Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - February 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(1/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(1/4/5/7)-(1/9/10/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/7)-(1/9/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/7)-(1/9/10/3)-(4/5/7/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (1/9/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/10/3)-(1/9/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/10/3)-(1/9/10/3)-(1/9/10/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/10/3)-(4/5/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/9/10/3)-(4/5/7/3)-(4/9/1/10/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/3)-(4/9/1/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/3)-(4/9/1/10/2)-(7/2/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/9/1/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/1/10/2)-(4/9/1/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/1/10/2)-(4/9/1/10/2)-(4/9/1/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/9/1/10/2)-(7/2/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/9/1/10/2)-(7/2/6/4)-(1/8/4/3/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (7/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/4)-(1/8/4/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/4)-(1/8/4/3/5)-(4/8/7/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/8/4/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/3/5)-(1/8/4/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/3/5)-(1/8/4/3/5)-(1/8/4/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/4/3/5)-(4/8/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4/3/5)-(4/8/7/6)-(2/7/5/13/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (4/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/6)-(4/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/6)-(4/8/7/6)-(4/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/7/6)-(2/7/5/13/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/7/5/13/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/13/9)-(2/7/5/13/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/13/9)-(2/7/5/13/9)-(2/7/5/13/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/16/2025 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINO COURAGIO Jan10 Dec21 Oct16 Oct01 Sep17 (connelly teresa)LEON SONNY 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
2  GREAT HUNT Jan24 Dec06 Nov01 Aug25   (so)LUNA PAUL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  DEVIL OF RAMADI Jan29 Jan04 Dec18 Nov30 Oct26 (paragallo je)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 15.00    
4  MYWIFEHASAGUN Jan29 Jan10 Dec18 Nov27 Oct22 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 4.00    
SCR  SPARTACUS'S DUDE Jan29 Jan05 Nov27 Nov10   (canegata james)FERRER C 120 2.00    
6  HYPER VENOM Feb01 Jan12 Dec21 Nov27 Nov10 (manchan bertra)GIL CIPRIANO 120 2.50    
7  HIGH WATER MARK Jan29 Jan15 Dec18 Aug30 Aug01 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 10.00 18% 4.50    
 
TAM-2   02/16/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GODDESS MINERVA Nov20 Nov03 Oct13 Aug18 Jul28 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.60 38% 1.60    
2  REPAYNT Dec13 Sep28 Sep05 Aug17 Jul20 (lusk brian )SPANABEL SKYLER 118 20.00    
3  JENAS MERCY Feb02 Dec20 Nov10 Oct19 Sep20 (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 3.00    
4  UTOPIA ROSE Jan18 Nov29 Sep14 Jul12 Jun01 (moyse)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 2.50 35% 1.80    
5  KOZAK SPIRIT Feb07 Jan25 Dec13     (sherman a)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 111 6.00 6% 15.40    
6  HARD SPICE Jan26 Dec28 Jul12 Jun20 Apr19 (lusk bria)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 30.00    
7  TOO HOT TO STOP Jan26 Jan05 Dec21 Sep26 Aug15 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-3   02/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUN TO PURFECTION         (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 50% 1.00    
2  GOONIE Jan12 Dec22 Nov15 Oct09 Sep14 (clark a)IORIO MELISSA 120 4.00    
3  BINGO BABY Dec28 Nov15       (baxter georg)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIZZIE BABY Jul22         (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 6.00    
5  QUEEN KINZIE Jan31 Dec29 Dec13     (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 113 30.00    
SCR  GIFTBOX SURPRISE Jan24 Dec28 Dec07 Nov08 Sep08 (kutt donn)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 15.00    
7  FRENCH BENEFITS (FR) Jan04 Aug14       (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 120 15.00    
8  YLANA Dec22         (dominguez huber)BRACHO A 120 30.00    
9  NEW WAY Dec28 Dec07 Nov08 Aug24   (ochoa gerard)GIL CIPRIANO 120 3.00 17% 4.90    
10  WHEN IN ROMA Jan12 Dec22 Dec07 Oct04   (dini mike)LEON SONNY 120 3.50 9% 9.70    
 
TAM-4   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL PRINCIPITO Jan24 Dec28 Nov29 Oct12 Jul05 (laurato micha)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 5.00    
2  CANTARO Jan24 Dec21 Nov28 Nov01 Sep20 (rodriguez juan)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
3  EIGHTYSIXCHEVY Feb02 Jan11 Sep26 Aug24 Aug01 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  GAVEL Jan30 Dec12 Sep01 Jul31 Jun26 (rivelli )GALLARDO A 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
5  GO OTTO GO Feb02 Dec14 Nov27 Sep26 Aug25 (arnett g)TOHILL S 118 2.00 25% 3.00    
6  INDIO MARA Jan24 Mar22 Feb23 Jan12 Dec20 (smith robe)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
7  SAYBROOK Jan24 Jan11 Sep29 Sep01 Jul27 (vinson g)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 16% 5.10    
 
TAM-5   02/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINE SCHOLAR Feb05 Nov20       (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 120 8.00 16% 5.40    
2  ANNA JEAN Jan24 Jan05 Dec24 Dec07 Nov20 (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  LOOP OF HENLE Jan24 Jan03       (dini mike)LEON SONNY 120 15.00    
4  BACKSEAT ROMANCE Jan31 Jan19 Dec20 Nov29 Oct11 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.00 26% 2.80    
5  WILLFUL ROSE Jan12 Dec29 Dec07 Nov29   (kutt m)HESS SARA 113 30.00    
6  LADY EMBRACE Dec27 Dec04       (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 3.00    
7  THUNDER PRINCESS Jan24 Jan05 Nov14 Oct03 Aug15 (rigattieri j)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
8  ENDLESS FASHION Feb05 Jan24 Jan12 Dec07 Nov29 (mendie)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 113 30.00    
9  CENTEYA Dec28 Oct04       (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
10  CROSSATI Jan15 Sep14 Aug23     (pompay terri)ALLEN D 120 15.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  SECRET VICTORY Jan25 Jan11 Dec28 Oct12   (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50    
 
