Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(7/3/5)-(8/3/6/9/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/5)-(8/3/6/9/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(8/3/6/9/2)-(3/4/9/10/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/3/6/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/9/2)-(8/3/6/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/9/2)-(8/3/6/9/2)-(8/3/6/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/6/9/2)-(3/4/9/10/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6/9/2)-(3/4/9/10/2)-(4/1/3/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (3/4/9/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/9/10/2)-(3/4/9/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/9/10/2)-(3/4/9/10/2)-(3/4/9/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/9/10/2)-(4/1/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/9/10/2)-(4/1/3/10)-(2/6/8/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/1/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/10)-(4/1/3/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/10)-(4/1/3/6/10)-(4/1/3/6/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/3/10)-(2/6/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/10)-(2/6/8/7)-(2/4/6/1/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/7)-(2/6/9/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/7)-(2/6/9/8/7)-(2/6/9/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/8/7)-(2/4/6/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/7)-(2/4/6/1/8)-(4/5/1/3/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (2/4/6/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/1/8)-(2/4/6/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/1/8)-(2/4/6/1/8)-(2/4/6/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/6/1/8)-(4/5/1/3/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/1/8)-(4/5/1/3/7)-(11/9/2/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (4/5/1/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/3/7)-(4/5/1/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/3/7)-(4/5/1/3/7)-(4/5/1/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/1/3/7)-(11/9/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (11/9/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/9/2/5)-(11/9/2/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/9/2/5)-(11/9/2/6/5)-(11/9/2/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT-12:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRANTED SUCCESS Dec18 Mar27 Mar02 Feb07 Jan20 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00    
2  SONG RUNNER Dec18 Nov20 Jul14 May09 Mar27 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SIR ROBERT HALL Dec18 Nov30 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 118 1.40 70% 0.40    
4  MAPTITUDE Dec18 Nov29 Sep20 Jun27 Apr14 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.50    
5  FENWICK Oct24 Sep27 Sep13 Aug09 Dec02 (d'angelo jose )GIL CIPRIANO 118 2.00    
6  EE YAH Dec11 Nov04 Oct13 Sep25 Jun20 (ocasio osvaldo)AVILES YAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   01/05/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 1:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORODER Jun08         (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50    
2  TEN BUCKS A GLASS Sep23 Aug31       (arnett jon)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 12.00    
3  OUT ON PAROLE         (dini mike)LEON SONNY 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
4  SPARTACUS'S DUDE Nov27 Nov10       (canegata james)FERRER C 120 10.00    
5  DIAMOND REO         (parra hern)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 15.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  EL GALAN Dec18 Nov27 Nov15 Oct13   (kutt m)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00    
7  MY LUCKY ANGEL Dec24         (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.60 33% 2.00    
 
TAM-3   01/05/2025 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHACHITA Dec21 Nov30 Oct12 Oct04 Sep19 (mckathan kev)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 10.00    
2  BEAUTIFULLYPERFECT Dec21 Nov30 May03 Apr07 Mar22 (kutt m)DIAZ S 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  MI GRANCHIQUIQUIRA Dec20         (delgado h)GIL CIPRIANO 122 2.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  GAMBI Dec06 Nov13 Sep26 Sep13 Aug24 (alessi james)HESS SARA 115 30.00    
5  MIA'S ANGEL Dec13 Sep26 Aug15 Jul11 May03 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 6.00    
6  STARSHIP SARATOGA Nov06 Jan30       (ferraro anthon)LEON SONNY 122 10.00 15% 5.60    
7  CAJUN GAL Dec13 Jul21 Jun23 Jun09 Apr21 (tsirigotis j)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
8  LADYS CHANT Dec13 Nov27 Oct08 Sep24 Aug22 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
9  ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY Oct14 Jul16 Jun18     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 20.00 10% 8.60    
10  TOO HOT TO STOP Dec21 Sep26 Aug15 Jul28 Jul07 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 122 3.00    
 
