Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(2/6)-(1/2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(1/2/5)-(1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(1/5)-(2/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(4/2/5)-(5/3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(5/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEBRIDES Apr29 Apr07 Mar10 Jan27 Dec27 (norris stephan)PAULY SUMMER 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  BEAUTIFUL TEMPLE Apr24 Nov05 Oct10 Sep18 Aug22 (labra rog)CORREA L 123 3.50    
SCR  KACHOW Jan18 Dec12 Oct12 Sep25 Sep06 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 123 4.00    
4  CAMPAIGN PROMISES May03 Mar12 Dec11 Nov02 Sep14 (moger jr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.00    
5  THIRSTY ACCOUNTANT Mar29 Mar15 Feb06 Jan16 Dec26 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 1.80 35% 1.80    
 
BTP-2   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL CORDOBES (IRE) May09 Apr24 Apr12 Mar24 Mar07 (calleja gust)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 4.00    
2  MISTER ROSSO May09 Apr24 Apr05 Mar22 Mar01 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
3  MITHRIDATES May08 Apr04 Mar07 Jan22 Dec22 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 123 4.50 ★    
4  MIGHTY MO May09 Apr30 Apr05 Mar15 Feb06 (evans mic)CORREA L 119 2.00    
5  HEAVY HITTER May08 Apr13 Mar28 Mar07 May27 (hester hale)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 3.00 12% 7.40    
 
BTP-3   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JANUARY JUBILEE May03 Mar12 Feb05 Jan15 Dec26 (sherman justin)JURADO EDDIE 123 4.00    
2  STORM CHARGING May03 Apr22 Mar27 Mar08 Feb08 (hester hale)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  BO RUNKLE Feb23 Dec19 Nov29 Nov14 Oct23 (moreno tit)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 6.00    
4  TERPEYE Mar12 Feb23 Jan03 Dec20 Nov29 (moreno ti)CORREA L 123 3.50    
SCR  GUNGAGUNGAGALUNGA Mar15 Feb05 Mar16 Feb16 May07 (moger jr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.50    
6  SKYS IMAGE May05 Apr20 Dec03 Nov26 Nov13 (donjuan sergio)PAULY SUMMER 118 5.00 24% 3.20    
 
BTP-4   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ULTIMA GRACE Apr06 Mar06 Sep08 Apr18   (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 1.60 27% 2.80    
2  TIMBAVATI Apr25 Mar15 Feb03 Dec21 Jul07 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.00 24% 3.10    
3  SPARE A DIME May03 Jun21 Jun05 May16 Apr25 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 3.50    
4  VERY WEALTHY May03 Apr16 Mar29 Mar07 Feb13 (lucas wayne)MCKEE J 123 4.50    
5  SMART WITH HEART Apr23 Mar20 Jan02 Dec13 Nov15 (bahe)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 5.00 13% 6.90    
 
BTP-5   05/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING OF KENTUCKY May05 Apr11 Jan24 Dec19 Oct30 (brownfield claude)MCKEE J 123 1.80 41% 1.50    
2  EE YAH Apr18 Apr05 Mar15 Mar08 Feb07 (ocasio osvaldo)JURADO EDDIE 123 8.00    
SCR  GAVEL Apr27 Apr06 Feb16 Jan30 Dec12 (rivelli larry)PAULY SUMMER 118 3.00    
SCR  LAST MINUTE Jul14 Sep03       (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 123 5.00    
5  JABRAN May03 Apr25 Apr16 Mar23 Mar01 (spanabel kell)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 5.00 35% 1.90    
6  LILTONYTWOPHONES May05 Apr09 Mar06 Feb07 Jan29 (moreno tit)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 3.50    
 
BTP-6   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA CRUELLA Apr18 Mar20 Feb13 Jan16 Dec27 (bahe)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 3.00    
2  LEISUREWEAR (IRE) Nov15 Aug03 Jun09 Apr26 Apr04 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
3  FACTISIMFLASHY May03 Nov14 Oct09 Sep20 Sep07 (antonuik je)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  CENTENARY Feb13 Jan02 Aug03 Jul24 Jun22 (corrigan )CORREA L 122 4.50    
5  SENSE OF PEARL May03 Apr18 Mar29 Mar14 Jan01 (decker ann)HERNANDEZ N 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
BTP-7   05/17/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINT DRIVEN Mar26 Mar15 Dec20 Oct24 Sep25 (rider m)MOJICA JR 123 4.00    
2  TIZ SWEET EMOTION May03 Mar21 Jan29 Dec07 Nov13 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 3.50 9% 9.90    
3  WHY LOOKY HERE Apr23 Nov15 Oct25 Aug18 Apr05 (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 123 8.00    
4  BURNING PINE Apr12 Apr26       (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 1.60 65% 0.50    
SCR  DECREE Mar12 Feb12 Jan24 Oct10   (riley barbara)OUZTS W 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  SWEET STAR May05 Apr09 Feb28 Jan31 Jan16 (bahe)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 5.00    
 
BTP-8   05/17/2025 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEVEL Apr13 Mar28       (morey william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of IMPULSIVE by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
2  A KISS BECAUSE Mar07         (estvanko)RODRIGUEZ A 125 8.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of KISSIN RENE by KISSIN KRIS)
3  FUN LOVING Feb14 Jan03 Dec05 Oct23 Sep13 (oliver victor)LEBRON VICTOR 125 4.00 9% 9.90    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FRIVOLOUS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
4  DAME STRAIGHT May03 Mar17 Jan26 Aug16 Jul26 (sturgeon )CORREA L 125 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of ISSUED by U S RANGER)
5  VICTORIOUS NYQUIST May03 Apr09 Oct10 Aug19 Jul29 (caramori caio)MURGIA A 125 3.00 58% 0.70    
  (by NYQUIST out of VICTORIOUS AMI by VICTORY GALLOP)
6  DON'T WORRY May03 Mar12 Jan31 Nov06 Oct11 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 5.00 7% 12.90    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of OVER THINKING by OVERANALYZE)
SCR  QUEENOFTHEUNIVERSE Mar28 Nov09       (danner kelsey)ELLIOTT JANE 125 2.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOVE TRAIN by FULL PARTNER)
8  TUENDA May05 Mar12 Feb21 Jan29 Jan02 (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 6.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of TUSTARTA by TREMPOLINO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.