Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/4/6/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/5/2)-(1/4/6/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/5/2)-(1/4/6/5/2)-(1/4/6/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/6/5/2)-(4/7/2/9/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/5/2)-(4/7/2/9/6)-(3/5/11/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-2   WIN (4/7/2/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/9/6)-(4/7/2/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/9/6)-(4/7/2/9/6)-(4/7/2/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/2/9/6)-(3/5/11/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/9/6)-(3/5/11/2)-(9/11/12/3/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-3   WIN (3/5/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/11/2)-(3/5/7/11/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/11/2)-(3/5/7/11/2)-(3/5/7/11/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/11/2)-(9/11/12/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/11/2)-(9/11/12/3/8)-(1/7/9/4/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (9/11/12/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/11/12/3/8)-(9/11/12/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/11/12/3/8)-(9/11/12/3/8)-(9/11/12/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/11/12/3/8)-(1/7/9/4/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/11/12/3/8)-(1/7/9/4/6)-(4/7/2/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (1/7/9/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/9/4/6)-(1/7/9/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/9/4/6)-(1/7/9/4/6)-(1/7/9/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/9/4/6)-(4/7/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/9/4/6)-(4/7/2/3)-(8/5/1/7/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (4/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/2/3)-(8/5/1/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/3)-(8/5/1/7/6)-(3/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (8/5/1/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/7/6)-(8/5/1/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/7/6)-(8/5/1/7/6)-(8/5/1/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/1/7/6)-(3/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1/7/6)-(3/4/1)-(4/10/8/3/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(4/10/8/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/10/8/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/8/3/2)-(4/10/8/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/8/3/2)-(4/10/8/3/2)-(4/10/8/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/05/2025 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROPHY COLLECTOR Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 Feb05 Nov17 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
2  FRANKIE R. Mar09 Feb21 Nov27 Nov13 Oct17 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  DIFFUSION Mar22 Feb28 Feb14     (dini mike)LEON SONNY 122 30.00    
4  RIGHT ON TARGET Mar26 Mar09 Feb07 Jan12 Jun19 (granitz j)HESS SARA 113 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  TWO STORMY OCEANS Mar26 Feb05 Jun29 Jun02 Apr13 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 5.00 5% 17.60    
6  ICONIC ROCK Mar26 Mar09 Feb23 Feb07 Jan19 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  PROTEST Mar22 Oct04 Sep16     (march william)BUSH V 120 15.00    
8  LUCKY HEART Apr13 Jan17       (marrero nes)BELL BARRINGTON 122 30.00    
9  SNOVEMBER Mar26 Mar09 Mar01 Feb07 Dec27 (barron rory)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 6.00    
10  ZIMBAWEE Feb21 Jan17 Dec06 May03 Apr17 (charlton rosha)GIL CIPRIANO 122 20.00    
 
TAM-2   04/05/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOROTEA DREAM Mar15 Mar02 Jan29 Dec28 Dec07 (baez ral)RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.00    
2  MISS NATASHA Mar05         (perez blas)CASTANON L 122 4.50 10% 9.20    
3  NANA MOON Mar26 Mar07       (ellebracht gar)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00    
4  MISSPENT Feb28 Jan26 Jan04 Dec11 Nov20 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
5  BAJA DE ORO Mar23 Mar09 Feb12 Jan19 Jan05 (vazquez jo)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 30.00    
6  QUEENS DIPLOMAT         (gardea ab)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ATOMIC HABITS Mar16 Feb28       (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.00 14% 6.30    
8  CATARINA Feb14 Jan23 Jan08 Nov28   (kutt m)FERRER C 122 30.00    
9  MT. D'ORO Mar16 Feb15 Jan26 Jan11 Dec21 (hamm timothy)GIL CIPRIANO 122 8.00 9% 10.60    
10  LOOP OF HENLE Mar23 Feb28 Feb16 Jan24 Jan03 (dini mike)HESS SARA 115 15.00    
11  DERBY EFFORT Mar01 Feb05 Jan03 Dec07 Oct12 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 122 12.00    
12  MYTH SPUN Feb26 Feb07 Jan02     (kintz matthew)LEON SONNY 122 20.00    
 
