Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Thursday - December 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (2/5/9/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/9/7/6)-(2/5/9/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/9/7/6)-(2/5/9/7/6)-(2/5/9/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/9/7/6)-(4/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/9/7/6)-(4/1/3)-(8/2/1/9/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-2   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(8/2/1/9/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(8/2/1/9/5)-(2/5/8/9/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-3   WIN (8/2/1/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/1/9/5)-(8/2/1/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/1/9/5)-(8/2/1/9/5)-(8/2/1/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/1/9/5)-(2/5/8/9/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/2/1/9/5)-(2/5/8/9/4)-(2/4/1/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-4   WIN (2/5/8/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/9/4)-(2/5/8/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/9/4)-(2/5/8/9/4)-(2/5/8/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/8/9/4)-(2/4/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/9/4)-(2/4/1/7)-(1/5/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-5   WIN (2/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/7)-(1/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/7)-(1/5/6/4)-(6/4/7/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-6   WIN (1/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/6/4)-(6/4/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/4)-(6/4/7/2)-(9/10/3/2/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (6/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/2)-(9/10/3/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-8   WIN (9/10/3/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/3/2/8)-(9/10/3/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/3/2/8)-(9/10/3/2/8)-(9/10/3/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   12/05/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE A BANDIT Nov21 Nov08 Oct23 Sep09 Aug17 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 15.00    
CASHEW Nov08 Aug17 Aug02 Jul12 Jun08 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
MIDNIGHT TRIP Nov21 Nov08 Sep17 Aug12 Aug02 (melancon do)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 6.00    
MUMBLEBEE Nov08 Oct23 Sep22 Sep07 Aug16 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 12.00    
ZING Nov02 Oct23 Jul16 Jun19 May11 (turner patti)PEREZ CARLOS 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
MSCHITCHATTOUR Oct30 Oct10 Aug17 Jul27 Jun18 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
COURTLY DOC Nov21 Oct26 Jul12 Jun06 May17 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 5.00 10% 9.10    
NORA'S LEGACY Nov03 Oct13 Sep29 Sep11 May14 (hibdon n)POMPELL L 124 8.00    
HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS Nov08 Oct30 Sep22 Sep07 Dec28 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
DED-2   12/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALIBRACHOAMATTERS Nov22 Oct16 Aug24 Aug03 Jun29 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 120 1.80 27% 2.60    
TRUVY'S BANDIT Nov22 Nov06 Jul18 Jun27 May29 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00    
BACK BAYOU Nov01 Oct23 Aug22 Aug03 Jun29 (larrosa a)PEREZ CARLOS 116 6.00 14% 6.30    
ADIOS CARLOS Nov15 Oct16 Sep26 Aug07 Jul17 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
CABOCHON TREASURE Oct30 Sep26 Aug24 Jun08 May24 (lara jorge)ARANA KELVIN 115 6.00    
CAJUN CYCLONE Nov13 Oct23 Aug17 Aug01 Jul20 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 4.00    
 
DED-3   12/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO COURAGE         (romero j)ROSIER R 124 15.00 5% 18.50    
CANAL ST. CUPID Nov05 Oct16 Aug23 Jul06 May10 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
TRIPS TO WIN Nov05 Sep11       (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 3.50    
ASTRONEER Nov13 Oct29 Sep11 Aug26 Jul29 (garcia luis)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 10.00    
ZONG'S FAVOR Nov05 Sep23 Sep09 Aug07 Jul02 (shamsie mike)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
DIXIE'S ASTRO Nov20 Dec15 Dec02     (dunn ra)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 8.00    
DUE WE DARE Sep09 Aug13 Jul29 Jun19 May29 (pedigo randy)PEREZ CARLOS 118 6.00    
WITCHOLOGY Oct29 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 Jul05 (gelner scot)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 4.50 47% 1.10    
TOMS LUCKY MO Nov23 Nov01 Aug28     (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-4   12/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALTAR GIRL Nov20 Nov07 Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 (litfin veronic)THORNTON G 120 10.00    
SNOW FLURRY Nov09 Sep19 Sep05 Aug15 Jul24 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 119 3.00 19% 4.20    
DYLAN'S DREAM Nov20 Nov06 Oct11 Sep14 Aug23 (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00    
HIGH DONNA Nov02 Aug10 Jul27 May29 May04 (mojica edith )RENGIFO JOHAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
GOOD BY FAITH Nov16 Aug16 Aug01 Jun20 May17 (escobar alison)PEREZ CARLOS 114 6.00 19% 4.30    
MY IDEA Nov22 Oct17 Sep18 Aug21 Aug12 (zeno benjam)MELANCON JANSEN 116 15.00    
DAY FOR THE GRAY Nov16 Oct10 Sep04     (gomez c)VARGAS P 119 5.00    
FLATHEAD FINALE Nov02 Oct15 Oct01 Aug31 Aug08 (martinez ralph )POMPELL L 119 4.00 18% 4.50    
IMMA GOING TO WIN Nov16 Jun16 May31 Apr28 Mar29 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 14% 6.40    
10  CHARGED UP ROSE Nov20 Oct18 Aug24 Jun27 Jun06 (dussette alvi)LOZADA CARLOS 116 20.00    
 
