Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - February 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(3/4/7)-(6/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-4   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(6/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(6/5/3/1)-(2/6/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-5   WIN (6/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/1)-(6/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/1)-(6/5/3/1)-(6/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/3/1)-(2/6/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/1)-(2/6/4/1)-(4/1/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/1)-(4/1/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/1)-(4/1/5/8)-(2/1/9/10) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-7   WIN (4/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/8)-(4/1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/8)-(4/1/5/8)-(4/1/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/8)-(2/1/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TUP-8   WIN (2/1/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/9/10)-(2/1/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/9/10)-(2/1/9/10)-(2/1/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   02/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANGO GAL Feb03 Dec26 Dec04 Nov13   (barraza rafael )CRUZ M 121 3.00    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of VALENTINES GAL by TRIBAL RULE)
2  KOOL TAP DANCER Feb03         (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by TAPITURE out of ITSABEAUTIFULTHING by HOUSTON)
3  BEHINDTHEBAR         (owens kory)CORBETT W 121 2.00    
  (by ROCKY BAR out of BY THE WAY by TOP HIT)
SCR  BE AWARE Feb03 Dec04 Nov13     (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 3.50    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of AWARE by EL ROBLAR)
5  LA VALENTINA Dec04         (kemper ka)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SHESAGAMBLINDEVIL by AWESOME GAMBLER)
 
TUP-4   02/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3 F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPAGHETTI TREE Feb03 Dec20 Dec07 Aug30   (kenney rya)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 4.50    
2  CRUZIN SASSY Feb03         (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00    
3  IT COULD HAPPEN         (silva jr)GARCIA F 121 4.00 60% 0.70    
4  STAY N LOV Jan23 Dec04 Nov13     (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 10.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  AINTAFRAIDTODREAM Jan23 Jan06 Dec18 Oct19   (lawrence he)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 1.60    
6  KREWE D'ETAT Jan23 Jul27       (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00    
7  BEAUTIFUL BREEZE Jan06 Dec18 Sep12     (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   02/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS WENDY Dec26 Sep10 Aug20 Jul31 Jun30 (denny travi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  RIVER DANCE Jan07 Dec16 Sep06 Aug24 Aug03 (freeman sc)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
3  PRETTYWITTYANDWISE Aug24 Aug10 Jul07 Jun08 May20 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 124 3.50 18% 4.40    
4  MAGIC TIP Feb06 Jan06 Dec26 Nov13 Sep22 (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 124 2.50    
5  TWISTED MISCHIEF Jan06         (bean robe)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
6  LUSMA Jan24 Dec13 Nov09 Oct05 Sep15 (alvarez sergio)KRIGGER K 124 4.00 21% 3.90    
7  CURLIN'S LIL GAL Jan21 Dec17 Nov12 Aug24 Jul27 (ei)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-6   02/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Feb06 Jan13 Jan01 Dec11 Nov21 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 9% 9.80    
2  BADGER KITTEN Jan08 Dec27 Nov30 Sep25 Sep01 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
3  MERINO WOOL Jan30 Jan08 Dec12 Nov25 Jul28 (homer jason)KRIGGER K 124 8.00    
4  ORANGE THEORY Jan29 Jan16 Dec27 Nov03 Oct12 (anderson g)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00 15% 5.90    
5  MISS ACCELERATE Jan24 Jan13 Dec09 Nov21 Oct12 (betts nancy)MAWING A 124 12.00    
6  FALL MOON Jan08 Dec18 Nov25 Nov11 Sep14 (woolley l)MOJICA O 124 5.00 15% 5.50    
7  IT'S SAUL RIGHT Jan29 Dec16 Dec10 Dec02 Oct06 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
8  QUINN ELLA Dec27 Nov23 Nov01 Oct05 Sep07 (hodgso)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 8.00    
 
TUP-7   02/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIANNO Feb05 Sep19 Aug29 Aug15 Aug08 (martinez esteban)MOJICA O 122 3.50 30% 2.40    
2  JONAS' DREAM Aug31 Aug04 May23 Apr26 May25 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50    
SCR  K R RULES Jan22 Dec27 Dec11 Sep06 Aug11 (koler stev)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00    
4  SIR OTTO Jan15 Dec26 Nov30 Nov08 Jul14 (rarick )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 30% 2.30    
5  TRIPLE PASS Feb05 Jan27 Dec06 Nov03 Sep08 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 2.50 15% 5.70    
6  BUY THE RUMOR Jan29 Nov29 Nov11 Sep01 Aug03 (sepich f)CORBETT W 124 10.00    
7  OUR BLOKE Jan03 Dec20 Oct05 Sep15 Jul27 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
8  DE LA LUNA Oct11 Sep25 Sep07 May04 Apr15 (rosales jorge)KRIGGER K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   02/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCY TREASURE Jan29 Aug16 Jul27 Jul05 Jun21 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 5.00 18% 4.60    
2  CHROME'S BEST COPY Feb03 Jan16 Dec11 Nov27 Nov12 (buffal)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 3.50 56% 0.80    
3  LADY ATHENA Jan29 Jan16 Dec19 Dec04 Oct26 (williams d)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.50    
SCR  WE ALL AGREE Jan25 Dec30 Nov30 May01 Mar28 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50    
SCR  GAME TO PLAY Oct25 Oct13 Oct04 Sep22 Sep13 (diaz fe)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 124 20.00    
6  FABULOSITY Jan29 Aug16 Jul27 Jul21 Jul14 (warren kayla)HARVEY B 124 20.00    
SCR  DAHLIA'S DANCER Apr08 Feb21 Feb05 Sep15 Aug07 (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 20.00    
8  PALACE STAR Feb05 May01 Apr16 Mar26 Mar13 (perkins f)JENSEN P 124 20.00    
9  SQUARE FUN Jan13 Dec27 Dec09 Nov25 Nov12 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  HEY BARMAID Jan29 Jan13 Jan01 Nov21 Sep01 (toye joe)REYES R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  BOHEMIAN JIGGLES Feb05 Jan24 Dec27 Dec09 Nov27 (lavanwa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.