Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Canterbury Park
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CBY-1   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(9/2/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(9/2/4/3)-(6/2/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-2   WIN (9/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/3)-(9/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/3)-(9/2/4/3)-(9/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/4/3)-(6/2/8/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (9/2/4/3)-(6/2/8/5)-(6/10/1/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CBY-3   WIN (6/2/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/5)-(6/2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/5)-(6/2/8/5)-(6/2/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/8/5)-(6/10/1/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8/5)-(6/10/1/5)-(6/5/9/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CBY-4   WIN (6/10/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/1/5)-(6/10/1/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/10/1/5)-(6/10/1/9/5)-(6/10/1/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/10/1/5)-(6/5/9/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/10/1/5)-(6/5/9/1)-(2/1/7/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CBY-5   WIN (6/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/1)-(6/5/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/1)-(6/5/9/1)-(6/5/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/9/1)-(2/1/7/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/5/9/1)-(2/1/7/6)-(6/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-6   WIN (2/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/6)-(6/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/6)-(6/4/2)-(1/2/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-7   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/9/2/1/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/9/2/1/12)-(6/4/9/2/1/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(1/2/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
CBY-8   WIN (1/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CBY-1   08/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVENLYCONVEYANCE         (tr)DA FAUSTO 119 6.00 14% 6.10    
  (by CONVEYANCE out of DEMI DELIGHT by MORO ORO)
2  GOOD GRIEF CLAUDE         (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by EYE OF THE LEOPARD out of SPARKLING BLUE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
3  CAT ON THE PROWL Aug26 Aug05 Jul01 May28   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 2.50    
  (by EYE OF THE LEOPARD out of MARYVILLE by PETIONVILLE)
4  SWEET BODEMEISTER Sep03 Aug16       (kenney ry)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 10.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of SWEET TANGO by MASTER COMMAND)
5  SHAMAN SEZ Jul11         (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 3.50    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of ROCK THAT JEWEL by FORT LARNED)
6  BEARS' D         (miller david )ARROYO MIGUEL 119 4.50 14% 6.10    
  (by AIKENITE out of ONE WON ELEVEN by EMAILIT)
 
CBY-2   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12.5K) 35 ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE MONEY MO Jul24 Jun23 Mar14 Feb11 Jan26 (espinoza )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 12.00    
2  P R CALL ME MAYBE Jul27 Jul06 Jun16 Jun02 May05 (westermann ronal)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
3  UKRAINE STRONG Jul24 Jun23 Jun08 Apr26 Apr18 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  PROFESSIONAL GRADE Jul27 May26 Mar25 Mar03 Feb18 (roberts)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 20% 4.10    
5  D BUCKAROO Jul03 Apr19 Mar23 Feb16 Jan28 (jones douglas)LINDSAY CHAD 119 15.00    
6  LUCKY SUPER NOVA Aug08 Jul24 Jul03 Jun23 May26 (es)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00    
7  CHASENTHEONE Jul06 Jun08 Apr26 Apr12 Mar17 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00    
SCR  HARBOUR BRIDGE Jul28 Dec16 Oct26 Sep28 Jun25 (wismer gle)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 4.50    
9  FURTHER EVIDENCE Jul14 Jun29 Mar07 Jan28 Oct23 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 1.80 25% 3.00    
SCR  INCREEDIBLE VICTOR Jul24 Jul06 Jun16 May26 Sep09 (rhone bernell)HARR KELSI 119 12.00    
 
CBY-3   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITRUS BAY Jul11 Jun02 May18 Apr19 Mar22 (tranquilino sant)HARR KELSI 122 12.00    
2  IN HONOR OF AUTISM Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 Apr30 Apr17 (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 122 4.50 18% 4.40    
3  SAM SEZ Jul24 Jun16 Jun01 May18 May06 (roberts j)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
4  BELLAMYS ROAN Aug03 Jul03 May25 Mar23 Mar09 (westerman)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 15.00    
5  TOP OF MY GAME Jul14 Jun30 Apr17 Apr09 Mar21 (litfin vero)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 8.00 9% 9.70    
6  DARNQUICK Jul27 Jul07 Jun13 Apr29 Apr10 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
SCR  HEROIC SONG Jul14 Jun16 Jun02 Apr22 Apr10 (biehler mich)FUENTES A 122 3.50    
8  HIGHTAIL COWBOY Jul28 Jul14 Jul06 Apr28 Apr19 (geditz bi)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 6.00 14% 6.40    
 
CBY-4   08/17/2024 4950ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOCASTA Aug04 Jun30 Mar13 Feb15 Jan19 (scherer gar)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.50 10% 8.80    
2  CHURCH SERVICE Aug04 Jun30 Apr21 Mar29 Mar02 (cline n)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00    
3  MIWOMAN Jun22 Jun02 Apr26 Mar29 Mar02 (riecken)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00    
SCR  SMOOCHING Aug04 Jun25 May31     (kenney ry)VALENZUELA A 119 6.00    
5  CALY BALI Jul24 Jun27 Feb15 Dec30 Sep16 (martinez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  C C'S HEART Jul14 Jun30 Jun06     (sc)DA FAUSTO 119 4.00 36% 1.80    
7  MS CORONADO CHROME Jul14 Jun30 Oct01 Sep03 Jul13 (fuentes rube)FUENTES A 124 6.00    
8  MYLASTREDCENT Jul24 Jun30 Feb09 May06 Apr19 (rarick lynn)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 12.00    
9  SHY SHY Aug04 Jun27 May03 Oct11 Sep13 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 3.00 ★    
10  GO LEE ANN GO Jul27 Jun27 Jun02 Sep09 Aug09 (berndt joel)HARR KELSI 119 5.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  ON SPEED DIAL Jul27 Jun27 Sep09 Jul19   (vanwinkle)VALENZUELA A 119 12.00    
 
