Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Sunday - September 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (1/2/8/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/5/9)-(1/2/8/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    DD (1/2/8/5/9)-(5/4) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
MNR-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(5/4/3)-(1/7/9/3) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
MNR-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(1/7/9/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (1/7/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/9/3)-(1/7/9/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/7/9/3)-(1/7/9/3)-(1/7/9/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/9/3)-(1/4/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MNR-5   WIN (1/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (6/3/10/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/10/2/7)-(6/3/10/2/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (6/3/10/2/7)-(6/3/10/2/7)-(6/3/10/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (6/3/10/2/7)-(6/8)-(8/10/9/1/7) 50 $2.00 $100 
MNR-7   WIN (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/8)-(6/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (6/8)-(8/10/9/1/7) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
MNR-8   WIN (8/10/9/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/9/1/7)-(8/10/9/1/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (8/10/9/1/7)-(8/10/9/1/7)-(8/10/9/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   09/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE SMOKE Sep08 Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 Apr19 (cordero-lopez a)NEGRON LUIS 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  HIALEAH NATIVE Sep08 Aug14 Jul29 Jun27 May31 (silva p)TAPARA BRANDON 120 6.00 27% 2.70    
3  RUSH CENTER Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jun16 Jun03 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00    
4  STORMY FIRE Sep08 Jul29 Jul15 Jul02 May26 (sanders meli)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 8.00    
5  JONES FALLS Sep08 Aug14 Jul29 Jul08 Jun19 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 10.00 8% 12.20    
6  LITTLE FRAPPUCINO Sep08 Aug27 Jul17 Jun05 May06 (crago terry)BRACHO A 120 15.00    
7  EL DUQUE Sep04 Jul29 Jul08 Jun05 Apr30 (ccamaque )HERNANDEZ H 120 20.00    
8  NOBLE UNION Sep08 Aug13 Dec15 Nov25 Nov19 (silva pablo)WHITACRE B 120 3.50 11% 8.00    
9  STAR DEPUTY Sep08 Aug26 Jul09 Jan04 Dec13 (trierweiler cam)VEGA L 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-2   09/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ABUNDANT LIFE Sep09 Aug26 Jul27 Jul08 Jun12 (clouston e)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 6.00    
2  LEIPZIG Sep17 Sep02 Jul29 Jul07 Jun08 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 1.20    
SCR  S S ALTERNATE Jul29 Jul15 Jul07 Jun16 May20 (dixon geo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 20.00    
4  CONNECT IT Aug12 Jul31 Jul21 Jul09 Jun16 (logston c)HERNANDEZ H 120 12.00 6% 15.60    
5  ARTISTIC ALIBI Sep09 Aug12 Jul15 Jun25 Jun03 (mcdonald wil)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 32% 2.10    
6  NOT OVER YET Sep12 Aug22 Aug12 Jul02 Jun11 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 1.40    
SCR  ABIGAIL G Sep15 Aug28 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 (rodak geraldine)YARANGA Y 120 30.00    
 
MNR-3   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDER BUGGY May12 Mar08 Feb23 Jan05 Dec10 (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00    
SCR  REDWHITEANDTACOS Sep09 Sep02 Aug14 Jul28 Jul09 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00    
3  MAMBO KITTEN Sep22 Aug19 Aug11 Jul17 Jul09 (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 8.00 10% 8.90    
4  CONTENT (IRE) Sep03 Aug19 Jul21 Jul01 May14 (walker charle)BRACHO A 120 8.00 13% 6.70    
5  SWEET QUEEN BEE Sep18 Aug25 Aug11 Jun25 May26 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 1.20 54% 0.90    
6  GIRL BYE Sep18 Sep03 Aug19 Jul19 Jun30 (fletcher jeff)YARANGA Y 120 12.00    
7  WATERWORKS Sep02 Aug14 Jul10 Jul02 Jun04 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 3.50    
 
MNR-4   09/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ILLUSIONS OF LOVE Jul08 Jun10 May26 Dec05 Nov12 (crago terry)WHITACRE B 123 6.00 39% 1.50    
2  LUNAR PRAYER Sep17 Sep10 Jul31 Dec05 Nov12 (rodak ger)HERNANDEZ H 123 30.00    
3  BLACK BUTTE Sep03 Jul10 Jul02 Jun11 Jun03 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 8.00 7% 13.60    
4  FOLK HERO Sep14 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul25 (gomez alejandro)YARANGA Y 123 10.00    
5  MISS LINDYSUE Sep03 Aug18 Aug06 Jul24 Jul09 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
6  SMOOKIE Aug28 Aug14 Jul28 Jul10 Jun30 (trierweiler cam)VEGA L 123 30.00    
7  MOON ME AGAIN Aug28 Aug18 Aug02 Jul13 Oct25 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 123 4.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  STRESSED Sep03 Aug03 Jul25 May12 Mar14 (jackson l)CULLUM W 123 2.00    
9  SILVER STICK STAIR Sep03 Aug21 Jul30 Jul10 Jun25 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 3.50 7% 12.70    
 
