Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   WIN (6/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/5/7)-(2/1/3/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/7)-(2/1/3/4/7)-(7/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/1/3/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/4/7)-(2/1/3/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/4/7)-(2/1/3/4/7)-(2/1/3/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/3/4/7)-(7/9/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/4/7)-(7/9/4)-(1/8/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/4)-(7/1/2/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/4)-(7/1/2/9/4)-(7/1/2/9/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/9/4)-(1/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/9/4)-(1/8/2/5)-(8/3/1/12/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-6   WIN (1/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/5)-(1/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/5)-(1/8/2/5)-(1/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/2/5)-(8/3/1/12/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/5)-(8/3/1/12/9)-(3/2/1/5/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (8/3/1/12/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/12/9)-(8/3/1/12/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/12/9)-(8/3/1/12/9)-(8/3/1/12/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/1/12/9)-(3/2/1/5/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-8   WIN (3/2/1/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/5/6)-(3/2/1/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/5/6)-(3/2/1/5/6)-(3/2/1/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   03/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FARENHEIT O C Nov16 Sep20 Aug23     (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 118 5.00    
SHANKADOPOLOUS Mar05 Feb18 Jan16 Sep20 Aug15 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00    
RACER REX Feb27 Feb12 Jan23 Nov29 Oct02 (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 4.00    
TENFORTHEBIGGUY Mar03 Feb10 Dec31 Dec12 Oct06 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.50    
LOBDELL LAKE Mar03 Feb06 Jan23 Dec30 May02 (grissom r)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
J C'S A LEGEND Feb22 Jan29 Dec31 Jun28 May04 (lucarelli )AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50 60% 0.70    
OBSIDIAN GOLD Mar04 Jan29 Nov26 Oct27 Oct19 (leon alexis)KRIGGER K 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
BIG SWAG Feb18 Feb03 Aug17 Aug10 Jul13 (schnell don)CRUZ M 118 4.50 12% 7.40    
 
TUP-4   03/18/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WODETON (FR) Mar04 Feb05 Jan09 Dec28 Nov12 (fuentes ruben)MOJICA O 122 5.00 14% 6.40    
HOUSE OF LORDS Feb20 Jan15 Dec30 Dec02 Nov13 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
BIRTH OF COOL Jan25 Jan15 Dec31 Sep13 Sep01 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 8.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  SBAGLIATO Jan16 Nov22 Oct26 Oct11 Jun15 (miller pete)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 10% 9.30    
SCR  EL JOY Mar04 Jan09 Dec27 Dec08 Oct13 (tamayo isidro)REYES R 122 12.00    
FLEETRIDGE Feb05 Jan15 Dec23 Dec10 Jan12 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 3.00    
TED May11 Apr21 Mar26 Mar05 Nov11 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
WELLSWORT (IRE) Mar03 Feb11 Dec28 Dec09 Nov19 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00    
I'M NOBLE Dec30 Dec11 Dec03 Sep15 Aug24 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 12.00    
10  MY CAIRO KID Feb10 Jan02 Dec05 Nov21 Sep01 (laufenber)VALENZUELA A 122 20.00    
 