TAM-6   02/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL DOLLAR Jan29 Dec17 Nov26 Nov06 Oct03 (ashmore co)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00    
2  KABOOBIE Dec01 Nov24 Sep27     (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00 21% 3.70    
3  METOLIO Jan08 Dec20 Nov29     (soler edisley)FERRER C 118 10.00    
4  K PAZ Feb02 Jan18 Sep15 Aug04 Jul27 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPICE BAG Jan29 Jan15 Aug30     (dini mik)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
6  EL TINMARIN Sep05 Aug17       (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 118 5.00 5% 18.80    
7  LOU MAN Jan08 Nov22 Nov13 Sep29 Aug11 (arnett g)TOHILL S 118 1.40 47% 1.10    
 
TAM-7   02/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSTINO'S PROPHECY Dec18 Oct12 Sep27 Sep01 Aug17 (einhorn )GALLARDO A 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
2  PURE MAGIC GIRL Dec29 Dec04 Nov10 Oct10 Sep14 (lopez mari)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 4.50    
3  VINO VELOCE Feb05 Jan24 Jan05 Dec21 Dec06 (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 118 20.00 11% 8.30    
4  GIRLY THE BUTCHER Jan01 Oct11 Sep27 Sep07 Aug16 (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.00 15% 5.70    
5  SADIE BABY Jan12 Dec24 Sep27 Aug25 Jul27 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ARMONIA Oct11 Sep27 Sep15 Aug23 Jul26 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 118 6.00    
7  HEARTBURN Jan01 Oct18 Aug22 Aug02 Jun27 (simone micha)BATISTA A 118 20.00    
8  JASSAI Jan29 Jan18 Jan05 Dec18 Dec11 (ochoa gerard)CENTENO E 122 6.00 20% 4.10    
9  REAL MIKEY Jan26 Jan12 Dec13 Nov23 Jul27 (lusk )DIAZ RAFAEL 122 10.00    
10  MY JANNET Jan01 Dec13 Nov27 Oct24 Oct17 (kleine berna)MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00    
SCR  SPRING SPINNING Jan24 Jan12 Dec22 Sep04 Aug07 (alessi james)HIRALDO JOHN 118 30.00    
SCR  NAA DUDETTE Jan24 Dec22 Nov29 Sep28 Sep07 (waltke e)HESS SARA 111 20.00    
SCR  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Dec13 Nov27 Sep06 Aug02 Jul18 (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
SCR  ONCE AN EAGLE Dec29 Dec07 Oct13 Sep20 Aug24 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
 
TAM-8   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUIT ME UP CHARLIE Jan25 Dec11 Nov20 Aug03 Jul21 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
2  KOHAKU Jan25 Jan08 Oct28 Sep25 Sep07 (alessi james)HIRALDO JOHN 118 30.00    
3  SINCERITO Jan25 Jan08 Dec18 Dec04 Nov03 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 111 4.00    
4  GUCCI BOY Jan29 Dec28 Dec07 Oct27 Aug16 (gallegos jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.60 33% 2.10    
5  NO PROBLEM JOE Feb09 Jan25 Jan04 Dec20 Dec04 (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 15.00    
6  SA SA SA Dec20 Jan19 Dec30 Dec13   (bennett ge)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 8.00 9% 9.90    
7  TIZ LORD Feb09 Jan08 Dec20 Oct22 Sep12 (arnett g)TOHILL S 118 6.00 11% 8.00    
8  BANG A RANG Jan25 Jan11 Sep23 Jun04 May11 (hamm timothy)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
TAM-9   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVERHAUL Jan31 Jan19 Dec22 Dec05 Oct03 (alessi james)HIRALDO JOHN 118 30.00    
2  SIR ROBERT HALL Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 Nov30 Jul27 (o'connell kath)COTTO L 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
3  RUSSIAN HAMMER Jan26 Dec29 Dec11 Nov27 Oct19 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 118 5.00    
4  FEDERAL EXCHANGE Jan31 Jan18 Jan04 Dec26 Dec08 (mcgoey monic)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 15.00    
5  ZINGALES KING Jan26 Dec28 Nov30 Oct18 Sep28 (rose orlando)CASTANON L 120 6.00 9% 10.60    
6  MACLIN Jan10 Dec08 Nov08 Oct10 Jul19 (cahill f)LEON SONNY 118 8.00    
7  MR JACK Dec18 Oct06 Sep20 Aug17 Mar16 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
8  WALT WHITMAN (IRE) Jan18 Dec28 Sep01 Aug17 Jul22 (amaya gustavo)CENTENO E 122 15.00    
9  D COLDEST Jan18 Dec11 Nov01 Oct11 Feb03 (crichton r)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HAY MOON Jan29 Jan19 Dec29 Dec05 Nov16 (rodriguez dar)MORALES PABLO 118 20.00    
11  AMBULANTE Feb05 Dec18 Nov05 Oct07 Oct01 (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 15.00    
12  KALINBA Jan29 Jan10 Dec08 Nov25 Nov12 (cascallares nes)LARA VICTOR 108 30.00    
13  HAKKIMI (CHI) Jan16 Dec26 Dec01 Jul21 May24 (romero rafae)MENESES MARCOS 118 8.00 8% 11.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.