Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - September 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(6/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(6/1/2)-(8/2/9/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(8/2/9/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(8/2/9/7)-(7/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (8/2/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/9/7)-(8/2/9/6/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (8/2/9/7)-(8/2/9/6/7)-(8/2/9/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/2/9/7)-(7/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/2/9/7)-(7/1/5)-(7/2/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(7/2/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(7/2/6/4)-(3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-5   WIN (7/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/4)-(3/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/4)-(3/6)-(1/6/7/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-6   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(1/6/7/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(1/6/7/2)-(9/6/1/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-7   WIN (1/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/2)-(9/6/1/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
PID-8   WIN (9/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/1/4)-(9/6/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (9/6/1/4)-(9/6/1/4)-(9/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEDDLING HOPE Aug21 Aug12 Jul08 Jun12   (valdez moises)LOPEZ DERECK 113 15.00    
2  VERSACE SUMMER Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 (valdez m)MARTINEZ A 120 8.00    
3  SLAINTE MHATH Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 May27 (wismer glen)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOST DIVINE Jul10 Jun25 May29 Apr28 Apr17 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 124 3.00 9% 9.90    
5  K'ANTHEIA Jun25 May02 Mar22 Feb11 Dec29 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 124 2.00 63% 0.60    
6  SHAMU Sep08 Aug16 Jul27 Jun30 Jun15 (dini mike)ALLEN D 120 2.50    
7  PRECIOUS GRACE Sep04 Aug21 Apr14 Feb28   (hamm timothy)BAYS BROOKE 113 5.00    
 
PID-2   09/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY RUNNING CAT Aug22 Jul25 Jul03 Jun16 Sep21 (crook-de)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 24% 3.10    
2  WILLIE WANDO Sep09 Aug11 Jul28 Jul17 Jul03 (pizzurro jo)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ZAMBONI WARRIOR Aug29 Jul17 Jun17 May21 Apr09 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 122 3.00    
4  CARLOTUK Aug28 May27 Oct24 Oct11 Jul24 (brooks geral)AYALA J 119 1.80    
5  THORN OF HEARTS Aug26 Jul29 Jul03 Jun12 May20 (miller d)BAYS BROOKE 111 6.00    
6  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY Sep09 Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 Jun03 (radosevi)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
 
PID-3   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSET VIBES Sep04 Aug21 Aug12 Jul16 Jul10 (mckinley mary)DELGADO DAVID 120 15.00    
2  HOPE SHE COMES Aug21 Aug12 Jul24 Jul09 Jun26 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 124 5.00 21% 3.70    
3  SPOKEN VOW Sep03 Jul02 Sep20     (russell )MARTINEZ A 120 8.00    
4  BELLA SKYE Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun10 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 120 12.00    
5  SAHISH Aug25 Aug13 May04 Apr17 Mar17 (kleine berna)RINCON EDUARDO 120 20.00    
6  REGAL MISS Aug20 Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 Apr24 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 5.00 ★    
7  ASHERAH'S RUN Sep04 Aug12 Jul31 Jul10 Jun26 (mckinley ma)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  NEEDED Aug21 Aug12 Jul11 Jan11 Dec03 (gilmarti)RODRIGUEZ O 120 1.60 53% 0.90    
9  IRISH ANGEL Aug24 Aug12 Jun22 May27 Jan12 (milosevi)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-4   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPAN OF CONTROL Sep03 Jul30 Jul01 Jun19 Jun04 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00 21% 3.90    
2  LORD OF LEGENDS Sep04 Aug20 Jul31 Jul17 Jul01 (buhrow jamie )DELGADO DAVID 122 15.00    
SCR  UBIQUITOUS Jul28 Jun27 May04 Apr06 Mar08 (barboza )GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
4  HENRY'S WORLD Aug27 Aug12 Jul24 Jul01 May28 (rojas e)BAYS BROOKE 117 1.80    
5  ARAK Aug28 Aug12 Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  KHOZANDO Sep03 Aug28 Aug19 Jul22 Jul02 (rice kevin)LOPEZ DERECK 115 12.00    
7  RESIST THE DEVIL Sep02 Aug19 Jul24 Jul03 Jun24 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 124 3.50 41% 1.50    
 
