Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Friday - November 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (5/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/6)-(7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/6)-(7/5/1)-(4/2/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-2   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(4/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(4/2/1/5)-(6/4/2/8/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (4/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/5)-(6/4/2/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/5)-(6/4/2/8/1)-(7/1/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-4   WIN (6/4/2/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/8/1)-(6/4/2/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/8/1)-(6/4/2/8/1)-(6/4/2/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/2/8/1)-(7/1/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/8/1)-(7/1/5/2)-(2/8/9/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-5   WIN (7/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/2)-(2/8/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/2)-(2/8/9/1)-(8/7/4/3/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-6   WIN (2/8/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/1)-(2/8/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/1)-(2/8/9/1)-(2/8/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/9/1)-(8/7/4/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/9/1)-(8/7/4/3/9)-(9/6/4/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (8/7/4/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/3/9)-(8/7/4/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/3/9)-(8/7/4/3/9)-(8/7/4/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/4/3/9)-(9/6/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4/3/9)-(9/6/4/2)-(8/7/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-8   WIN (9/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/4/2)-(9/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/4/2)-(9/6/4/2)-(9/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/4/2)-(8/7/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-9   WIN (8/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/4)-(8/7/6/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/4)-(8/7/6/5/4)-(8/7/6/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   11/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF AGAIN Aug31 May09 Apr18 Mar16 Feb18 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 8.00 9% 9.80    
FIESTY FIST Oct25 Sep14 Aug23 Jul05 Jun21 (turner patti)VARGAS P 120 4.50    
BIND FAITH Oct25 Aug23 Jul20 Jun27 May17 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 6.00    
DOUBLEDIAMOND DEAL Oct23 Sep14 Aug31 Aug14 Jul10 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 5.00    
CREEKSIDE Oct19 Aug16 Jun29 Dec30 Nov24 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
KAJUN KARMA Oct25 Jun27 May17 Apr18 Mar22 (castillo ri)RAMIREZ PAULINA 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
IZZY'S BABY BOY Jun07 May04 Apr24 Mar14 Feb16 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
DED-2   11/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIEF KIMOSABI Nov02 Aug17 Jul11 Jun15 May29 (journet albert)ROSIER R 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
GHOST COWBOY Oct29 Sep10 Aug13 Jun22 Jun14 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 3.00    
HAWAIIAN ARGUMENT Nov02 Aug14 May29 Apr27 Apr12 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 112 4.00    
SCR  ROCKALL Oct29 Sep26 Aug28 Aug07 Jul24 (melancon dona)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 8.00    
LUCKY'S SECRET Nov01 Oct18 Sep16 Aug26 Aug18 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 18% 4.60    
PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Nov02 Sep18 Aug14 Jun29 Jun07 (richard russell)POMPELL L 117 6.00    
INSIGNIS Oct29 Aug28 Aug09 Jul12 May11 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
DED-3   11/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNING RAGGED Oct10 Jul25 Jun29     (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 3.50 10% 8.70    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of HILARIOUS BROWN by BIG BROWN)
YAKETY YOCK Oct10 Aug31       (johnson henr)BARRERA J 120 4.50 12% 7.70    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of FULL FLEET by HALF OURS)
DEELITESANDIMSUM Oct10 Aug19       (dunn r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
  (by CATALINA RED out of DEELITES D'OR by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
CAJUN MITOLE Oct10         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by MITOLE out of CAJUN FLOWER by FLOWER ALLEY)
LOUISIANA BOSS Oct18         (chatters benar)PEREZ CARLOS 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of LOOKIN' FOR INDY by A.P. INDY)
SCR  SEITAN Oct26 Oct10       (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 6.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of COOP N NUGGET by CORINTHIAN)
BOX OF CANDY Oct26 Aug10 Jul13 Jun29   (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 15.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of GINGER MO by UNCLE MO)
BELLA'S BOSS Oct10 Aug24 Aug10     (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of ARABELLA BELLA by SKIPSHOT)
 
DED-4   11/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OJITOS Nov06 Oct16 Sep25 Mar12 Feb07 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
ADIOS CARLOS Oct16 Sep26 Aug07 Jul17 Jun25 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 117 3.50 15% 5.50    
DONNA'S COURT Jun04 May21 May06 Feb21 Jan19 (kanhai joseph)FUSILIER C 117 15.00    
GERARD Dec21 Nov30 Oct19 Sep18 Aug21 (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 120 6.00 16% 5.10    
CHEATIN CHARLIE Oct23 Sep11 Aug23 Dec21 Nov24 (terre david)LOZADA CARLOS 117 6.00    
CRANKSHAFT Oct26 Jul02 Jun18 May25 May07 (martinez ralph )MCMAHON J 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
SLITHER Oct26 Oct12 Aug15 Jun13 May18 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 117 4.50    
BISPING Oct25 Jul04 May30 May15 Dec14 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
THE FEATURE Sep25 Aug23 Aug03 Jul18 May10 (ellis j)HERNANDEZ V 120 12.00    
 