TAM-3   04/05/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMBI Mar09 Feb02 Jan15 Dec06 Nov13 (alessi james)BUSH V 122 30.00    
2  ENNEREILLY (IRE) Feb07 Dec22 Oct01 Sep01 Nov11 (kintz m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LAURISTON (IRE) Mar19 Mar05 Jan17 Dec14 Oct20 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 122 2.50 59% 0.70    
4  A FANCY SOLUTION Mar21 Mar09 Feb07 Mar01 Feb02 (cascallares nesto)HESS SARA 115 20.00    
5  TERRIE T Mar09         (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
6  INCLUDE THE MUNNY Mar21 Feb15 Jan19 Dec29 Aug28 (garde)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 12.00    
7  NO DOUGH NO GO Jan29 Nov12 Oct06     (reed r)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 3.50 ★    
8  TOUGH DAME Mar23 May01 Apr17 Mar10   (potts g)ALLEN D 122 30.00    
9  UNIFIEDS PRINCESS Mar07 Jan22 Jan10 Dec13 Nov27 (marrero n)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 20.00    
10  SUNNYRIDGE JAIME Mar09 Dec20 Dec04 Sep27 Aug25 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 122 8.00    
11  HUGGIN AND LOVIN Mar05 Jan31 Nov24     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   04/05/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MELODY WIN Mar14 Feb09 Jan25 Jan04 Sep27 (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00    
2  MAPTITUDE Mar14 Feb21 Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 (agostini arth)IORIO MELISSA 118 4.50    
3  HABERDASHERY Mar21 Feb12 Jan17 Jan04 Dec14 (mckathan kevin)GIL CIPRIANO 118 12.00 11% 7.80    
4  PAPA KATZ Mar21 Mar08 Jun20 Apr26 Oct08 (mcgoey mon)INFANTE A 118 30.00    
5  TIZ A BEAST Mar22 Feb26 Feb05 Jan19 Jan04 (paragallo jennife)HESS SARA 111 20.00    
6  CHASENTHEONE Mar09 Feb21 Feb05 Dec29 Dec04 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00    
7  HAP'S VICTORY Mar22 Jan18 Jan05 Dec11 Nov27 (barrett grant)VARGAS E 108 15.00    
8  FEDERAL EXCHANGE Mar21 Mar08 Feb23 Jan31 Jan18 (mcgoey monic)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  LIKEBELIVINGNMAGIC Mar21 Feb21 Jan08 Nov29 Oct31 (o'connell kath)EVANS CECILY 118 3.50 29% 2.40    
10  DEFIANT MALICE Mar22 Feb21 Jan24 Jul07 Jun14 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
11  UNCAPTURED STAR Mar15 Feb09 Jan24 Jan08 Dec21 (davis scooter)FERRER C 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
12  FENWICK Mar09 Mar05 Jan29 Jan05 Oct24 (yanez)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 10.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  RUSSIAN HAMMER Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 Jan26 Dec29 (po)LUNA PAUL 118 4.00    
SCR  LEOPARDI Mar30 Mar22 Jan19 Dec22 Nov29 (harvey daniel )CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00    
 
TAM-5   04/05/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COCKTAIL KISSES Feb20 Jan29 Jan05 Dec04 Nov10 (kintz matthe)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.60 35% 1.90    
2  AUTHENTICATE NOW Mar15 Feb22 Aug22 Jul04   (dini mike)CASTANON L 119 12.00    
3  HIT SONG Mar06 Feb08 Jan25 Dec22 Nov17 (munoz carlo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00    
4  SOMME RIVER         (nixon ju)GALLARDO A 119 8.00 8% 12.20    
5  MONEY TRAIL Mar16 Feb28 Feb01     (vinson jo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 12.00    
6  LA CANONICA         (rarick lynn)HESS SARA 112 20.00 7% 13.90    
7  GOING STREAKIN Mar15 Feb08 Jan11     (hamm timothy)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.00 22% 3.50    
8  PARTLY SUNNY Mar15         (moyse)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 30.00    
9  CRAFTY COLLECTOR Mar15 Feb21 Jan31     (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 119 3.50 8% 11.20    
 
