Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Saturday - September 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (9/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/3)-(9/1/10/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/1/3)-(9/1/10/3)-(9/1/10/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/1/3)-(5/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/1/3)-(5/7/1/6)-(7/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-2   WIN (5/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/6)-(7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/6)-(7/6/5)-(4/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-3   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5/4)-(7/6/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(4/5/1)-(7/5/10/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-4   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(7/5/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(7/5/10/2)-(7/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-5   WIN (7/5/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/10/2)-(7/5/10/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/10/2)-(7/5/10/2/1)-(7/5/10/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/10/2)-(7/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/10/2)-(7/3/5/6)-(2/4/6/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
DEL-6   WIN (7/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/6)-(2/4/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/6)-(2/4/6/5)-(5/7/2/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
DEL-7   WIN (2/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/5)-(5/7/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DEL-8   WIN (5/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   09/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESTILO UNICO Aug28         (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 119 8.00 34% 2.00    
PRINCESS HONOR Aug28         (smith rob)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
RAN THE RED         (rodriguez dari)COTTO L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VANAKA Sep14 Jul11       (ashby lynn)ROBLES O 112 15.00    
SCR  MANDY'S MISS         (ness jamie)NUNEZ Y 119 10.00    
SCR  PRINCESS KAIULANI         (husak j)HIRALDO JOHN 117 12.00    
ROMANCE BY CHANCE Aug17 Jul22       (hawthorne b)BURNHAM MATILDA 110 12.00    
DINA'S TOUCH         (davidson ru)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 15.00    
NO NEED TO ASK Sep11 Aug22       (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 119 1.20 40% 1.50    
10  ROSE GOLD CANDY Aug15         (gorham michael )CENTENO E 119 5.00    
 
DEL-2   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNIEWORKSTOOMUCH Sep07 Aug24 Jul24 Jul05   (nazario pedro)MENA E 120 5.00 15% 5.70    
VELVET VIXEN Sep08 Aug02 Jul12 May04 Feb08 (v)SILVA JOSE 118 10.00    
VICTORIOUSVICTORIA Sep04 Aug24 Jul22 Jul09 Jun12 (ashton patr)ASTUDILLO FELIX 115 10.00    
SHORT OF DINERO Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 Jul25 Jun27 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 10.00    
ON ANOTHER LEVEL Aug29 Jul03 Jun08 Nov29   (ness jamie)ROBLES O 115 1.60 45% 1.20    
CITY KISS Sep07 Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 Jul07 (morgan carla)LUNDIE KEVIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
KITTY'S PRETTY Sep04 Aug10 Aug13 Jun16   (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 120 2.00 18% 4.60    
 
DEL-3   09/21/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
URBAN STAR Aug14 Jun28       (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of GUILIA by GALILEO)
LA FANTASMA Sep04 Jul08 Jun22 May31 Jan20 (matz r)LUNDIE KEVIN 123 20.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SPECIAL EVENT by ARCH)
MAXS PICK Aug10 Jul27 Jan20 Nov03 Oct18 (correa maxin)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
REPPAZZ Sep04 Jul27 Aug31 Feb17   (bennett juanita)MENA E 123 8.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HARISSA by AFLEET ALEX)
GATE SONG Aug23 Aug07 Jul18 Jun14 Apr26 (allard t)CENTENO E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SHANANIES SONG by ELTISH)
VIRTUAL Aug14 Jul08 May31 Apr21   (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00 10% 9.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SMOKIN MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
TALES TO TELL Sep07 Aug16 Jul11 Sep08   (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 3.00 63% 0.60    
  (by HARD SPUN out of YARAKI by FRANKEL (GB))
STAR ANISE Sep04 Jun05 Apr21 Mar03 Jan27 (brinkman br)ROBLES O 115 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LEMON SPICE by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  ENNEREILLY (IRE) Sep01 Nov11 Aug19     (motion graha)LUNDIE KEVIN 120 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of EJADAH by CLODOVIL (IRE))
SCR  WAMPY Sep14 Aug10 Jul27     (gorham michael )MENA E 120 15.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MY PERFECT TEN by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
SCR  ACQUALINA Aug16 Jul11 Apr28 Mar29 Feb10 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 6.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LUCEVAN by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  ABSALOOKA (IRE)         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00    
  (by BLUE POINT out of SHIMMERING MOMENT by AFLEET ALEX)
 