TAM-4   01/05/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTIVATING SOUND Dec13 Oct06 Sep28 Aug23 Jul26 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 10.00    
2  BOLD LOOK Dec21 Nov12 Oct28 Oct02 Sep04 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  VINO VELOCE Dec21 Dec06 Oct05 Aug19 Aug05 (rivera a)AVILES YAN 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  SHAMU Dec21 Nov29 Oct16 Sep18 Sep08 (dini mike)ALLEN D 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
5  ALMA PURA Dec18 Nov30 Oct13 Sep15 Aug25 (agostini o)HESS SARA 113 6.00    
SCR  REAL MIKEY Dec13 Nov23 Jul27 Jul07 Jun22 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 118 15.00    
7  THANK THE ACADEMY Dec21 Nov29 Oct19 Oct06 Sep07 (agostini arthu)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00    
8  PRINCESS OF MALIBU Dec18 Sep21 Aug24 Jul24 Jul06 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 20.00    
9  AMERICAN PEACHES Dec21 Dec11 Nov29 Oct18 Oct04 (lopez )ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 4.50 10% 9.30    
10  ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR Dec21 Oct01 Sep04 Aug10 Jul21 (o'connell ka)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   01/05/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY TO REIGN Dec14 Nov23 Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 (vinson john )BATISTA A 119 5.00 19% 4.30    
2  OFFICER DERICK Sep29 Aug04 Jun29 Mar08 Feb03 (ryan s)LEON SONNY 119 3.00    
3  TORO FORWARD Dec18 Apr19 Apr07 Mar16 Mar01 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 4.50 9% 10.40    
4  AXCEL Jul01 Jun24 Apr26 Mar29   (manning j)BRACHO A 119 5.00 48% 1.10    
5  CHENTI Dec14 Sep24 Aug22 Aug02 Jun28 (canegata james)MARIN SAMUEL 119 20.00    
6  ADIOS BUCCANEER Dec18 Nov23 Oct05 Sep07 Aug17 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 ★    
SCR  BIG LOUIE Mar16 Mar02 Feb17 Feb03 Jan21 (dye steven)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 112 15.00    
8  SPECTACULAR LUCK Dec14 Nov23 Oct05 Sep07 Aug23 (wilson tony)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
9  THIRD MOON Dec18 Sep18 Aug27 Jul28 Jul09 (cahill steven)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 30.00    
10  THE BIG CALICO Dec21 Mar16 Feb23 Feb11 Jan24 (drake )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUISTMER Nov29 Aug31 Aug10 Aug03 Jun30 (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 119 2.50    
SCR  INTOLERABLE Dec18 Nov23 Oct05 Sep14 Jul20 (ramos o)CASTANON L 119 30.00    
SCR  GUAIO Dec14 Nov23 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 (agostini a)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 112 8.00    
SCR  DIAL HIM UP Dec22 May22 Apr27 Apr14 Mar30 (mendie)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 112 30.00    
 
TAM-6   01/05/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICAL WAY Dec13 Sep20 Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 10.00    
2  COURT AND SPARK Dec11 Oct22 Oct08 Sep02 Aug06 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 2.50 68% 0.50    
3  ACTION SEEKER Oct17 Sep22 Aug17 Jun30 Jun21 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
4  RONIC Sep22 Aug19 Jul26 Jul06 Jun03 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
5  OLD TOWN ROAD Dec18 Apr28 Apr17 Mar09 Feb25 (waltke thomas)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 15.00    
6  HEY PADRE Dec27 Nov23 Oct22 Oct01 Sep17 (simone v)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 5% 18.50    
7  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Oct16 Oct08 Sep18 Sep04 Aug20 (rice kevin)MORALES PABLO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  HE'S A GOOD DANCER Dec27 Nov20 Oct22 Oct09 Sep20 (barron r)GALLARDO A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  WOKE UP IN LOVE Dec11 Nov20 Oct10 Sep26 Sep16 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 119 4.00 ★    
10  TRAPPEZOID Nov10 Oct18 Sep28 Jul27 Apr26 (delgado jo)URDANETA J 119 8.00    
 
