Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lethbridge
Sunday - October 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LBG-5   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-6   WIN (5/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/4)-(5/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/4)-(5/8/3/4)-(5/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/4)-(6/7/2/4)-(5/4/6/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
LBG-7   WIN (6/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LBG-8   WIN (5/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LBG-5   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fillies Oaks Purse ($10.5K) 3 F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KULSUM Sep14 Aug24 Jul28 Jul05 Jun07 (brown r)SIMPSON W 124 0.20 28% 2.60    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of PRETTY GOLDEN by FORMAL GOLD)
2  DISTORTED ROSE Sep29 Sep01 Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 4.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of ZANITA ROSAE by SKIMMING)
3  MOBIL CREEK Sep07 Aug27 Aug14 Jul22 Jul09 (mead col)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 5.00 20% 4.10    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of MOBIL APP by MOBIL)
4  ANNA'S GIRL Sep15 Aug17 Aug03 Jul07 Jun29 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 10.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of CAPAZ by BERNARDINI)
5  ARIZONA LINDY Sep15 Aug17 Jul28 May02 Apr16 (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 8.00 19% 4.40    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of AWESOME EFFORT by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
LBG-6   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO MOR DISCO Sep22 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul27 (shearer krist)FUENTES FREDY 124 12.00    
2  GO GABRIELLA Aug17 Aug10 Aug08 Jul27 Jun30 (dennis clifton )NELSON RYAN 124 12.00    
3  NIGHTFALL Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Jun14 (ferguson laurie)ROCHA O 124 4.50 8% 11.60    
4  TEE CLASS Aug25 Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jun28 (brown all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Aug10 Aug03 Jul14 Jun28 Jun03 (mead colten)SIMPSON W 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
6  CHIPPEWA BUD Sep28 Sep08 Aug18 Jun12 May13 (fike jordie)BUGEAUD L 124 7.00    
7  STAY OUTA MY WAY Aug18 Aug10 Jul13 Jun14 May18 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 6.00    
8  NYQUILER Jul27 Jul07 Jun28 Jun08 May19 (weaselhe)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
LBG-7   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRITICAL CONDITION Sep29 Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 Jun08 (speaks de)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 3.50    
2  SILVERS LAST DANCE Jul13 Jun29 Apr21 Apr13 Mar01 (birdrattler)EDWARDS A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  WICKED WOMAN Sep28 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 6.00    
4  DYLAN'S SAVE Sep29 Sep14 Sep01 Aug04 Jul27 (clarke chandr)FUENTES FREDY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SAYITALL Sep29 Sep07 Aug17 Aug04 Jul27 (snider cor)APANGO JOSE 124 12.00    
6  LADY COP Sep18 Aug26 Aug14 Jul03 Jun17 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.60 45% 1.20    
7  LOUD FUSAICHI Sep29 Aug25 Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 (magnuson lyle)APANGO JUAN 124 1.80 28% 2.50    
 
LBG-8   10/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Amtote Open Derby Purse ($13.2K) 3 ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDER BALL Oct05 Sep07 Aug16 Jul04 Jun13 (smith jacki)GORDON GARFIELD 124 1.20    
  (by MITOLE out of STRIKE ACCORD by SMART STRIKE)
2  EDDY BEAR Sep29 Sep01 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 (depew jim)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 10.00    
  (by EDISON out of PIGTAILS by STEPHANOTIS)
3  INNOCENT MAN Sep29 Aug25 Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 (cameron )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of NOBLE GREY by FORESTRY)
4  YOU BACK Sep29 Aug25 Aug10 Jul28 Jul07 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.00 11% 7.80    
  (by ACCELERATE out of SPECIAL DREAM by OFFICER)
5  SHINING TIGER Sep22 Aug24 Jul28 Jul05 Jun22 (brown r)SIMPSON W 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of BROOKE'S HALO by SOUTHERN HALO)
6  HELEN'S SUN Aug30 Aug11 Jun28 May31 May04 (weaselhead g)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00 10% 9.10    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MISS REBOUND by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  DAKOTA INVADER Sep01 Aug15 Jul03 May26 Apr13 (fike caitlin)ROCHA O 124 12.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SIMPLY SPECTACULAR by OPUS DEI (FR))
8  ENANO CARO Sep17 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Aug06 (mooney bill)BUGEAUD L 124 6.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of ELLIE'S THE BOSS by STREET BOSS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.