Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - August 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (7/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/4/1)-(1/8/4/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-2   WIN (1/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/5)-(1/8/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/5)-(1/8/4/5)-(1/8/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/4/5)-(7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4/5)-(7/4/2)-(9/2/8/6) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-3   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(9/2/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (9/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/8/6)-(9/2/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (9/2/8/6)-(9/2/8/6)-(9/2/8/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (9/2/8/6)-(6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (6/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/3)-(1/5/3)-(5/8/3) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(5/8/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-8   WIN (5/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/3)-(5/8/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/8/3)-(5/8/2/3)-(5/8/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   08/20/2024 5490ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOPPED Aug13 Jul10 Jun30 Jun11 May26 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
BONUS APPRECIATION Aug13 Jul31 Jul10 May22 May02 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
EVENT PARTY Jul05 May29 May11 Apr12 Mar22 (farrior anthony)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
MIDNIGHT ALIBI Aug13 Jul10 Jun30 May28 Dec04 (langley s)YARANGA Y 120 5.00 14% 6.30    
BASTIEN LE BROWN Jun18 Dec12 Sep20 Sep02 Aug12 (mcgaffic g)CASTELLANO JESUS 123 10.00    
SCR  HAPPY CHAMP Jul21 Jul06 May25 May03 Mar20 (sanders meli)TAPARA BRANDON 120 4.00    
MR HOOVER Jul24 Jul05 Jun13 May23 May02 (sanders me)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
DUEL FUEL Jul31 Jul23 May18 Apr25 Mar25 (lopez-olm)HERNANDEZ H 120 15.00    
NOBLE WAVE Aug13 Jul28 Jul22 Jul02 Jun19 (montano wilfrid)NEGRON LUIS 116 30.00    
 
MNR-2   08/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD ASTRAY Aug06 Jul10 Jun11 Dec13 Nov15 (zook w)YARANGA Y 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCORSESE Jul24 Jul10 Jun17 May28 May07 (trierweiler cam)VEGA L 120 5.00    
SLIPPERY WHEN WET Aug13 Jul29 Jul14 Jun19 Jun02 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 6.00    
LAUTREC Jul21 Jul07 Jun11 May13 Apr21 (walker charl)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 7% 12.90    
COASTAL CHAOS Jul31 Jun25 May28 Apr30 Dec04 (barker jame)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 6% 14.70    
ROCKY DICE Jul28 Jul06 May24 May03 Apr28 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 4.50    
SCR  DISTORTED LIMITS Jul14 Jun25 May07 Apr28 Jan23 (cox craig)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00    
CAROM Jul21 Jul03 Jun11 May28 May10 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
 
