Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Lethbridge
Sunday - October 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LBG-5   EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-5 $8.25 $2.25 38%
Simulator Race results
 
LBG-5   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fillies Oaks Purse ($10.5K) 3 F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
1:113         1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KULSUM 1 5 52¾ 41¾   43 14¾ (brown r)SIMPSON W 124 0.20 28% 2.60 1.05 W
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of PRETTY GOLDEN by FORMAL GOLD)
5  ARIZONA LINDY 5 3 1nk 2nk   11 24¾ (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 8.00 19% 4.40 5.70 P
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of AWESOME EFFORT by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  DISTORTED ROSE 2 1 3.2 3.2   32 35¼ (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 4.00 1.95  
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of ZANITA ROSAE by SKIMMING)
4  ANNA'S GIRL 4 2 42¼ 54¾   53 412½ (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 10.00 18.55  
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of CAPAZ by BERNARDINI)
3  MOBIL CREEK 3 4 2nk 1nk   21 517¾ (mead col)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 5.00 20% 4.10 4.90  
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of MOBIL APP by MOBIL)
 
LBG-6   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
1:111         1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY 5 1 2nk 11   11 12 (mead colten)SIMPSON W 124 2.50 35% 1.90 2.30 W
6  CHIPPEWA BUD 6 4 41 42   21 22 (fike jordie)BUGEAUD L 124 7.00 3.45  
7  STAY OUTA MY WAY 7 6 3½ 32   32 37½ (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 6.00 5.05  
2  GO GABRIELLA 2 3 1nk 21   43 47½ (dennis clifton )NELSON RYAN 124 12.00 80.55  
4  TEE CLASS 4 2 63 64¼   65½ 57¾ (brown all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 10.00 5% 19.00 34.35  
8  NYQUILER 8 5 51½ 52¼   54½ 68 (weaselhe)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00 33% 2.00 1.85  
1  NO MOR DISCO 1 8 86 86¾   87 78¾ (shearer krist)FUENTES FREDY 124 12.00 34.70  
3  NIGHTFALL 3 7 75 75¾   76½ 810¼ (ferguson laurie)ROCHA O 124 4.50 8% 11.60 10.90  
 
LBG-7   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
1:10         1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LOUD FUSAICHI 7 3 1nk 11   14 19¾ (magnuson lyle)APANGO JUAN 124 1.80 28% 2.50 0.60 W
6  LADY COP 6 1 2nk 21   24 29¾ (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.60 45% 1.20 2.25 P
3  WICKED WOMAN 3 2 3.2 511½   410 310¼ (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 6.00 10.45  
1  CRITICAL CONDITION 1 4 42¼ 32   37 410¼ (speaks de)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 3.50 10.15  
5  SAYITALL 5 7 69¼ 613½   616 515¾ (snider cor)APANGO JOSE 124 12.00 38.85  
2  SILVERS LAST DANCE 2 5 53¼ 410   512 616½ (birdrattler)EDWARDS A 124 8.00 5% 19.00 25.90  
4  DYLAN'S SAVE 4 6 712¼ 718½   716½ 742 (clarke chandr)FUENTES FREDY 124 10.00 5% 19.00 54.80  
 
LBG-8   10/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Amtote Open Derby Purse ($13.2K) 3 ALL PT- 6:10
See original race card.
1:49         1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHINING TIGER 5 7 32 3.2 3.2 11 16¼ (brown r)SIMPSON W 124 2.00 51% 1.00 1.75 W
  (by SMILING TIGER out of BROOKE'S HALO by SOUTHERN HALO)
6  HELEN'S SUN 6 1 11 1nk 1nk 21 26¼ (weaselhead g)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00 10% 9.10 3.55 P
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MISS REBOUND by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
1  THUNDER BALL 1 3 21 2nk 2nk 31 38¾ (smith jacki)GORDON GARFIELD 124 1.20 2.30  
  (by MITOLE out of STRIKE ACCORD by SMART STRIKE)
8  ENANO CARO 8 8 78½ 68¼ 610¼ 41½ 411 (mooney bill)BUGEAUD L 124 6.00 15.55  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of ELLIE'S THE BOSS by STREET BOSS)
3  INNOCENT MAN 3 5 64½ 710¼ 710¼ 610½ 516¼ (cameron )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 8.00 5% 19.00 36.60  
  (by HONOR CODE out of NOBLE GREY by FORESTRY)
2  EDDY BEAR 2 4 43½ 53¼ 57¼ 711½ 620 (depew jim)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 10.00 41.55  
  (by EDISON out of PIGTAILS by STEPHANOTIS)
7  DAKOTA INVADER 7 6 54½ 41¾ 41¼ 57½ 722¼ (fike caitlin)ROCHA O 124 12.00 5.65  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SIMPLY SPECTACULAR by OPUS DEI (FR))
4  YOU BACK 4 2 89½ 813¼ 814¼ 812½ 837¾ (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.00 11% 7.80 18.20  
  (by ACCELERATE out of SPECIAL DREAM by OFFICER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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