TAM-6   04/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHEELINGNDEALING Mar15 Mar02 Feb14 Jan31 Jan19 (mendieta alej)IORIO MELISSA 119 10.00    
2  PRETTY'N AWESOME Mar09 Feb23 Jan18 Dec04 Oct06 (padilla tim)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 6.00 12% 7.50    
3  SPANISH DELIGHT Mar15 Feb28 Jan18 Dec29 Dec04 (mcgoey monica)GIL CIPRIANO 119 12.00 8% 11.10    
4  YELLOW FEATHERS Dec29 Dec04 Sep22 Aug28 Jul23 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 5.00 33% 2.00    
5  EASY COME EASY GO Jan11 Mar09 Feb03 Jan07 Dec09 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.40    
6  BUNNY HOP Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 Dec27 Dec14 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 114 10.00    
7  BROOKMESA Mar15 Jan25 Dec24 Dec04 Sep22 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 119 3.00 12% 7.00    
 
TAM-7   04/05/2025 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER BEE Mar22 Jan25 Sep08 Sep15 Aug26 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 118 12.00 5% 18.80    
2  TRUE SPUN Feb28 Feb07 Mar13 Jan20   (o'connel)GALLARDO A 113 6.00    
SCR  SONG RUNNER Mar08 Feb22 Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 (dobber w)FERRER C 118 15.00    
4  BIG Z OG Feb07 Jan18 Dec02 Oct19 Sep16 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 118 3.00    
5  ROCKET DRAGON Mar19 Nov29 Oct15 Sep16 Aug07 (rodriguez dari)GIL CIPRIANO 118 6.00 26% 2.90    
6  BREEZEY BELLA Mar09 Feb07 Dec29 Aug05   (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  EE YAH Mar15 Mar08 Feb07 Jan15 Jan05 (ocasio osva)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  JETAROS Feb07 Jan04 Nov27 Sep07 Aug23 (pompay terri)ALLEN D 118 1.80 45% 1.20    
9  FAR FROM HOME Feb02 Jan21 Dec03 Oct18 Oct10 (ca)LUNA PAUL 118 30.00    
SCR  TAPINTOYOURBEER Mar28 Feb28 Oct14 Sep11 Aug25 (lopez ra)LEON A 118 30.00    
11  TAPRIXIE Apr13 Mar07 Feb23 Jan14 Sep10 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 113 6.00    
 
TAM-8   04/05/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP Mar15 Feb28 Jan16 Nov13 Oct30 (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  PRAIRIE HAWK Jan31 Dec22 Nov22 Aug09 Jun23 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00    
3  LIFE IS PRECIOUS Mar15 Feb08 Jan19 Jan03 Dec11 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 120 2.00 38% 1.70    
4  TIMELESS BOUNTY Mar15 Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 Dec14 (ocasio osva)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 6.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  HECTOR Mar15 Oct21 Sep30 Aug26 Aug13 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 4.50    
6  CATIRE VIZCAYA Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 Dec21 Oct05 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 118 12.00    
7  EL PRINCIPITO Mar08 Feb16 Jan24 Dec28 Nov29 (bennett s)FERRER C 118 4.00    
 
TAM-9   04/05/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIFTBOX SURPRISE Mar19 Jan24 Dec28 Dec07 Nov08 (kutt m)HESS SARA 109 20.00    
2  BELLS OF BRAM Mar26 Mar12 Mar05 Feb23 Oct19 (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  JESS'S VISION         (yanez r)FERRER C 123 12.00 6% 16.80    
4  DIFERENCIA Feb02 Jan02 Sep07     (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 125 1.20 35% 1.80    
5  POWER PARTY Mar16 Feb26 Aug23     (gonzalez lui)MENESES MARCOS 116 20.00    
6  STORMY DISCO Mar12 Dec09 Sep15 Sep01   (dini mike)LEON SONNY 125 5.00    
7  MAMAS LULLABYE Mar26 Mar12 Feb23 Mar20 Feb25 (cook devin)SANTOS ADEMAR 125 30.00    
8  ART NOUVEAU Mar16 Feb21 Oct10 Sep23 Aug27 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 118 10.00 8% 11.30    
9  U BET JO'S PRAYING Dec01 Nov18 Nov05 Oct11 Sep08 (cascallares )GONZALEZ CESAR 111 30.00    
10  LA GIRVINA Mar15 Feb21 Dec29 Feb23 Jan11 (kintz matthe)CASTANON L 125 4.00 28% 2.60    
11  NEVER ENOUGH Sep27         (guciardo )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 125 20.00    
12  QUEENOFALLMYDREAMS Mar12         (roque eli)MALDONADO GABRIEL 125 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.