MNR-5   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GATES OF HEAVEN Sep04 Jul14 May28 May12 Apr30 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 123 1.60 38% 1.60    
2  RIVER ANT Sep02 Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 May21 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 7% 14.20    
3  DRISKILL Sep14 Jul28 Jul10 Jun08 May02 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
4  DRIVE BY LAYOVER Sep04 Aug11 Jul21 Jun25 Jun04 (poole )RODRIGUEZ A 110 4.00 23% 3.40    
5  CAJUN HOPE Sep14 Sep05 Aug24 Jul27 May09 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 5.00    
6  GENIUS Sep11 Sep03 Aug25 Aug19 Aug11 (inman l)WHITACRE B 123 8.00 9% 9.80    
7  TWO GUNS Jul30 Jun17 Apr23 Mar06 Feb14 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 4.50    
 
MNR-6   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST COOKIE Sep09 Aug19 Aug01 Jul16 Jun24 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
2  LOCO Sep02 Aug11 Jul24 Jun30 Jun19 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00 11% 8.40    
3  DON'T CROSS JACK Aug11 Jul24 Jun18 May27 Apr25 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 5.00 15% 5.70    
4  EL CARDINAL Sep17 Aug26 Aug11 Jul23 Jun30 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 8.00    
5  COLOR ME LEGENDARY Sep19 Sep12 Aug29 Aug10 Aug01 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 15.00    
6  SOUTHERN SENSE Aug26 Aug12 Jul21 Jul08 Jun24 (silva juan )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
7  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Aug11 Jul24 Jul01 Jun18 Apr08 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHARGER Aug13 Jul15 Jul01 May07 Apr21 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 30.00    
9  BOUDIN Aug29 Jul17 Jun26 May27 May06 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 120 2.50    
10  DISCRETIONARY DAY Sep11 Sep01 Aug04 Jul29 Jul14 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 6.00 14% 6.30    
 
MNR-7   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHATS GOIN ON Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Jul24 Jun29 (gotera ju)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 30.00    
SCR  LUCKY STEPPER Sep16 Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 (denny travis)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
SCR  PROTECTTHEWITNESS Sep02 Aug13 Jul10 May28 Oct25 (rojas )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00    
SCR  FLAG SALUTE Aug14 Jul30 Jul21 Jul03 Jun18 (montano wilfri)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00    
5  LOADED ONCE MORE Aug25 Aug11 Jun25 Jun17 May26 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.00    
6  LARIMAR Sep09 Aug18 Aug04 Jun25 Jun17 (silva juan )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 0.50 50% 1.00    
7  MORENA DANCER Sep18 Aug29 Aug15 Aug03 Jul18 (marrero nestor)AVILES YAN 120 15.00    
8  MARY MARGARET Jun04 May28 May12 May01 Apr08 (silva pablo)WHITACRE B 120 12.00 5% 17.60    
 
MNR-8   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY'S BOY Sep16 Aug25 Aug11 Jul15 Jul03 (brown t)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 15.00 5% 18.00    
2  SOMERSET BAY Sep16 Sep03 Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 (stanoszek sara)WHITACRE B 123 20.00    
3  KNOWN Oct11 Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 Jul17 (crago terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 12.00    
4  SCAT SHACK Jul03 May29 May02 Apr14 Mar31 (aguirre r)TAPARA LUIS 123 10.00    
SCR  RY'S REVENGE Jul24 Jun30 Jun17 May12 Nov15 (depasqual)HERNANDEZ H 123 20.00    
6  AWESOME OX Sep18 Aug11 Jul29 Jul16 Jul03 (bird d)RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00    
7  THE FILTER Aug25 Aug12 Jul09 Jun26 Jun11 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  ALABAMA SLAMMER Sep17 Aug26 Jul03 Jun12 May25 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 1.20 38% 1.70    
9  GOTTAGETITBACK Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Aug11 Jul29 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 123 5.00 8% 12.10    
10  PATIO PARTY Sep03 Aug12 Jul16 May21 May06 (blankenship)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  RUNNING RIGHT BY U Sep14 Sep08 Aug25 Jul20 Jul05 (simone v)AVILES YAN 123 1.60    
SCR  GRAND DEAL Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 Jun27 Jun08 (mcgaffic greg)BRACHO A 123 8.00    
SCR  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Aug21 Aug11 Jul29 Jul09 Jun19 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.