Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - May 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(1/2)-(3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(3/5)-(5/7) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(5/7)-(3/6/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-5   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(1/4/3)-(8/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-7   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(8/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/2)-(8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROYAL ICING Mar29 Mar08 Jan30 Jan18 Dec28 (lauer mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 125 6.00    
2  MCVICKER Mar06 Oct13 Sep19 Aug29 Jul07 (livers cha)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 3.00    
3  JARETH Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Jan29 Oct03 (smith larry)PAULY SUMMER 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
4  HIJACK THE PARTY May04 Mar28 Mar06 Feb01 Jan04 (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 125 3.50    
5  HUNTERTOWN Apr15 Mar15 Feb12 Jan30 Dec07 (hernandez)CORREA L 125 1.60 40% 1.50    
 
BTP-2   05/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OBI KENOBI Apr22 Apr03 Mar03 Feb13 Nov13 (barker scott )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.00    
2  GUESS AGAIN Mar13 Feb26 Feb11 Jan27 Jan09 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50 47% 1.10    
3  COASTLAND May03 Aug10 Jul19 Jun26   (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 1.80 27% 2.80    
4  HE IS DYNAMIC May09 Apr10 Mar26 Mar12 Feb08 (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  MR. REDLEGS Oct19 Sep22 Jul22 Jun30 Jun16 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 4.50    
 
BTP-3   05/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE TAMMINATOR         (cowans william)COLON H 121 5.00 25% 2.90    
2  COOLNESS         (drury thomas )JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.00 24% 3.10    
3  WRECK IT RUBY Apr16 Dec06 Nov24 Nov01 Oct21 (brownfield )JIMENEZ J 125 3.00    
4  UPSCUTTLED Apr16 Feb28 Feb05 Dec20   (estvanko richard)HESS SARA 119 4.50    
5  DREAMING OF NANA Apr25 Apr02 Mar23     (reed r)MCKEE J 121 3.50 ★    
 
BTP-4   05/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANDRINHA LOVE May03 Apr16 Mar29 Mar14 Feb27 (decker anna)MCKEE J 123 3.50    
2  BEL ARIA Mar12 Feb05 Jul05 Apr27 Mar29 (townley steve)PAULY SUMMER 118 3.00 ★    
3  BEACH KITTEN Apr30 Feb05 Jan02 Dec04 Nov05 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 1.60 62% 0.60    
4  MS. THE LAW Apr24 Mar29 Mar14 Jan15 Dec26 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.00    
5  BANNED FROM MIDWAY May05 Apr30 Apr03 Mar27 Mar08 (caramori )CORREA L 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-5   05/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HONEY GIRL RUBIA May09 Apr16 Oct07 Sep26 Sep04 (gonzalez )CORREA L 121 8.00    
SCR  GUNNADIVA Apr28 Mar25 Feb27 Feb13 Jan29 (vlaun manuel)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00    
3  ENDLESS FASHION Apr23 Mar26 Mar09 Feb16 Feb05 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 121 4.00    
4  ANTHONY'S SPICE Apr16 Mar08 Feb14 Jan23 Aug08 (moger jr)PAULY SUMMER 116 2.50    
5  RABBLE May03 Feb26 Feb12 Jan24 May25 (caramori caio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  KATE WINS Apr28 Mar18 Mar01 Feb12 Jan31 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 121 8.00    
7  FORTUNE DREAMS Mar16 Mar09 Feb19 Feb07 Jan19 (spanabel )SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-6   05/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLYNE BEACH Apr15 Mar27 Mar06 Feb05 Dec11 (nocero ca)CORREA L 123 3.50    
2  JACKSON'S ROAR Apr30 Mar09 Jan05 Nov07 Oct05 (hiles a)MCKEE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  KARMA DIRECTOR May08 Mar01 Feb06 Jan23 Dec28 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 1.40 40% 1.50    
4  ITZCOATL May05 Apr15 Mar06 Feb13 Jan16 (radosevich sh)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.00    
SCR  PROBALE TEN Feb28 Feb06 Dec27 Dec14 Nov20 (chap)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 4.50    
6  LONG SHORTS Sep19 Aug02       (cowans william)COLON H 119 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
BTP-7   05/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO DEY Oct26 Sep18 Aug11 Jun09 May04 (drury thomas )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 1.40 51% 1.00    
2  HOMETOWN HERO Apr25 Apr09 Mar07 Feb27 Feb07 (moreno ti)CORREA L 122 8.00    
3  RAISON KARTER Oct28 Oct02 Sep04 Jul26 Jul10 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  FAIR AND SQUARE Oct26 Sep25 Aug10 Jul15 Jun27 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
5  MY ROMEO LIMA Feb28 Feb12 Jan26 Dec14 Oct02 (brownfield claude)MCKEE J 122 4.00    
6  GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB) Feb22 Jan30 Dec28 Nov16 Oct19 (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 5.00    
 
BTP-8   05/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HALLOWEEN May06 Feb27 Jan29 Dec06 Oct30 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 8.00    
2  MISSION CONTROL Oct08 Sep21 Aug30 Aug09 Jul11 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00 9% 9.60    
3  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR Nov09 Oct12 Aug25 Aug01 Jun08 (navarrete)CORREA L 122 3.00    
4  BAYTOWN BEAR Nov18 Oct06 Sep07 Aug18 Aug04 (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 117 10.00    
5  EYE WITNESS Apr30 Apr12 Jul05 Jun22 Apr25 (caramori caio)LEBRON VICTOR 122 2.50    
6  BIG TRUCK Dec18 Nov25 Sep12 Aug08 Jul17 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  LILTONYTWOPHONES May05 Apr09 Mar06 Feb07 Jan29 (moreno tit)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 6.00    
8  TIMELESS BOUNTY Apr05 Mar15 Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 (ocasio osvaldo)JURADO EDDIE 122 5.00 38% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.