Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - May 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/8)-(2/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/8)-(2/1/4/8)-(2/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/8)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/8)-(4/5/2)-(6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(6/4/5)-(3/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(3/4/1)-(4/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(4/6/5)-(4/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(4/1/2)-(5/3/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(5/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(5/3/2/6)-(9/4/2/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/6)-(9/4/2/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TDN-8   WIN (9/4/2/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/2/5/6)-(9/4/2/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/2/5/6)-(9/4/2/5/6)-(9/4/2/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORT GRANDE Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 Feb11 Jan27 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
2  WEEKEND RETREAT Apr10 Feb26 Feb11 Jan28 Oct07 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 29% 2.50    
3  SOL OF VAQUERO Apr30 Apr10 Mar13 Dec10 Nov11 (campbell anthony )JIMENEZ S 119 20.00    
4  MOONSHINE JOE Apr30 Apr10 Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 (r)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 2.50 19% 4.20    
5  SEEKING FREEDOM Apr30 Apr10 Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 6.00    
6  WHY KENNY WHY Apr30 Mar27 Feb26 Feb08 Jan27 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
7  WHO CAN'T WAIT Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 Feb11 Jan28 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
8  MY HOMBRE Apr30 Apr05 Mar19 Mar04 Feb08 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   05/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCHO'S SECRET Apr28 Apr01 Dec06 Nov13 Oct30 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50    
2  WIZ THE BOMB Apr28 Apr11 Apr01 Mar21 Feb13 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 115 8.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  MORNING HOLIDAY Mar15 Feb26 Jan25 Dec09 Oct26 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
4  SAND WEDGE Apr28 Apr08 Mar25 Mar13 Feb28 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
5  THEHILLONWOODSIDE Apr28 Apr11 Mar12 Feb14 Jan04 (trevino st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 12.00 23% 3.40    
6  STEAL THE DEAL Apr24 Feb12 Jan25 Jan06 Dec16 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
SCR  JAYCE AND LIAM Mar31 Mar03 Feb21 Feb04 Dec12 (englehart jeffre)RIVERA R 119 1.80    
 
TDN-3   05/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRICELESS PICTURE May08 Apr09 Mar10 Nov12 Oct03 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
2  SPICE ICE Apr29 Apr09 Mar24 Mar05 Feb10 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50    
3  GAIL'S DANCER Apr09 Feb28 Feb10 Jan15 Dec16 (johnson gary)TAVARES JAVIER 119 15.00    
4  TALE OF THE LYON May03 Mar24 Mar10 Feb05 Jan13 (poole m)AVILES YAN 121 2.00 34% 2.00    
5  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Apr28 Feb10 Jan13 Nov12 Oct29 (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  VILLAGE CAT Apr22 Apr09 Mar10 Feb28 Feb10 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 1.60 40% 1.50    
 
TDN-4   05/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEARLINTHEROUGH Apr29 Apr07 Feb28 Feb12 Jan24 (genovese rich)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  TIMEISGOLDEN Apr10 Mar20 Feb28 Feb06 Nov29 (stansbury julie)NEGRON LUIS 119 1.80    
3  RIGHT TRAPPE Apr22 Apr12 Mar30 Mar16 Jan31 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
4  CALENDULA Apr29 Apr06 Mar12 Feb15 Feb05 (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 20% 3.90    
5  HEART LIGHT Apr02 Mar11 Feb27 Feb12 Jan30 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
6  LIVING IN STYLE Apr12 Mar31 Mar19 Mar05 Jan27 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-5   05/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOTS OF SASS May07 Oct19 Oct02 Sep17 Feb19 (juarez-mendoz)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.50    
2  HALO EFFECT May06 Dec09 Nov20 Oct19 Sep30 (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 15.00    
SCR  IAMAMASON May06 Apr09 Mar18 Feb05 Oct08 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.00    
4  DRILL BLITZ Apr28 Apr07 Mar20 Feb28 Feb05 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 117 1.80 42% 1.40    
5  MISS SIX Apr09 Mar06 Feb27 Feb05 Jan24 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOST ADORABLE Apr28 Apr09 Mar18 Feb06 Jan23 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 33% 2.10    
 
TDN-6   05/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOGIE BOOGEE Apr23 Mar30 Mar17 Feb08 Jan23 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 27% 2.70    
2  CATABOUT Apr29 Nov12 Oct07 Sep02 Aug07 (rettele rich)TAVARES JAVIER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS Apr29 Sep09 Jul25 Jun25 Jun11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
4  EXPRESS FASHION Jan07 Dec18 Dec03 Nov14 Oct29 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 1.80 33% 2.00    
5  TWISTED JUSTICE May07 Feb12 Jan18 Dec28 Nov14 (wolochuk d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00    
6  DOLCE MARIE Apr24 Dec16 Nov27 Nov14 Oct26 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-7   05/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL DANDI Apr08 Feb08 Jan18 Dec18 Nov30 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 10.00    
2  EXPRESS CRUISER May06 Apr06 Mar21 Feb28 Jan31 (puhl kim)STOKES J 119 2.50 9% 10.70    
3  BRIO Apr22 Mar27 Mar14 Mar01 Feb08 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 123 4.00 11% 7.80    
4  POLSTER May01 Apr08 Mar24 Mar05 Feb08 (brown h)AVILES YAN 121 6.00    
5  GAMBOLING GHOST May06 Apr08 Mar22 Mar05 Feb12 (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 46% 1.20    
6  SECRET TROUBLE May06 Jan23 Jan06 Nov22 Oct23 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  COASTERTOTHEMOON May06 Apr23 Mar19 Feb19 Jan17 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 115 10.00    
8  CARAMBASO Apr20 Apr03 Mar08 Feb02 Jan09 (lo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.00    
 
TDN-8   05/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAKSU Feb26 Feb05 Jul24     (bailey ricar)TAVARES JAVIER 119 15.00    
2  GATHA'S SONG Nov25 Oct29 Oct07     (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 7% 13.70    
3  ELECTRIC MELODY Dec27 Oct26       (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 115 8.00    
4  TOASTMASTER Apr30 Apr12 Oct26 Aug10 Jul19 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 6.00 26% 2.90    
5  LA ARTISTA Apr30 Apr12 Aug10 Jul19 Jun26 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXALTADA Apr30 Oct26 Oct09     (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  J. P INDY Apr23 Apr11 Mar24 Jan25 Dec05 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 10.00    
8  FUNNYSTASTIC Apr30 Apr12 Mar24 Oct26 Oct09 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 115 20.00    
9  CREDIT CHECK Apr30 Dec10 Nov26     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.00 39% 1.60    
10  INSTIGATION Aug07 Jul22 Jul04 Jun17   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.