Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - July 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(5/6/3)-(5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(5/3)-(2/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(2/5/4)-(2/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(2/4/6)-(5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(5/4)-(1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(1/3)-(5/7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGNELLO'S DREAM Jun27 Jun13 May21 Jan18 Jan03 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
2  AUGER Jun25 May20 May06 Apr11 Mar23 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 4.00 ★    
3  AYE AYE SIR Jul02 Jun18 Apr30 Nov11 Oct22 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50    
4  DON'T STOP Jun18 May28 May06 Apr10 Apr01 (galloway k)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00    
5  HOLY SAINT Jun26 May06 Mar26 Feb12 Feb03 (urieta johanna)ROSENDO J 123 6.00 13% 6.50    
6  STATESBORO Jul02 Nov11 Sep11 Sep01 Aug13 (winters miche)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  P H FACTOR Jun18 Jun02 May22 May05 Apr22 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
TDN-2   07/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KADESH Jun02 May08 Apr11 Mar26 Mar06 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
SCR  TATE Jun17 May20 Apr28 Nov18 Oct20 (sanders me)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 5.00    
3  STOMPING MOON Jun25 May29 May13 Apr30 Apr11 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LEAVENWORTH Jun18 Jan06 Dec19 Nov04 Oct01 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
5  REAL NAUGHTY May10 Apr21 Mar27 Mar04 Feb11 (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  TIME THE AVENGER Jun25 Jun12 May20 Apr30 Apr01 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
7  DR JACK FLYER Jun17 Jun02 May08 Apr11 Mar26 (reed r)STOKES J 119 4.00    
 
TDN-3   07/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO JOCELYN GO Jun09 May02 Feb28 Jan19 Dec13 (londono om)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 3.00    
2  MY BEST DAY EVER Jun04 May14 Apr27 Nov05 Oct17 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 1.80    
3  CLASSY LIL BETTY Jun04 May04 Apr23 Apr04 Mar02 (lo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ATHENA'S GHOST Jun26 Jun09 Apr28 Mar31 Mar17 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 123 6.00    
5  TAYYARA Jun24 Apr28 Mar21 Aug19 Jul25 (lopez enr)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 2.00 43% 1.40    
 
TDN-4   07/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YIPPEE KI YAY May21 May05 Sep26 Aug30 Aug20 (radosevich jeff)AVILES YAN 121 5.00    
2  LIBERATE Jun16 May28 Mar30 Mar03 Feb10 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.60 54% 0.80    
3  MO DONT NO Jun17 May28 May14 Apr30 Oct03 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 2.50    
4  INTO GOLD Jun25 May22 May03 Mar31 Mar19 (szczepans)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00 11% 7.80    
5  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Jun17 May22 May07 Mar03 Feb10 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00 13% 7.00    
6  HITE Jun24 Jun16 May12 Apr29 Mar30 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   07/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE MAN Jun25 Jun11 May22 Apr12 Apr01 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 123 4.00    
2  FINISTERE Jun25 Jun11 May22 Mar25 Mar07 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 1.60 66% 0.50    
3  MACHO SOLO Jun10         (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 1.80    
4  TEARAWAY TOM Jun11 May22 Apr12 Mar19 Feb19 (johnson l)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  BRAVADEER Jun03 Oct17 Oct01 Sep17 Aug12 (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
6  ISLAND BOSS Jun25 Jun10 Apr24     (canegata james)JIMENEZ S 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   07/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WISCONSIN GAL Jun07 May10 Apr17 Mar30 Feb24 (mcentee paul)AVILES YAN 115 2.00    
2  BLUE DAZZLER Jun21 Jun09 May13 Apr26 Mar23 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 117 3.00    
3  PRINCESS OF OMAHA May14 Nov21 Nov13 Oct10 Sep22 (mcentee paul)WHITACRE B 115 4.00    
4  HONDURAS PASSION Jun21 Jun02 May13 Apr25 Mar28 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 8.00 13% 6.90    
5  SHE'S SO SEXY Jun21 Jun02 May12 Jan02 Dec12 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 12.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  VICKI ROSE Jun11 Apr25 Mar06 Jan18 Apr18 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
 
TDN-7   07/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOREAU May05 Mar13 Feb28 Jan23 Nov19 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.00 54% 0.90    
2  ATKINS Jun26 Jun11 May03 Mar26 Mar05 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
3  TIME TO SHOOT Jun12 May26 Apr30 Nov13 Oct28 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  CHANNEL FURY May18 Apr30 Oct02 Aug20 Aug01 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 2.50    
5  TIMESATAPPIN Jun23 May27 May05 Apr05 Mar05 (loudin-smith lori)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
6  CAPO LUCA Jun21 Jun11 May27 May06 Apr19 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 ★    
 
TDN-8   07/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COOL COUPLE Jun23 May13 Apr22 Apr05 Mar19 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00    
2  CALL IT A NIGHT Jun23 Mar24 Mar05 Feb08 Dec28 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 3.50    
3  PICARO Jun23 Jun10 May20 Oct30 Sep30 (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 117 3.00    
4  ACTION MAN Jun23 Jun03 May03 Apr22 Apr05 (dacosta )FERNANDEZ R 115 15.00    
5  SHARON'S PRINCE Jun25 May27 Jan29 Jan08 Dec21 (kintz matthew)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
6  RERUN Jun23 Jun03 May13 Apr24 Apr13 (puhl kim)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  KONTEEKEE Jun23 May13 Apr25 Mar28 Feb17 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 19% 4.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.