TAM-7   01/05/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MICHAELA Dec07 Sep20       (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  LOVELADY BOLT         (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 42% 1.40    
3  BAJA DE ORO Dec29 Dec13 Aug16     (munoz carlos)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 15.00    
4  PACHIRA Oct09         (granitz an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
5  QUEEN DIANA Dec11         (alonso cas)ALONSO LUIS 120 30.00    
6  ANNA JEAN Dec24 Dec07 Nov20     (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
7  THUNDER PRINCESS Nov14 Oct03 Aug15 Jul21 Jun23 (rigattieri j)BATISTA A 120 2.50    
8  PRINCESA STARLET Dec07 Nov29 Oct19 Sep14 Sep04 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  CLAIMED Oct19 Sep21       (damen daniel)MENESES MARCOS 120 15.00    
10  INCLUSIVE JUSTICE Oct07         (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
SCR  WHEN IN ROMA Dec22 Dec07 Oct04     (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50    
SCR  CAJUN PRIME Dec22 Nov10 Oct18 Sep07 Aug10 (yates michael)FERRER C 120 8.00    
SCR  CHICA CATHOLIC Dec22 Oct26 Sep01     (cascallares n)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 20.00    
SCR  HER LUCKY DIAMOND Dec22 Oct10 Sep23 Aug26   (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 120 20.00    
 
TAM-8   01/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHROMED IMPULSE Dec14 Nov20 Oct03 Aug29 Aug09 (contessa g)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 8.00 11% 8.10    
2  JOHN'S PROMISE Dec27 Dec14 Nov20 Oct30 Oct11 (simone v)LEON SONNY 119 12.00    
3  VOLKERT Dec18 Dec01 Nov10 Oct04 Sep07 (simone v)FERRER C 119 10.00 6% 14.70    
4  HUNTERS GHOST Dec28 Dec20 Dec06 Oct19 Sep22 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
5  BALTASAR Dec28 Oct12 Sep25 Sep04 Jul25 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 123 1.60 26% 2.80    
6  RICHY Dec22 Dec06 Nov15 Oct20 Aug23 (davis scooter)IORIO MELISSA 119 12.00    
7  BIG FIG Dec24 Nov29 Nov04 Oct30 Oct13 (rivera a)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 6% 15.00    
SCR  OVERHAUL Dec22 Dec05 Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 (alessi james)HESS SARA 112 30.00    
9  HAP'S VICTORY Dec11 Nov27 Oct24 Sep26 Sep07 (barrett gr)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 109 30.00    
10  SILVER STYLE Dec11 Oct24 Sep26 Sep04 Aug08 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 12.00    
 
TAM-9   01/05/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JASSAI Dec18 Dec11 Nov03 Oct13 Sep05 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 10.00    
2  CLEOPATRA'S NILE Dec19 Nov24 Oct27 Oct04 Aug10 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  DAME CATHERINE Dec18 Oct30 Sep27 Sep14 Aug23 (wilson tony)MENESES MARCOS 119 4.00    
4  BOLT OF PARADISE Dec18 Oct12 Sep21 Jul26 Jun30 (crook-demasi )MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
5  EVIE DOES IT Dec11 Nov23 Oct24 Sep27 Sep14 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIGITAL TRADE Oct31 Aug15 Feb21 Jan10 Dec14 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00 ★    
7  DUBAWI WOWIE Nov28 Sep14 Jul04 May04 Apr06 (abreu r)CENTENO E 121 8.00    
8  FROTHY Dec21 Nov03 Sep27 Aug04 Jul03 (cascallares nest)LEON SONNY 119 30.00    
9  SHAKREVENGE Dec11 Oct27 Oct13 Aug24 Jul26 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00 23% 3.30    
10  C. S. VIVACE Oct27 Aug31 Jun16 Jun01 Apr28 (baxter georgina)FERRER C 119 20.00    
11  ROZAY SUMMER Oct23 Sep16 Aug26 Aug07 Jul24 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  PLAY FREE BIRD Dec28 Dec11 Oct18 Sep13 Aug17 (contessa g)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.