PID-5   09/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMBLING MAN Jul09 Jun10 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 (smith ju)RODRIGUEZ O 122 10.00    
2  PARTNER TOURS Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 Jul09 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
3  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Sep04 Aug20 Aug13 Jul16 Jun24 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 4.00    
4  HUNTIN' THE RUT Sep03 Aug20 Aug07 Jul08 Jun24 (carr-rozant)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  PUNX Aug21 Jun24 May21 Sep28 Sep13 (stokes lan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00    
6  HARI Aug27 Jul17 Jun22 Jun08 May11 (amaya joan)SPIETH S 122 6.00 12% 7.60    
7  SHOWDOWN KING Aug20 Aug05 Jul09 Jun14 May11 (connelly ter)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
8  ELM STREET Aug26 Jul31 Jul04 Jun17 May27 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
 
PID-6   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M THE CABANA BOY Aug28 Aug12 Jul15 Jul02 Jun11 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
SCR  HECTOR Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jul02 Jun17 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 1.80    
3  GOTTS GOT IT Aug13 Jul08 Apr14 Mar08 Feb09 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
4  STRIDER'S SLIDER Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 Jun18 May29 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 118 4.00    
5  FACE DOWN Sep09 Aug05 Jul16 Jun04 May20 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 118 4.50 ★    
6  KID MARVELOUS Aug24 Jul31 Jun27 Apr26 Mar30 (rodriguez hugo)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 26% 2.80    
 
PID-7   09/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH HEADED Sep04 Aug20 Aug12 Jun17 Jun05 (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  THOUSAND LOVES Sep04 Aug20 Aug07 Jul23 Jun24 (kleine bernard )BAYS BROOKE 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TRIPLE START Sep04 Jun15 Jun01 Apr27 Sep09 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00    
SCR  LEGEND Aug27 Aug11 Jul17 Jul02 Jun11 (cordero-lopez a)LEON A 122 20.00    
5  NAVY PIER Sep03 Aug21 Jul23 Jul09 Oct30 (ashley julius)WALKER M 122 15.00    
6  MISCHIEF WARRIOR Aug20 Jul24 Jul09 Jun27 Jun13 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 21% 3.80    
7  CITY LEADER Sep08 Aug20 Aug05 Jul24 Jul09 (potts g)LOPEZ DERECK 113 12.00 13% 7.00    
8  LIGHTNING CHARLIE Sep03 Jun10 Jul04 Jun14 Jun05 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 4.50    
9  GOLDEN OAK Sep03 Aug05 Jul23 Jul17 Jul08 (schneider k)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 12.00    
 
PID-8   09/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACALL Aug20 Jul29 Jun20 May25 May16 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 8.00 10% 8.90    
2  ROSEBUD RYDE Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 Oct03 Sep19 (ashley julius)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
3  WHAT'S GOOD Sep03 Aug10 Jul26 Jul12 Jun15 (buhrow jami)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 15.00    
4  SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Sep03 Aug20 Aug07 Jul23 Jul04 (valdez m)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INDIAN SPIDEROO Aug20 Aug07 Jul23 Jul03 Jun05 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 2.00    
6  SINGALONG (GB) Sep03 Aug20 Aug02 Jul13 Oct29 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
7  BLAH BLAH WORLD Sep03 Aug05 Jun26 Jun12 Jun03 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 8.00    
8  ARROGATES DREAM Aug24 Aug02 Jul13 Jun16 May25 (milosevi)GALLARDO A 122 15.00    
9  VANILLA BEAN Sep04 Aug13 Jul15 Jun25 Jun03 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  RAINOUT Sep02 Aug12 Jul29 Jun05 Sep10 (cordero-lopez a)LEON A 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.