MNR-3   08/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALIFORNIA CODE Jul30 Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 May11 (clouston e)WEATHERLY BAILEY 111 3.50    
MISS FORT Aug06 Jul16 Jun16 Jun03 May19 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
TWO MINUTE LICK Jul30 Jul17 Jul03 Jun01 May10 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 3.00    
SONADOR Jul14 Jun08 May14 May01 Mar04 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  AWESOME INCENTIVE Jul28 Jul17 Jul02 Jun23 Jun09 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 10.00    
UNCAPTURED FAITH Aug07 Jul30 Jul23 Jul16 Jul01 (wade justin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00    
BLUE TWIRLIN Aug07 Jun23 Jun03 May19 Apr28 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
MNR-4   08/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($6.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ULTRA DIVA Jul29 Jul07 May21 May07 Apr21 (ewell s)BRACHO A 120 30.00    
O K SMARTY PANTS Jul19 Jun15 Mar22 Feb03 Jan13 (sterling mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
REMY'S HOTSHOT Jul27 Jul16 Jun15 May23 Nov22 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 119 4.00    
KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Apr22 Mar20 Feb28 Feb08 Jan03 (sanders m)HERNANDEZ H 120 20.00    
SCR  MUSIC LASS Jul04 Jun13 May21 May07 Apr21 (tuomisto cli)LEWIS M 120 10.00    
VACATION SECRET Jul29 Jul02 Jun16 May07 Feb07 (kocijan marc)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SOMESUGARNSPICE Jul24 Jul07 Jun23 Jun14 May14 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 116 6.00    
LUCKY BOP Jul29 Jul16 Jun23 Jun14 May09 (craig lewi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 3.00 14% 6.00    
IMPRESSIONISM Aug02 Jul05 May30 Jan13 Dec17 (runco c)HO WESLEY 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
MNR-5   08/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($6.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KARMA BUS Aug03 Jul11 Jun01 May09 Apr13 (boggs joanna)VEGA L 120 5.00    
PEACEFUL WARRIOR Aug07 Jul09       (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 116 1.60 36% 1.80    
WHY WINCHILL WHY Aug07 Jul14 Jul03 Jun18 Apr28 (meeks karl)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00    
ZERO FOR CONDUCT Jul14 Jun24 Jun04 May14 Nov14 (witherow wil)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
OUTLAW BILLY Jul31 Jan11 Dec15 Nov25   (carlisle john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 119 3.50    
SWORD OF DAMOCLES Jul30 Jul14 Jun24 Jun16 Apr28 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
MNR-6   08/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I MATTER Aug06 Jul16 Jun09 May19 Dec04 (howard willi)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
MARIANNA QUEEN Aug13 Jun24 Jun10 Dec05 Nov08 (inirio ca)HERNANDEZ H 123 30.00    
YESTERDAYSPLAN Jul17 Jul07 Jun03 May05 Dec06 (logston christop)WHITACRE B 123 8.00 9% 10.20    
OLIVIA'S JOY Jul10 Jun19 Dec03 Nov07 Oct18 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 123 4.00 19% 4.20    
DIXIE'S DANCE Aug11 Jul21 Jul09 Jun23 Jun03 (witherow wil)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 20.00    
RADIANT GEM Aug13 Aug01 Jul18 Apr11 Feb16 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 1.20 39% 1.60    
FORGLO Aug05 Jul07 Jun24 Dec28 Nov13 (fletcher we)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.50 12% 7.50    
RUNAWAY MOM Aug06 Jul30 Jun16 Oct10 Oct02 (fletcher wes)NEGRON LUIS 123 10.00    
 
MNR-7   08/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YO VINNIE May17 May04 Mar21 Feb23 Dec16 (runco c)HO WESLEY 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
CANDY INVASION Aug13 Jun27 Apr20 Mar30 Mar01 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 5.00    
TATE Jun15 May24 Apr12 Mar09 Feb16 (sanders me)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 10.00 7% 13.90    
INDIAN EMPIRE Aug04 Jul15 Jun09 May19 May05 (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 120 3.00    
OBIWAN Jul08 Jun09 May21 May13 Nov29 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP Jul03 May21 May06 Apr04 Mar19 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 4.50    
MAGNA RULER Jul01 Jun18 Jun02 Apr26 Mar30 (lopez e)VEGA L 120 6.00    
 
MNR-8   08/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SESSA SISU Sep14 Aug18       (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 116 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SESSA by CONSOLIDATOR)
LEGACY TRAIL Jul31         (ramgeet ti)WEATHERLY BAILEY 111 6.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SWEET LEGACY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
TEXAS WENDY Jul31 Jun30 Jun18 Jun03 Apr17 (denny travis)NEGRON LUIS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of TRENDY WENDY by SMARTY JONES)
HIGHWAY ROBBERY Aug07 Jul31 Jul14 Jun30 Jun18 (sipp burton )VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 30.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of JAY AT NINE by STORM CAT)
FLAT OUT DIAMONDS Jul31 Jul14 Jun16 Nov09 Oct18 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 2.50 58% 0.70    
  (by FLAT OUT out of CRY FOR DIAMONDS by STREET CRY (IRE))
SUMMER DANCE Oct03 Sep21 Aug12     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of JETE ETE by SUMMER BIRD)
CANDY O Aug07         (crago ter)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 20.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CANDYSTAND by CANDY RIDE)
SHES A GOOD ONE Jul31         (dalton miche)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 5.00 17% 5.00    
  (by TONALIST out of BIRD FU by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  SMARTY PANTS Jul29 Jul10 Jun26 Jun18 Aug02 (norris stepha)BRACHO A 123 3.50    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SMART AND FANCY by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  MAMAS LULLABYE Mar20 Feb25 Feb03     (cook devin)WHITACRE B 123 8.00    
  (by SONGANDAPRAYER out of FIDDLERS PLEASURE by TOMORROWS CAT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.