOND by JUMP START)
SCR  UNION FOX         (rose orlando)RUIZ JORGE 118 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SMART POLICY by SMART STRIKE)
3  JUST PHILTORED Aug02 May23       (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 1.20 38% 1.60    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SLOW AND STEADY by MALIBU MOON)
4  SLEWPERSTITUS Aug02 Jul09       (bailes rober)TORREALBA JG 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SLEW OF BULLETS by SLEW CITY SLEW)
5  HARK THEANGELSSING Jul19         (trombett)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 4.00 ★    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of QUESTIONOFTHEDAY by THE FACTOR)
SCR  BALLYKEEFE Aug06         (boniface kevi)KARAMANOS A 118 50.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of OUR GIN MILL by GO FOR GIN)
7  COURAGEOUS DIANE Aug14 Aug06 Jul19     (vazquez jose )TREJOS JOSEPH 118 50.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of COURAGEOUS JULIE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
CNL-4   08/23/2025 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Jamestown Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SLEWPERSTITUS Aug02 Jul09       (bailes rober)TORREALBA JG 117 1.20    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SLEW OF BULLETS by SLEW CITY SLEW)
2  DOUBTING THOMAS Jul30         (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of ALLWEWANTFORXMAS by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  RANDY SAID SO Aug20         (williams gary)KARAMANOS A 118 20.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of SPRING RUN by AFLEET ALEX)
4  STATE CONCEAL Aug02 Jul10       (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SILVER STATE out of CALYPSA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  SOMETIME Jul25         (simms mark)SANCHEZ J 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of DISCATSONTHESQUARE by SQUARE EDDIE)
6  KARATE ISLAND Jul30         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.50    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of STOLEN SUNDAY by HAT TRICK)
7  BIRDY WHISPER Jul25         (munoz carlos)ROSADO JOHAN 118 30.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MURMUR by ARCH)
SCR  FEISTY NOTION Jul30         (williams)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MY LITTLE JOSIE by OUTFLANKER)
 
CNL-5   08/23/2025 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOLS Jul25 Jul11 Jun13     (munoz carlos)ROSADO JOHAN 119 10.00 6% 14.70    
2  UNDERTAKER Aug02         (ramos ben)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 4.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  COCO NO LOCO Aug02 Jul18       (galligan gera)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 20.00    
4  COLT FORTY SEVEN Aug02 Jun16       (desormeaux k)ASHTON GAVIN 119 8.00    
5  ROCKY LAGOON Aug02         (lightner m)HUSBANDS J 119 30.00    
6  MORE THAN CUTE Aug02 Jul11 Jun14 May15   (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 12.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  PENDAR Jul30         (meyers madi)HAMILTON WESTON 119 12.00    
8  CHANCE ON ME Aug08         (lightner )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 15.00    
9  ORIGINAL SCORE Jul30         (delacour )CARRASCO R 119 2.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  GOSH SAKES Jul16         (danner k)GALLARDO A 119 10.00    
11  NO MORE CALLS Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 Jun07   (boniface kevi)KARAMANOS A 119 4.50    
 
CNL-6   08/23/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGALO PERFETTO Jul31 Jun28 Jun07 Apr26   (meyers madison)ROSADO JOHAN 118 12.00    
2  HYTECK PRINCE Aug16 Jul26 Jun14 Apr26 Nov09 (lawrence ja)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  TYSON'S DELIVERY Aug01 Jun28 Jun06 May09 Apr27 (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 118 15.00    
4  TWAIN (IRE) Jul31 Jun14 May17 Apr19   (meyers madi)HAMILTON WESTON 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
5  HEAVEN'S CHAMPION Aug15 Jul16 Jun07 Apr12   (kelly blake)CENTENO E 118 15.00    
6  NOTHINGBUTBLUESKY Jul31 Jun28 May26 Mar14   (rubley k)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 6.00    
7  WHENEVERUREMEMBER Jul25 Jul11 May23 Aug31 Aug13 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 8.00    
8  JACK'S LEGEND Jul31 Jun27 Nov18 Oct14 Aug31 (cox m)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
9  COVERT KAT Aug06 Jul17 Jun04 Nov08 Oct18 (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
10  T REX Jul30 Jun26 Oct19 Sep07 Aug16 (rogers rona)INIRIO J 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-7   08/23/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESTINATION Jul11 Apr06 Feb23 Feb03 Dec29 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 4.00 13% 6.80    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CAUGHT DREAM'N by BLAME)
2  EMOJI Jul20 May19 Apr16 Mar16   (oliver victori)ASHTON GAVIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SARCASTIC by SMART ALEC)
3  HIGH SHOT Feb22 Jan31 Dec19 Nov23 Oct23 (simms mark)HUSBANDS J 124 2.50 12% 7.30    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of SMART SHOT by SKIPSHOT)
4  DONUT DALI Jul10         (lauer michael)ROSADO JOHAN 119 50.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of HELLO DALI by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
5  SPORTING LADY Jul30 Jul09 May30 May09 Aug29 (brion keri)SANCHEZ J 119 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SECURELY by UNCLE MO)
6  MUN MUN CAN RUN Jul12 Sep13 Aug13     (cibelli )GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SWEET BERNARDINI by BERNARDINI)
7  SUNNY RAY (IRE)         (beckman whi)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 5.00    
  (by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT out of RAY OF SUNSHINE by GOLDEN YEARS)
8  RUBY STREET         (stidham m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MARIA ROSA by WAR FRONT)
 
CNL-8   08/23/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JHIRSCH Aug03 Jul06 Oct11 Sep14 Aug02 (george lair)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 5.00    
2  SUMMER VIBES Jul26 Jun14 Apr19 Mar15 Feb08 (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00    
3  ROUNDTOP Jul11 Jun04 Feb22 Feb01 Oct09 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.00    
4  CARCANO Jul20 Jun30 May31 Apr30 Apr10 (oliver vic)SANCHEZ J 123 4.50 9% 10.70    
5  SOUPER CRUNCHY Jun27 Jun07 Mar26 Feb09 Apr26 (trombett)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DETERRENT Aug14 Jun28       (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 118 10.00    
7  FERAL'S JOY Jul30 Jul11 Jun29 Jun09 Sep09 (duarte jorge )KARAMANOS A 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
8  TRANSACTIONAL GUY Jul11 Jun08       (gallegos a)CENTENO E 118 6.00 17% 4.80    
 
CNL-9   08/23/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEN WHAT Jul19 May08 Mar22 Feb08   (oliver vic)SANCHEZ J 118 6.00    
2  BLACK EMPIRE Jul26 Jun22 May25 Apr18 Oct20 (figgins o)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 9% 9.60    
3  SALMING Jul31 Nov22 Oct14     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 5.00 8% 11.20    
4  MESSAGE OF HOPE (IRE) Jul20 Feb18 Jan21 Oct13   (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
5  JUST BERNIE Jun06 May04       (west w)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00    
SCR  TASKER Jun14 Apr27 Jan28     (meyers madison)ROSADO JOHAN 124 20.00    
7  GRAND KINGDOM Aug13 Jul26 Dec21 Dec04 Nov14 (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  HARBE Jul20 Jun18 May03 Mar01 Feb08 (crichton)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  KITTY'S SON Jul26 Jun28 Jun07 May04 Apr26 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 20.00    
10  PHIL'S PRINCE Aug13         (meyers madi)HAMILTON WESTON 118 20.00    
11  KAUAI BREEZE Jul26 Sep19 May08     (correas ignac)CHAVEZ ANDRES 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.