DEL-4   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASH NOW Sep04 Jul20 Jun30 May16 May05 (sanchez-pin)ROBLES O 116 8.00 15% 5.50    
AUSTIN FROM BOSTON Sep02 Aug04 Jul13 Jun16 Jun01 (serey jr)HIRALDO JOHN 119 12.00    
SUNSET TOWN Aug28 Aug17 Jul25 Jul03 Jun20 (gorham michael )MENA E 121 10.00    
INTER MIAMI Aug28 Jul18 Jun20 May30 Apr28 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 121 1.60 35% 1.90    
BAR DOWN EXPRESS Sep04 Aug02 Jul17 Jul04 Jun14 (posadas p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 10.00 18% 4.60    
MAGNIFICENT RIDE Sep15 Sep01 Aug24 Aug16 Aug10 (serey j)OLVER MADISON 119 12.00    
SCR  HEARTFULLOFSTARS Aug17 Jul26 Jun30 Apr07 Mar10 (ness jamie)NUNEZ Y 123 1.40    
 
DEL-5   09/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETIT FILS (FR) Sep05 Aug29 Jul17 Nov12 Oct27 (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 111 4.50    
SUMMER ANTHEM Jul26 Jun28 May22 Nov16 Oct11 (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MEMORY BOUQUET Aug23 Aug16 Jul31 Jul05 Jun20 (kreiser tim)ROBLES O 115 12.00    
BEYOND THE PALE Aug28 Jul19 Nov16 Oct26 Oct07 (hodsdon da)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 8.00    
SONIC SPEED Aug31 Aug24 Jul28 Jun20 May03 (delgado jose)BATISTA A 120 6.00 15% 5.50    
HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Aug31 Aug23 Aug10 Jul27 Jul12 (serey jr)MENA E 120 15.00    
WICKED FINN Sep04 Aug17 Jul27 Jun20 May25 (kelly blake)CENTENO E 120 2.50 47% 1.20    
SCR  GAMBLING TZAR Aug10 Jul05 May24 Apr07 Mar10 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
LEO MONTE Aug25 Jun21 Jun09 Feb24 Jan20 (carrascojr vic)HIRALDO JOHN 120 12.00    
10  SKIPPERINI Aug29 Jul27 Jun22 Jun05 May04 (rodriguez dari)COTTO L 124 3.50 8% 11.80    
11  FINGAL Sep05 Aug22 Jul18 Nov03 Oct12 (kingsley archiba)CURTIS BEN 120 15.00    
 
DEL-6   09/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YUMYUM EAT EM UP Sep15 Aug04 Jul14 Jul06 Jun28 (serey jr)MENA E 118 15.00    
SPENCER TIARA Aug24 Jul27 Jun27 May26 Nov12 (merryman e)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 5.00    
ROYALLY BLUE Jul20 Jun27 Jan14 Dec14 Nov18 (klesaris ste)BATISTA A 121 10.00 17% 4.80    
NO CHALK Sep02 Aug14 Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 (iorio sal)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 125 6.00    
EUPHIMA (ARG) Aug17 Jul11 Jun07 May12 Mar28 (klesaris steve)CURTIS BEN 121 10.00 8% 12.10    
TEKILA Jul22 Jun03 Nov13 Oct23 Sep19 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
BINNIE Aug16 Dec02 Nov02     (russell brittan)CENTENO E 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  ARCH STREET Sep04 Jul19 Jun27 Feb11 Nov04 (matz michae)ROBLES O 113 2.50    
YOU'RE THE ONE Sep04 Aug12 Jul18 Jun19 Jun01 (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 121 10.00    
 
DEL-7   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANDED ROCKET Apr14 Mar24 Feb16 Jan13 Dec24 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 118 10.00    
EXCITABLE BOY Aug15 Jul08 Jun13 May18 May05 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
GET SET Sep06 Jun19 May31 Mar29 Mar01 (ness jamie)NUNEZ Y 121 6.00    
CHIEF RON Aug28 Jul31 Jul07 Jun07 May16 (ward dan)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.00 16% 5.20    
CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Sep01 Aug18 Jul20 Jul07 Jun30 (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 8.00 5% 17.50    
RIVER DOG Aug18 Jun29 May26 Apr20 Mar24 (breen j)CEDENO CAROL 121 8.00 13% 6.60    
NOBLE GASTON Aug29 Aug08 Jul15 Aug16 Jun26 (ness jamie)VILLASMIL EDGAR 121 3.00    
 
DEL-8   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EGOR OTAY Feb02 Sep09 Jul24 Jun24 May15 (copland b)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SECRET SATURDAY Sep13 Aug15 Jul24 Jul07 Jun19 (bailon nesv)ROBLES O 116 8.00 10% 8.60    
LILENGTHATCOULD Aug15 Jul25       (de)LUNA PAUL 119 12.00    
DENISTON Aug17         (brion keri)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 6.00    
PORTIS Sep14 Sep08 Aug03 Jul21 Jun21 (serey jr)MENA E 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
MITHRIDATES Sep02 Jul13 Jun23 Jun02 May27 (delgado jose)BATISTA A 121 1.80    
DOUBLE NICKEL Sep13 Aug08 Jul31 Jul11 Jun26 (kravets bruce )CEDENO CAROL 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.