Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - October 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(7/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(7/2/5/4)-(5/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/4)-(7/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/4)-(7/2/5/4)-(7/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/4)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/4)-(5/4/1)-(7/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(7/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(7/3/6)-(5/3/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(5/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(5/3/4/7)-(1/4/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/7)-(1/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/7)-(1/4/3/2)-(5/8/1/3/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3/2)-(5/8/1/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/2)-(5/8/1/3/2)-(3/8/5/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/8/1/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/3/2)-(5/8/1/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/3/2)-(5/8/1/3/2)-(5/8/1/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/1/3/2)-(3/8/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/1)-(3/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/1)-(3/8/5/1)-(3/8/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   10/31/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKIN' GREAT Oct11 Aug04 Jul18 Jun23 Jun07 (robb j)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
WOODSONG'S CASTLE Oct10 Sep27 Jul04 May23 May09 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 30.00    
RIVER REWARDS RVF Sep28 Sep21 Aug22 Aug02 Jul25 (smith osborn)LEWIS M 119 30.00    
PHAT CHANCE FANCY Jul21 Feb21 Feb02 Jul22 Jul09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.80 41% 1.40    
PLAYING FOR TWO Sep14 Aug10 Jul25 Jul06 Jun14 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
EMBERLY Sep28 Aug23 Jul20 Jun28 Jun13 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50    
 
CT-2   10/31/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWISS HORIZON Oct18 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May24 (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 122 20.00    
VIESTE Oct18 Oct05 Sep19 Aug16 Jul05 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 2.50 23% 3.30    
DANZIG TOO Oct24 Oct11       (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 5.00    
HOLY MOAT Oct18 Oct05 Mar06 Feb23 Feb02 (atkins michael)CHILO MAXIMO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BIT OF BLESSINGS Oct16 Sep19 Sep09 Aug21 Jul26 (collins tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 3.00 12% 7.50    
RUMORGOINGAROUND Aug05 Jul26 Feb28 Feb07 Jan27 (collyer jam)MCKENZIE CONNIE 124 20.00    
ODDS OF JOY Oct18 Oct11       (jones michae)LEWIS M 116 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
CT-3   10/31/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGAIN WE MEET Oct11 Sep13 Jul25 Jun15 May04 (heath georg)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
YANGARRA Oct17 Oct11 Sep20 Sep12 Aug22 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.00    
ANGEL OF ATTACK Sep20 Aug25 Jul25 Jun15 Sep09 (jones michae)LEWIS M 117 20.00    
THE MAN TO SEE Sep16 Aug28 Aug21 Aug31 Aug09 (dowling willi)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00 8% 11.30    
CROWN THAT SAINT Oct19 Sep28 Aug31 Aug15 Jul27 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 0.80 61% 0.60    
SCR  THAT MAGIC MOMENT Oct18 Sep22 Jul18 May26 Apr26 (garrido raul)LARROSA G 118 20.00    
FREE DROP BACH Oct17 Oct03 Sep12 Jun15 May23 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 3.00    
 
CT-4   10/31/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PULPIT'S JUSTICE Sep19         (caiazzo corby)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50    
UNDERRATED Sep28 Aug16       (viands r)BOCACHICA O 118 10.00    
PROSPECTIVE LOVE Sep12 Aug29 May18 Apr12 Feb16 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 4.50 20% 3.90    
WASHINGTON'S UNION Oct11 Sep29 Aug12 Jul28 Jun15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80    
SECRET SATURDAY Oct24 Sep21 Sep13 Aug15 Jul24 (bailon nesv)ROBLES O 113 5.00    
ORANGE JUICE Sep12 Aug24 Jul26 Jul04 Jun13 (viands stace)LEWIS M 113 10.00 19% 4.10    
HOLD UP Sep14 Jul06       (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
 
