Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - November 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (8/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/1/3)-(4/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ARP-2   WIN (4/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/2)-(4/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/2)-(4/1/5/2)-(4/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-3   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(4/3/1)-(3/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ARP-4   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(3/5/4)-(5/8/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-5   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-6   WIN (5/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/2)-(5/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/2)-(5/8/6/2)-(5/8/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   11/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCS CARO CAT Oct18 Oct12 Sep28 Sep21 Jul03 (rushton stetso)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 5.00 13% 6.50    
2  RANDOM AFFAIR Oct19 Oct04 Sep13 Sep01 Aug24 (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
3  FUNNY ACTOR Oct19 Oct12 Sep28 Oct27 Oct22 (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  NOTACRY Oct25 Oct12 Sep28 Sep15 Sep01 (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
5  PAYNTER'S BOY Oct19 Oct04 Sep13 Sep01 Jun30 (rushton t)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00    
6  OBVIOUSLY TOO Oct26 Oct12 Sep16 Sep08 Aug18 (schindler jeff)RAMOS B 124 3.50    
7  WEALTH N HEALTH Oct18 Oct04 Sep22 Sep01 Aug24 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 119 10.00    
8  CAN DANZER Oct13 Oct04 Sep21 Sep06 Aug10 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
ARP-2   11/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HORNS N HALOS Sep15 Jul19 Jun08 Mar29 Feb18 (guadarrama o)CARILLO DANIEL 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
2  CHICKEN N BISCUIT Oct27 Oct12 Sep28 Oct22 Oct07 (esquibel mark)LARSEN S 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  DAX A DREAMING Oct27 Oct19 Sep21 Sep01 Aug18 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 122 6.00    
4  NORTHWIND Oct11 Sep28 Sep06 Aug10 Jul31 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
5  MEET GEORGE JETSON Oct20 Oct12 Sep28 Jun08 May27 (rushton tem)VORRATH VALENTE 124 10.00 6% 15.10    
6  COPPER SKY Oct11 Oct05 Sep06 Aug31 Jun30 (rushton temp)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 2.50    
7  ETHAN Oct11 Sep28 Aug10 Jul20 Jun30 (lavanway d)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00    
8  SASSY B KEEN Oct27 Oct11 Sep27 Sep20 Sep09 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 5.00    
 
ARP-3   11/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY FREE Oct13 Oct05 Sep20 Sep09 Aug12 (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of R S JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  I'M A TRUMPER Oct25 Oct13 Oct05 Sep20 Sep09 (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 119 4.50    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of SWEETPRINCESSCHARM by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
3  MISS JOSIE Oct20 Oct04 Sep13     (dieter da)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
  (by GORMLEY out of PROMPTER by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  MISSIONARY MARY Oct04 Aug03       (rust terr)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of VERCELLANA by COLONEL JOHN)
5  CURLINMYMONEY Oct04         (loftin linda)RAMOS B 122 8.00    
  (by MASTERY out of ENAMORED by CURLIN)
6  BOLD BREAK Oct04 Aug31 Aug24 Aug18 Jul06 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 5.00    
  (by PASS THE BUCK out of BREAKINTHECLOUDS by BROKEN VOW)
 
ARP-4   11/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKE IT BURN Oct13 Sep22 Aug22 Aug03 Jun29 (haar j)RAMOS B 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  PALACE ATTAINED Sep22 Sep02 Aug08 Jul25 Jul06 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50    
3  MOON SHINE TIME Oct18 Sep27 Sep06 Aug10 Jul27 (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 10.00 17% 5.00    
4  SEA BREEZE BOY Oct19 Oct06 Aug30 Aug04 Jul13 (lavanway days)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 54% 0.80    
5  MORE THAN EASY Oct27 Oct12 Sep22 Jun22 Jun16 (rushton t)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50    
 
ARP-5   11/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE TASK Oct26 Oct11 Sep04 Aug26 Aug14 (hall monk)IRONEYES R 116 8.00    
2  CREATIVE MIRACLE Oct18 Oct06 Sep22 Aug28 Jul30 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50    
3  EURO TRACKING Oct20 Oct11 Sep28 Sep15 Aug23 (scudder ri)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
4  WEBCAM Oct20 Sep07 Jun29 Jun23 May27 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  HERMISTON Oct18 Oct06 Aug31 Aug18 Aug03 (lavanway day)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  RIVERSPORT Oct26 Oct19 Oct05 Sep28 Sep13 (ibanez alberto)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00    
7  INCITATUS Oct20 Oct05 Sep21 Jul14 Jun22 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
 
ARP-6   11/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHUCK NAZTY Oct20 Sep14 Jul21 Jun15 Apr29 (martinez a)RAMOS B 121 8.00    
2  PRINCE OF LUCK Oct18 Oct06 Sep22 Sep13 Aug23 (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 10.00 6% 15.50    
3  HAIL STATE Oct20 Sep28 Jul17 Jun25 Jun03 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50    
4  DOGE OF VENICE Oct25 Oct12 Sep15 Sep06 Aug23 (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50    
5  PARLAY PETE Oct25 Sep22 Sep14 Jul28 Jul14 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 35% 1.80    
6  BLUE SKYE JADE Oct20 Oct11 Sep28 Sep14 Sep02 (williams )IRONEYES R 119 6.00 9% 10.80    
7  CAPTAIN DON Oct06 Sep20 Sep14 Sep06 Aug23 (schindler je)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00    
8  CASPER JUSTICE Oct18 Sep27 Sep20 Sep06 Sep01 (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
9  WILD FIREMAKER Oct25 Oct18 Sep06 Aug25 Aug18 (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.