DED-5   11/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE CRIMSON Nov02 Aug17 Jun07 May11 Mar20 (melancon dona)RENGIFO JOHAN 117 8.00 13% 6.80    
MAIN DUDE Nov02 Aug22 Jul18 Jun21 Jun05 (giangro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
STONE ALLIANCE Jul18 Jun07 May23 Apr10 Mar06 (zenon charles)STOKES J 117 12.00    
SCR  GO CATS Oct29 Aug17 Jun29 Jun23 Apr13 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 2.50    
PURE MALICE Oct18 Aug17 Jul18 Jun22 Jun16 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 8.00 13% 7.00    
DEN'S GOOD GRACE Oct29 Jul05 Jun22 Jun04 May16 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 118 4.50    
LIL SWEET THANG Oct29 Oct11 Aug17 Jun21 Jun01 (morrell cyn)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 5.00 44% 1.30    
DYNAMIC SUN Oct16 Aug14 Jul11 Jun14 Apr26 (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 122 3.50    
 
DED-6   11/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 2 F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA LUNATIC Sep24         (jeane scott)ARANA KELVIN 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
ELWIN Oct23         (david b)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 6.00 36% 1.80    
NANA'S SWEET GIRL Oct26         (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
FERN SPIRIT Aug14 Jul23       (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 120 6.00    
MOPAC TRAFFIC Oct25 Sep17 Jun29 Jun14   (melancon dona)RENGIFO JOHAN 117 15.00    
SCR  THIS GRAY MISCHIEV Oct30 Oct12       (dussette)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 15.00    
MISS HOLY MISCHIEF Oct26         (robbins jr)ROSIER R 120 6.00    
SAMMY SAM SAM Aug24         (litfin veronic)THORNTON G 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
MIDNIGHT BLAZE Aug12         (desormeaux j)BARRERA J 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
DED-7   11/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNT ON RAIN Aug10 Aug01 Jul13 Jun21 May29 (benoit james)POMPELL L 124 20.00    
BILLY BOWLEGS Oct25 Aug23 Aug01 Feb22 Jan18 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 124 15.00    
COUNTRY CAT JAKE Oct26 Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 Jul04 (nelson e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SON CARLOS Oct26 Jun10 May20 May07 Mar24 (dunn he)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 2.00 20% 4.10    
TOMMY SIX FINGERS Oct12 Jul13 Jun21 May09 Feb07 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 124 8.00    
WHATTA LIFE Oct19 Aug17 Aug01 Jun15 May25 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50    
CUSTOM STAR Oct19 May15 Apr25 Apr05 Feb22 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
I'M A NIGHT TRAIN Oct23 Oct12 Aug22 Jan18 Nov22 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 119 6.00 32% 2.10    
GONE SOLUTION Aug23 Jul13 Jun21 Feb23 Feb08 (larrosa jua)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-8   11/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAUNTRESS Oct30 Aug24 Jul27 Jun28 May29 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 6.00    
MISS LEONA Aug24 Dec13 Nov16 Jul22   (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
BLING IT K K Oct10 Jul14 Jun09 May25 Nov30 (walker brad)LOZADA CARLOS 118 15.00    
LADY OF DEVON Oct17 Sep18 Aug26 Sep23 Aug13 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 118 5.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  TENACIOUS LADY Oct19 Sep25 Aug19 Jul01 Jun17 (turner patti)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 15.00    
KATIES FACTOR Nov02 Oct17 Aug10 Aug01 Jun21 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 8.00 21% 3.70    
LAYLA'S SONG Sep26 Jul25 Jul01 Jun12 May15 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
SURREY Aug24 Jul27 May15 Apr20 Feb24 (delany sara)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 15.00    
DE' ANS EIGHTY Jun27 May11 Apr17 Mar24 Feb04 (amoss thomas)BARRERA J 120 1.00 39% 1.50    
 
DED-9   11/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAT'S PRINCESS Oct29 Aug22 Jul26 Jul12 Jun14 (toups brent)BIRZER E 121 6.00    
SCR  SHEHASANATTITUDE Mar07 Feb21       (pomier chas)MELANCON JANSEN 124 8.00    
DON'T BLINK TWICE Oct29 Jul03 May18 Feb21 Jan25 (lara jo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
MIDNIGHT CIGARETTE Oct10 Aug22 Jul06 May30 Apr27 (west henry)ROSIER R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCAMPERING MA'AM Oct17 Sep26 Aug06 Jul10 Jun18 (wong jonath)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 4.50    
E R'S MIREYA Sep24 Aug22 May27 May04 Jan25 (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 121 12.00 6% 16.90    
LA CANTAROS Oct29 Sep16 Aug26 Jul01 Jun04 (melancon d)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 119 3.50 10% 8.80    
DEBBO Sep16 Aug09 Jul26 Jun08 May15 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 2.50 59% 0.70    
ACESANDDIAMONDS Jul20 Jun29 Feb15 Jan27   (thompson kevin)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 20.00    
10  MISS MO TOM Oct29 Aug22       (daigle walter)ARANA KELVIN 116 20.00    
SCR  NANNY'S HOUDINI Nov01 Oct18 Jul27 Jul18 Jun27 (bernard )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
SCR  TIME TO CLOSE Nov01 Aug24 Aug02 Jul06 Jun22 (celestine charles )STOKES J 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.