CT-5   10/31/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN LADY Oct19 Oct03 Sep21 Jul20 Jun21 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 10.00    
CRAFTY CANDYGRAM Sep28 Aug15 Aug01 Feb23   (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 5.00    
NAVY BAND Oct12 Sep19 Aug22 Nov22 Oct14 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.00 14% 6.30    
MAKINLIMMARGARITAS Jul29 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Feb21 (keller christoph)ACOSTA D 120 10.00 9% 10.00    
PETTY PERFECT Oct12 Sep19 Aug22 Jul13 Jun20 (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 118 1.40 47% 1.10    
DAY DRAMA Sep19 Aug22 Jul27 Jun20 Jun08 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50    
BONNIE BLUETOOTH Oct12 Sep27 Jul20 Jun01 May11 (figgin)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHURCH KEY Sep27 Aug24 Jun09 May28 Apr21 (harrison )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 20.00    
 
CT-6   10/31/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KRISTINACHRYSALIS Oct18 Sep27 Sep13 Aug17 Aug02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.80 34% 1.90    
MISS BEE BOP Oct11 Sep21 Aug23 Aug03 May25 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
JUBA'S PUNCH Oct11 Aug24 Jul06 Jun13 Jun07 (craig e)THORPE DARIUS 124 8.00 9% 10.50    
BIG TIPPA Oct19 Sep16 Aug24 Aug12 Jul20 (comi w)HO WESLEY 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCARLET REBEL Sep21 Jun28 May07 Apr25 Mar27 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 15.00    
SAWEETIE GIRL Oct15 Sep17 Aug27 Aug12 Jul21 (gotera juan )MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00    
LET'S DO THIS Oct11 Sep14 Aug10 Jul25 Jul04 (aylor natasha )CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
COWGIRL ATTITUDE Oct11 Sep14 Aug10 Jul25 May31 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00    
 
CT-7   10/31/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY CONCHO Jul26 Jul09 Jun27 May16 Oct14 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 12.00 16% 5.30    
ROBBIELIKESHIM Oct12 Sep27 Mar23 Feb17 Jan05 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 8.00 7% 13.10    
BOSS E BOOGS Oct12 Aug23 May30 Apr20 Mar27 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00 8% 12.30    
LIEUTENANT BROWN Oct12 Sep14 Aug17 Jun28 Jun06 (jones michae)LEWIS M 115 15.00    
XCELLENT START Oct12 Sep19 Aug17 Jul19 Jun08 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  I'M THE MONEY MAN Oct12 Aug13 Jul02 Apr18 Mar15 (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 10.00    
C R'S MANDATE Oct12 Jul19 Jun27 Jun06 Mar14 (schian)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 15.00    
SOUL CATCHER Oct12 Sep19 Jul20 Jun07 May11 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 6.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  LORD OF CORK Oct12 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 Jun28 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 1.40    
10  BUBBA GRUMP Aug24 Jul19 Jun27 May16 Nov06 (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
11  JUNGLE BEAST Sep19 Aug31 Aug03 Jun27 Apr12 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   10/31/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIMAAJ Sep21 Aug22 Jul19 Jul06 May25 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
MAKE WAY Oct17 Oct10 Sep20 Mar28 Feb14 (gillespie ryan )RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
HERO'S MAN Oct10 Aug16 Jun27 May16 Mar11 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
CHANGE YOUR LUCK Oct17 Sep26 Aug17 Jul12 Jun15 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00    
BAHAMA CHANNEL Oct14 Sep27 Sep08 Aug16 Jul26 (comi ra)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 4.50 15% 5.60    
SUBJECT TO CHANGE Oct10 Sep20 Apr27 Apr12 Mar20 (spriggs tosc)LEWIS M 117 3.50    
TOP OF THE MINT Oct10 Aug16 Jul27 Jun14 Apr12 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.00    
MUNI MUNI SLEW Oct06 Sep02 Aug12 Aug05 Jul15 (pennella )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 8.00 23% 3.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.