Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - November 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/4)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/4)-(5/4/6)-(3/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(3/2/5)-(4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-5   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(4/7)-(4/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-6   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/5/1)-(4/7/5/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/7)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(4/5/3)-(7/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-7   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(7/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(3/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-8   WIN (7/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/3)-(3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TUP-9   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   11/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEIPZIG Sep29 Sep17 Sep02 Jul29 Jul07 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
2  ENGLISH DANGER Oct13 Sep06 Aug09 Jul05 Jun15 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 2.00    
3  SENSIBLE LUTE Sep13 Aug17 Aug03 Jul21 Jul03 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 124 6.00    
4  POCKET KNIFE Sep06 Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 Jun16 (carlson a)REYES R 124 8.00 5% 18.60    
5  ANNIE FOX Oct12 Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 Aug02 (freeman edw)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 3.00 33% 2.10    
6  CALY BALI Sep21 Sep05 Aug17 Jul24 Jun27 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
7  GI GIS MAP Sep25 Sep05 Aug24 Jul06 Jun13 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 10.00 13% 6.60    
 
TUP-4   11/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXXEL Sep21 Sep05 Aug11 Jul03 Jun07 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.50    
2  WELTON Sep08 Aug09 Jul14 Jun23 Jun01 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00    
SCR  WINTER FALCON Nov10 Oct20 Sep21 Sep07 Aug25 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50    
4  B MINOR Oct17 Aug09 Jul24 May25 May08 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
5  PRISONER Sep29 Sep08 Aug17 Jun23 Jun02 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 4.00 51% 1.00    
6  LETTHERAINSETTLEIT Jun20 Jun08 Apr30 Apr15 Mar27 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   11/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOEL'S ANGEL Jul27 Jun30 May24 May04 Feb09 (silva gabri)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 4.50    
2  ANNIE'S BOY Apr22 Apr03 Feb25 Feb04 Apr21 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
3  LOVE MY JIMMY Jun21 May27 May10 Mar14 Feb13 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  PLANE TALK Sep26 Aug11 Aug01 Jun22 May18 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00    
5  GOLDEN ALE Jun30 Jun02 Apr30 Feb10 Jan01 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  GOOD BYE CHARLIE May19 Apr30 Jan29 Jan05 Oct27 (valerio ra)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00    
 
TUP-6   11/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYNTACTIC Sep22 Sep06 Aug16 Jul05 Jun15 (ortiz manu)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.50 ★    
2  QUEBECK (ARG) Oct01 Sep16 Aug11     (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
3  MOESAHANDFUL Jul05 Jun15 Apr21 Dec31 Nov24 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 2.50    
4  CROSS THE CAUSEWAY Sep25 Sep12 Aug22 Jun18 Jun07 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 57% 0.70    
5  EARTHLY TIGER Aug31 Aug24 Jul26 Jul12 May31 (tubbs scott)REYES R 124 4.00 ★    
6  DEKUDYLAN Sep14 Aug31 Aug11 Jul27 Jul06 (birdwel)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 6.00    
7  LUKA GRAZIE Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Jul03 Jun21 (homer jason)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 21% 3.80    
 
TUP-7   11/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OM FIRE Oct06 Sep07 Jul28 Jun14 May19 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 119 1.40    
2  AUTISM WARRIOR Oct13 Sep29 Sep16 Aug30 Aug18 (christian)JENSEN P 122 8.00    
3  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR Oct14 Oct07 Sep23 Sep16 Sep07 (christian)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  DELTA DELTA Oct13 Oct07 Sep23 Aug25 Aug11 (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 2.50 63% 0.60    
5  DERBY BOY Oct13 Sep29 Sep16 Aug25 Aug04 (gibson f)CRUZ M 119 3.50 16% 5.40    
6  GO GABRIELLA Oct13 Aug17 Aug10 Aug08 Jul27 (dennis clifton)REYES R 122 10.00    
 
TUP-8   11/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLEY PAINTS Sep07 Aug25 Aug08 Jul27 Jun29 (kato akif)VALENZUELA A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SKY SAILING Sep08 Aug25 Aug02 Jun08 May24 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 119 2.50    
3  FINNLEY'S KITTEN Jun29 May26 Apr22 Apr09 Mar25 (kereluk ed)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MINEDANDREFINED Sep07 Aug03 Apr09 Feb15 Feb05 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00    
5  WHIMSICAL HEIR Sep27 Aug29 Aug08 May25 Apr19 (chambers mike)MONTALVO C 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
6  STARRY BEACH Oct11 Sep09 Aug05 Jul07 Jun16 (silva-mart)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 5.00    
7  SING A HAPPY SONG Sep05 Aug01 Apr28 Apr06 Feb24 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
 
TUP-9   11/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXTHELEGEND Aug23 Jul22 Jun17 May20 Apr11 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 122 5.00    
2  SO I'M TOLD Oct13 Aug10 Jul07 Jun23 May12 (peery debbi)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  KENNEBEC Aug08 Jul10 May04 Apr11 Mar28 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
4  COTTONWOOD Oct19 Oct02 Sep11 Jul12 May26 (gibson f)CRUZ M 122 3.00    
SCR  JACKS OUTLAW Jul03 Jun08 May04 Apr16 Mar26 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00    
6  WELLSWORT (IRE) Nov01 Sep21 Aug17 Aug02 Jul05 (silva jos)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 15.00    
7  AMERICAN BLAZE Oct12 Sep14 Aug24 Jul12 Jun15 (brinson clay)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.