Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - December 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (4/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/6)-(5/2/8/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/6)-(5/2/8/7/3)-(3/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/2/8/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/7/3)-(5/2/8/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/7/3)-(5/2/8/7/3)-(5/2/8/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/8/7/3)-(3/5/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/7/3)-(3/5/8)-(10/8/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TUP-5   WIN (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/8)-(3/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/8)-(3/5/8)-(3/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/8)-(10/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/8)-(10/8/3)-(8/7/2/3/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TUP-6   WIN (10/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/8/3)-(10/1/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/8/3)-(10/1/8/3/4)-(10/1/8/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/8/3)-(8/7/2/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/8/3)-(8/7/2/3/4)-(7/1/3/10/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TUP-7   WIN (8/7/2/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/3/4)-(8/7/2/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/3/4)-(8/7/2/3/4)-(8/7/2/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/2/3/4)-(7/1/3/10/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-8   WIN (7/1/3/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/10/9)-(7/1/3/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/10/9)-(7/1/3/10/9)-(7/1/3/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   12/23/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINNLEY'S KITTEN Dec05 Nov19 Jun29 May26 Apr22 (kereluk ed)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.50    
2  ENGLISH DANGER Dec03 Nov19 Oct13 Sep06 Aug09 (villama)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 15% 5.60    
3  LUNAR UNIT Dec05 Nov14 Aug22 Jul18 Jun24 (vitali marcus )REYES R 122 5.00    
4  GI GIS MAP Dec09 Nov19 Sep25 Sep05 Aug24 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 2.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  SHE SAID MY WAY Nov26 Aug24 Jul21 Jun09 May26 (salinas l)JENSEN P 122 10.00 14% 5.90    
6  FOREST ACCLAMATION Dec05 Nov14 Sep08 Aug23 Jul14 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  DRINK AND A WINK Dec05 Sep14 Sep01 May12 Apr22 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 6.00    
8  HOT LIL MESS Dec03 Nov11 Aug25 May04 Apr10 (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 122 20.00    
 
TUP-4   12/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  U CAN DO U May02 Apr04 Mar18 Feb15 Nov28 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 121 4.50    
2  LOVE MY JIMMY Nov19 Jun21 May27 May10 Mar14 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  POVERTY BAY Sep07 Aug17 Jul14 Jun23 Apr30 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MEDIMPACT Apr25 Apr08 Mar20 Feb20 Jan25 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 124 10.00    
5  CHUCKANUT BAY Nov14 Sep23 Aug25 Aug09 Jul20 (rosales jor)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
6  TOOLITTLETOOLATE Jul28 Jul20 Jul14 Jun01 May18 (christian)JENSEN P 121 20.00    
7  WELTON Nov19 Sep08 Aug09 Jul14 Jun23 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  EXXEL Dec11 Nov19 Sep21 Sep05 Aug11 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 6% 16.20    
9  MR. STANG Nov03 Oct06 Aug20 Jul16 Jun26 (moreno carlos)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
 
TUP-5   12/23/2024 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LINDA'S MAP Dec05 Nov17 Sep18     (moreno car)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 10.00    
SCR  REVOCATA Nov18 Nov05 Oct23 Oct13 Sep30 (silva jua)ULLOA JOAN 121 12.00    
3  WELCOMETOHOLLYWOOD Dec05 Nov18 Sep17 Aug28 Aug06 (brown jared)MOJICA O 121 3.00 48% 1.10    
4  SAPELLO LA FINA Dec05 Nov18 Aug03 Jul14   (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 5.00    
5  LITTLE BIT TIPSY Dec05 Nov18 Sep26 Sep02 Aug24 (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 6.00 19% 4.30    
6  REBEL GAL Dec05 Aug18 Aug10 Jul14 Jun22 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 12.00    
SCR  FREYA'S ARROW Nov18 Aug31       (essex charles)REYES R 121 10.00    
8  GIMME MO MONEY Nov25 Nov13 Sep26 Sep12 Aug24 (martinez est)HUGHES RASHEED 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  MEGA HEART Nov18 Sep25 Sep02 Aug11 Jul14 (brinson clay)MONTALVO C 121 3.00    
SCR  SHE'S MY FLAME Dec14 Nov29 Oct25 Oct14 Sep20 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 121 15.00    
 