CBY-5   08/17/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 35 ALL PT- 8:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEAKING LOUD Jul27 Jun29 Jun02 May26 May04 (stankey jan)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of ANOTHER GAL by CITY ZIP)
SCR  MY BOY BOMBER Jul27 Jun29 Jun15     (litfin )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of MY SPECIAL ROSE by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  BRAGGADOCIOUS Jul27 Jun29 Jun02 Apr19 Mar23 (van tay)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TIZ O' GOLD by CEE'S TIZZY)
4  TELL 'EM I'M COMIN Jul06 Jun22 Jun02 May04 Apr27 (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 5.00    
  (by UPSTART out of WHAT A REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
5  ASK ARTHUR Jul25 Jun15 May19 Apr06 Feb23 (wismer gle)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 4.00 13% 6.90    
  (by UNIFIED out of HEART OF MIDWAY by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
6  GIPSY CHIEF (GB) Jul14 Jun29 May04 Mar12 Feb04 (ru)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 59% 0.70    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  MAXIMUS MAPLE MO Jul25         (biehler m)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 8.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MAPLE MO by UNCLE MO)
8  JET STREAM Jul14 Jul06 May26     (rushton sta)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 15.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of AVIATING by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
9  SHOTGUN RUNNER Jul14 May29 May08 Oct04 Sep13 (rosin w)FUENTES A 119 2.50 6% 16.20    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STOUPINATOR by STORMY ATLANTIC)
10  PARISIAN PROMISE Jun29 Jun02 May04 Apr20 Mar23 (riecken bruce)PENA BRYAN 119 20.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of BOLDEST VOW by BROKEN VOW)
 
CBY-6   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER MULDOON Jul13 Jul03 Apr27 Feb18 Jan05 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 2.50 21% 3.70    
2  ARREST Jul24 Jul04 Jun13 May04 Apr16 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
3  WODETON (FR) Jul12 Apr12 Mar10 Feb09 Jan19 (fuentes r)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 15.00    
4  IT'S BOBS BUSINESS Jul28 Jun20 Jun01 Aug12 Jul15 (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 5.00    
SCR  MR NAVIGATOR Jul24 Jul03 Jun09 May02 Mar25 (ramaekers eric)LINDSAY CHAD 122 6.00    
6  BAYOU BENNY Jul04 Jun08 May11 Sep09 Aug12 (scherer g)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 15.00 8% 11.60    
7  COFFEE CALIENTE Aug27 Aug03 Jul16 Jun21 May29 (robertson)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 9% 10.50    
8  ANGEL'S MAGIC Aug01 Jul13 Jun13 Apr26 Dec09 (bethke )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00    
9  TABLE FOR TWO Jul24 Jun08 Apr16 Mar26 Mar12 (fuentes rub)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 8.00    
SCR  DIVINE LEADER Jul24 Jul04 Jun16 May01 Aug17 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 4.50    
SCR  EMBER Jul26 Jul06 Jun20 May26 Apr26 (williams mat)FUENTES A 122 10.00    
 
CBY-7   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANGIN' TUFF Aug01 Jul10 Feb24 Feb09 Jan20 (berndt joel)REYES FRANK 119 10.00 ★    
2  KAL EL Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 Jun20 Jun01 (bethke a)PENA BRYAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  PASSION OF JOE'S Aug01 Mar13 Feb27 Jan05 Dec15 (ra)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
4  HAPPY HOUR BOBBY Aug01 Jun29 Jun08 Feb22 Feb10 (kenney ryan)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  SHOTCRETE Jul25 Jul06 Jun23 May03 Apr19 (rushton stacy)ARROYO MIGUEL 119 20.00    
6  JACKSON ACTION Jul27 Jun29 Jun16 May26 Jul29 (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 3.00 54% 0.90    
7  GENERAL CROOK Jul25 Jul11 Jun29 May26 May04 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 119 12.00    
8  UNIQUE PATH Jul25 Jul07 Jun09 Apr27 Mar30 (escobar mar)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 15.00    
9  LEMON MERINGUE Jul25 Jul11 May10 Feb18 Dec22 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 119 10.00 ★    
10  CAPALA Jul25 Jul13 Jun23 Jun02 Apr24 (lund valorie)FUENTES A 119 8.00    
11  PREPAREDNESS Jul25 Jul03 Jun23 May04 Apr19 (cline n)HARR KELSI 124 12.00    
12  I WISH I COULD Aug01 Jul07 Jun09 May13 Apr09 (biehler)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 ★    
 
CBY-8   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-10:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEA TO SUCCESS Jul28 Jun16 May25 May18 Apr30 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  BAY BOSS Jul25 Jul06 Jun16 Apr25   (williams mat)FUENTES A 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
3  DEFLATER Jul28 Jun23 May25 May03 Apr06 (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 8.00    
4  MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Jul14 Jun29 May26 May12 Apr21 (berndt joel)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  NORTH ARM BAY Jul24 Jul04 Jun09 Jun01 May18 (bethke )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00    
6  MISTER CHAIRMAN Aug01 Jun20 May27 May15 Apr30 (ra)DA FAUSTO 122 12.00 21% 3.80    
7  BOAT SONG Jul28 May18 May04 Feb11 Dec17 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.