DED-5   12/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TDZ CORRIENDA STAR Oct29 Jun20 Apr13 Jan11 Nov25 (eschete nason)FUSILIER C 120 10.00 15% 5.80    
RAISE THE ALARM Oct29 Oct11 Aug10 Jun27 Apr10 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
HOPESHECANRUN Oct26 Aug16 Apr12 Mar15 Feb23 (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 5.00    
GIRL LIKES BLING Nov20 Nov07 Aug16 Jul25 Jun22 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 123 3.50 20% 4.00    
SHEZA HOT STORM Oct29 Aug16 Jul06 Jun15 Apr10 (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00    
SCR  LITTLE E Aug14 Aug05 Jun11 May13 Feb17 (schultz l)HERNANDEZ V 120 8.00    
MAXIMUM MOXIE Oct18 Aug24 Jul18 Jun13 Apr25 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
MYDEALOFTHEDAY Jun13 Apr27 Feb21 Feb01 Jan05 (constantine c)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00    
 
DED-6   12/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN CATALINA Nov13 Oct17 Aug10 Jun29 May24 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
MOION Nov16 Oct29 Aug01 Jul09 May31 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 119 6.00    
HOT PATOOTIE Nov08 Oct18 Sep24 Aug19 Jul18 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00    
MISS TARGET Nov13 Oct17 Sep04 Nov16 Nov01 (shamsie mike)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00 5% 18.10    
TENSAS LU LU Nov13 Oct17 Aug23 Jul06 Jun21 (ramirez-rod)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.50 10% 9.30    
SUZY DOLL'S READY Nov13 Oct12 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 (ward ronnie)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00 8% 12.10    
MADELYN'S HIT Nov16 Oct12 Aug17 Aug01 Jun13 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 119 3.50    
GOTTEMINABIND Nov13 Aug23 May20 Apr27 Apr12 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 20.00    
SCR  DOLLY'S GUITAR May02 Apr12 Mar03 Feb03 Jan13 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 120 8.00    
 
DED-7   12/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONEGAL FACTOR Jun22 May02 Apr11 Mar16 Dec18 (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 2.00    
RACE DRIVER Nov23 May16 Apr26 Mar08 Feb09 (martinez a)ROSIER R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MY BUDDY MEL Nov16 Oct12 Sep27 Sep06 Aug25 (hibdon mark )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00    
HYPERBOLIST Nov22 Apr06 Dec08 Jun02 May05 (noel dane)BIRZER E 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
GET THEM JUSTIN Nov02 Jul11 Jun14 Apr27 Apr11 (segura kearn)BARRERA J 117 4.50    
IRON IN THE FIRE Nov23 Nov08 Oct11 Aug10 Jul04 (landry r)THORNTON G 117 4.00 35% 1.80    
LIFE IS A BANQUET Oct17 Aug10 Jul18 May31 Feb03 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 8.00 10% 9.10    
 
DED-8   12/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPRESSIVE BIDDER Oct12 Sep04 Aug01     (norwood e)DEONAUTH P 124 20.00    
RED ON THE HEAD Feb22 Jan13 Dec13 Oct07 Aug10 (boxie joseph )VARGAS P 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MUNCLE Nov23 Oct23 Aug17 Jul19 Jul04 (cormier)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 18.00    
A FOOL FOR CARLOS Aug22 Jun07 May01 Apr18 Nov15 (broussard vinc)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 20.00    
B D PRIMARY OURS Nov22 Jul05 Apr25 Feb01 Nov17 (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 115 10.00    
KNIGHT'S GOLD Nov16 Oct23 Jul25 Jun15 May23 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00    
JANET'S BROTHER Jun03 May21       (pomier chasey )ARANA KELVIN 115 5.00    
CAJUN COUNTRY Nov16 Jun28 Jun13 May15   (dussette alvin)FUSILIER C 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
DISTORTED MATH Nov23 Sep26 Sep04 Jul10 Jun25 (wong jonathan)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 4.00 59% 0.70    
10  CUPCAKE COWBOY Nov16 Nov01 Oct12 Aug14 Jun27 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 3.50 10% 9.50    
SCR  FOREST BEAST Oct23         (thomas lee)PEREZ CARLOS 116 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.