TUP-6   12/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTOFQUEMADO Nov27 Nov14 Aug31 Aug04 Jul14 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 4.00 ★    
2  CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Dec09 Nov11 Oct13 Oct06 Sep08 (torres-casas al)NEGRON LUIS 122 20.00    
3  UNUSUAL WIN Dec09 Oct27 Oct05 Sep20 Sep07 (martinez a)VERGARA P 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ANYOTHERQUESTIONS Nov18 Jul06 Jan21 Mar15 Jan01 (stevens s)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 ★    
5  BEER BEGONE Dec10 Nov27 Nov11 Oct13 Sep16 (silva-marti)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 119 10.00    
6  THOMPSON Dec09 Nov14 Sep24 Apr27 Mar23 (betts nancy)KHELAWAN KERRON 119 5.00    
7  HOLLYWOOD HERO Nov27 Nov17 Nov03 Oct21 Oct08 (s)ROJAS EDUARD 122 10.00    
8  BARON'S SONG Dec10 Nov27 Nov11 Aug11 Jul13 (zimmerman)IRONEYES R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DR VINNIE BOOMBATZ Dec10 Nov23 Nov06 Oct17 Sep13 (valerio raymon)REYES R 122 6.00    
10  HICKORY WIND Nov27 Nov11 Oct14 Sep22 Sep08 (velasquez )AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 77% 0.30    
SCR  SKY CLOUD Dec12 Nov26 Oct04 Sep22 Sep07 (fuentes ru)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 3.50    
 
TUP-7   12/23/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYNTACTIC Dec05 Nov19 Sep22 Sep06 Aug16 (bean rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 20.00    
2  ELECTROSTATIC Dec09 Nov13 Oct24 Oct09 Sep24 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 117 12.00 13% 6.90    
3  CROSS THE CAUSEWAY Nov27 Nov19 Sep25 Sep12 Aug22 (barraza s)TOHILL S 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TABLE FOR TWO Nov13 Aug17 Jul24 Jun08 Apr16 (fuentes ru)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  FLEETRIDGE Dec10 Jan12 Dec09 Nov15 Oct13 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00    
6  CAISSON Dec03 Oct18 Sep13 Dec17 Oct14 (chambers mike)KRIGGER K 122 3.00    
7  MR NAVIGATOR Dec03 Nov20 Oct27 Sep28 Sep19 (gangidino lisa)LOPEZ KARLO 122 20.00 26% 2.80    
8  LEVON Nov21 Oct18 Sep13 Dec26 Dec03 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  YOU KIDDING ME Dec09 Nov25 Jun09 May25 May12 (fearon johnat)MUIR SHAMAREE 122 30.00    
10  CIBERTRUCK Dec03 Nov20 Nov12 Sep12 Aug18 (lund valorie)REYES R 122 5.00    
11  FLINT STROLL Nov22 Oct26 Oct11 Aug29 Aug01 (morfin li)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
12  MR LOVE MUFFIN Dec03 Aug11 Jul03 Jun16 Jun02 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 20.00    
 
TUP-8   12/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINNERS GOLDNSENSE Nov21 Nov11 Sep24 Sep18 Sep11 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 116 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  RALLIFIED Dec03 Sep08 Aug31 Aug16 Jul19 (van debbie)TOHILL S 121 15.00    
3  WINSITWELL Nov29 Oct11 Sep21 Sep06 Aug15 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 17% 4.80    
4  TOO WILD TO TAME Nov18 Oct16 Oct02 Sep06 Aug04 (torres)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 20.00    
5  LETSGOTOTHEBAR May31 Apr12 Mar29     (nunnally je)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 12.00    
6  RINGTONE Nov21 Sep22 Sep08 Sep02 Aug16 (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 121 12.00    
7  SIZE LORD Nov30 Aug03 Jul04 May19 Apr19 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 30% 2.30    
8  ATTAIN Nov29 Oct13 Sep22 Jul05 Jun15 (betts nancy)KHELAWAN KERRON 121 12.00    
9  CLUBHOUSE CHARLIE Dec12 Sep23 Feb11 Jan13   (homer jason)CRUZ M 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  SON O' SANPETE Nov21 Nov02 Sep01 Aug08   (kenney rya)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 4.50 5% 17.20    
11  FONTES Nov15 Oct24 Oct02 Sep18 Aug30 (baze earl)IRONEYES R 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.