TUP-5   03/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET MISTRESS Feb20 Jan09 Jul29 Jul09 Jun25 (sanderson bruce)MOJICA O 124 3.00    
MEAN SHARON Feb20 Jan21 Jan09 Dec27 Nov02 (garcia f)KRIGGER K 124 4.00    
LADY CRUISER Feb27 Jan16 Dec30 Aug30 Aug16 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 124 12.00    
SAHARA SUE Feb25 Jan20 Dec07 Nov23 Oct27 (nunnally jennif)CRUZ M 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
DIAMOND DEE Feb25 Feb06 Jan25 Jan02 Nov26 (thompso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
BLUE COWGIRL Feb21 Jan24 Dec10 Oct18 Sep02 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 12.00    
CAPITAL HEAT Feb27 Jan24 Dec27 Nov27 Sep08 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50 78% 0.30    
VELLA Feb25 Feb03 Dec27 Dec02 Jun29 (whitehouse )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
SQUARE FUN Feb17 Jan13 Dec27 Dec09 Nov25 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   03/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LOT OF VERVE Feb20 Jan21 Jan13 Dec17 Dec05 (o'hagan co)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50 32% 2.10    
MAJESTIC CRAKEN Feb26 Jan19 Oct24 Sep25 Aug25 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00 10% 8.60    
PASSION OF JOE'S Mar04 Feb10 Jan21 Nov06 Oct12 (rarick )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00    
FREEZE 'EM Jan29 Jan15 Dec26 Jul13 Jun22 (lawrence heath)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50    
HE'S INIT TO WINIT Feb20 Jun08 May18 Apr20 Apr06 (baze robert)MOJICA O 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
PHOENICIAN GHOST Feb04 Jan14 Dec30 Sep07 Aug09 (campo stacy)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 12.00    
PEDAL TO THE METAL Feb27 Feb10 Jan21 Nov26 Sep13 (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 5.00    
K R RULES Jan22 Dec27 Dec11 Sep06 Aug11 (barrio sergio)KRIGGER K 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  TOM AND JAZZY Mar04 Dec27 Dec14 Nov22 Oct27 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 12.00    
 
TUP-7   03/18/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOS VICIOS Mar10 Feb25 Feb11 Dec30 Nov20 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 3.00 16% 5.10    
THIRTY SECONDS OUT Feb06 Jan13 Dec28 Nov26 Nov12 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
PACO'S PICO Mar03 Feb18 Feb04 Jan27 Dec30 (villamar candelar)KRIGGER K 124 5.00 18% 4.50    
SWAMPDRAINER Feb22 Feb04 Jan13 Dec30 Dec17 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
ROBO Mar03 Jan24 Jan11 Oct19 Oct04 (hodgson barry)MONTALVO C 124 20.00    
OSTINI Mar25 Feb22 Feb01 Jan12 Dec15 (weaver gord)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
DUPLICATION Feb19 Feb05 Jan03 Dec15 Sep02 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 6.00    
SHUT UP MICHAEL (IRE) Feb25 Feb06 Jan22 Dec28 Nov26 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 20% 4.10    
AQUACAT Feb25 Dec28 Dec09 Nov30 Nov12 (adams hanna)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00 12% 7.60    
10  MOVE OVER (GB) Mar06 Feb06 Nov30 Sep15 Aug24 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00    
11  SUNNY SPOT Mar06 Feb25 Nov29 Nov10 Oct19 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 20.00    
12  HAPI HAPI Feb20 Jan27 Jan09 Dec03 Oct20 (evans justin)REYES R 124 4.00 13% 7.00    
 
TUP-8   03/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DADDY'S GIRL Mar03 Apr02 Mar11 Apr10 Mar26 (grissom roberta )MAWING A 122 10.00 11% 8.00    
BANGO'S HEAT Feb25 Feb06 Jan22 Dec28 Dec19 (barraza rafael )CRUZ M 122 8.00 23% 3.30    
WHIMSICAL HEIR Feb06 Dec26 Nov19 Sep27 Aug29 (chambers mike)KRIGGER K 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
PRINCESS K Feb06 Jan06 Dec19 Apr10 Mar25 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00    
BET THE CHALK Feb17 Jan17 Nov29 Oct05 Aug11 (peery deb)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 9% 10.20    
TIA SUZI Feb24 Feb13 Jan28 Jan08 Dec19 (kemper kasey)REYES R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SAPADILLA Feb15 Jan31 Jan17 Dec15 Nov24 (morfin lian)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
ASPIRATIONAL Feb25 Apr21 Feb16 Sep29 Sep04 (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 12.00    
VHAGAR Oct05 Sep29 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 (bean r)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.