Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - July 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (2/1/9/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/9/8/7)-(2/1/9/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/9/8/7)-(2/1/9/8/7)-(2/1/9/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-2   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-3   WIN (7/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (4/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/9)-(4/6/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/9)-(4/6/5/9)-(4/6/5/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-6   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-7   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/1/4/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/1/4/6/7)-(3/1/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (5/1/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/9/4)-(5/1/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/9/4)-(5/1/9/4)-(5/1/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (2/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/10)-(2/1/10/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/10)-(2/1/10/6)-(2/1/10/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-10   WIN (1/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/28/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDOTHIS Jul02         (crook-demasi kathle)BRAVO J 119 5.00 22% 3.60    
2  OOLONG HAI (IRE) Jun09 Apr07 Mar17 Dec21 Oct28 (hennig mark)JUAREZ NIK 121 4.50 31% 2.20    
3  DREAMINGOFFREEDOM Apr02 Mar13 Feb21 Jan30 Jan03 (perez ruperto)RIVERA D 119 20.00    
4  SASSY ALLIE May27         (falcone robe)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 5.00    
5  MYGIRLISABOMB Jul14 Jun23 Jun09 May25 Sep23 (bedard alan)IORIO MELISSA 114 10.00    
6  S K MOON Jul12 Jul06 Jun22 Jun09 May29 (pantaleo jo)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 15.00    
7  RISADITA         (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  VICTORIA'S DANCER Jun23 Jun01 Mar29 Mar09 Feb10 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 9% 9.60    
9  PARTY IS OVER Jul07 May26 Nov25 Oct20 Sep30 (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 123 3.50 17% 4.70    
SCR  UDIDN'TPAY Jul17 Jul03 Jun12 May29 May06 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 20.00    
 
MTH-2   07/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOOTERSGOTTASHOOT         (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 117 6.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of BEERSHEEBA by LIMEHOUSE)
2  KISSLING         (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of FLIP THE SWITCH by UPPER CASE)
3  NATIONAL LAW         (duarte jorge )JARA FERNANDO 117 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SUSIE'S BABY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  PARLAY FOR DESTINY         (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of SWEET DESTINY by STRONG PERFORMANCE)
5  ARCH COMPETITOR         (velazquez alfr)CEDENO CAROL 117 6.00 ★    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of MEADOW DANCE by JIMMY CREED)
SCR  BINGO'S GRIND         (delgado jose )OLVER MADISON 117 12.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of CATBIRD SEAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
7  OKVERYGOOD         (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00    
  (by UPSTART out of LENDERS WAY by HOOK AND LADDER)
8  SUPREME MIND         (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of FLORAL SKY by SKY MESA)
 
MTH-3   07/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUISING DEREK Jul13 Jun11 Apr21 Apr12 Mar17 (mazza w)JUAREZ NIK 121 15.00    
2  APOLLO CODE Jun28 Jun09 May12 Apr13 Dec31 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 118 1.60 21% 3.80    
3  SMOKIN HOLIDAY Jun26 May29 Feb06 Dec15 Nov12 (linder louis )OCASIO M 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  BOURBON'S HOPE Jul14 May05 Apr19 Mar30 Mar09 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00    
5  TATUM Jul17 Jun16 May21 Apr24 Apr01 (kirby t)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 4.50    
6  GOOD JUJU Jul05 May16 Feb18 Dec30 Nov24 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  LLOYD Jun29 Jun02 Apr15 Mar21 Mar13 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
MTH-4   07/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIGH TONE Jun30 May19 May12 Oct09 Sep11 (sacco gregor)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 6.00    
2  NOTION TO TAPIT Jul13 Jun30 Jun16 Jun09 May27 (serey )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 15.00    
3  CROWNEDCOUNTCRISTO Jun01 May26 Apr27 Apr13 Apr06 (serey mar)BOCACHICA J 116 3.00 16% 5.20    
4  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Jul10 Jun08 May29 May13 Apr22 (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
5  TURNSANDCONDITIONS Jun30 May12 Aug04 Jun11 May28 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 124 3.50    
6  JW'S THIRD MISCHIE Jul10 Jun08 May18 Apr29 Mar20 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  FLY FLY AWAY Jul07 Jun22 May26 May07 Jan21 (potts wayne)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
MTH-5   07/28/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY YELLEN Jun21 Jun08 May27 May14 Feb21 (padilla-precia)AGUILAR JEAN 114 20.00    
2  THE FURMANATOR Jun26 Jun11 May06 Apr23 Apr02 (vega richard)RUIZ ELISEO 121 6.00    
3  HIPNOTIZADA Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 Jun02 May16 (smith law)CAMACHO JR 119 10.00    
4  SASSY CHARLEE Jun28 Apr24 Mar24 Feb11 Dec20 (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00 48% 1.10    
5  EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE Jul04 May25 Apr05 Jan21 Sep04 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 121 4.50 ★    
6  THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB) May25 Apr24 Oct13 Sep08 Aug06 (delgado j)VARGAS A 121 5.00 22% 3.50    
7  FLIP MY ID Jul04 May25 Apr13 Mar16 Dec24 (breen j)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00    
8  TAPIT'S GIRL Jun29 Jun22 May25 Sep06 Aug09 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50    
9  MOVING IN STEREO Jul04 Nov04 Sep09 Sep02 Aug19 (harris holl)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-6   07/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONORARY DEGREE Jul19 Jun29 Jun14 May27 May17 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 10.00    
2  CRYPT Jul15 Jun25 May29 May13 Apr29 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BIG JOHN Jul17 Jun25 May08 Apr09 Mar11 (brown howard )RIVERA D 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRAZILLIONAIRE Jun29 Feb25 Dec30 Nov30 Sep13 (serey j)OLVER MADISON 121 8.00    
5  AMERICAN LAW Jul12 Jun22 May25 May11 Mar30 (breen j)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.50    
6  PRACTICAL COACH Jul14 Jul07 Jun16 Jun01 May18 (ramirez silvin)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.00 ★    
7  RAD PAISLEY Jun27 May31 May09 Dec29 Nov01 (magee kieron)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.00 71% 0.40    
8  MY MAMBA Jul07 Jun29 Jun16 Jun09 May11 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 124 5.00    
 
MTH-7   07/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXCLUSIVE CHAMPION Jul19 Jun09 May11 Sep15 Sep02 (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 ★    
2  CORACLE Jul19 Jun29 Nov12 Aug27 Aug13 (lynch cat)CARRASCO R 115 12.00    
3  GRAVITY HILL Jul05 May18       (lynch cathal)JUAREZ NIK 115 3.50 74% 0.40    
4  TE AMO Jun28 Jun09 Sep15 Aug27 Aug11 (grullo)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 4.50 ★    
5  SINGLEBERYLBOURBON Jul19 Jun28 Jun09 May18 Oct06 (sweezey kent)MARIN SAMUEL 120 5.00    
6  PERSPICACIOUS (ARG) Jul19 Jun02 Oct13 Sep22 Sep10 (milne joan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00 ★    
7  BELLA FAST Jul05 Jun01 May11 Oct06 Aug27 (perkins jr)RENDON JAIRO 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  DESERT PASSION Jul19 Jun09 Sep15 Aug27 Jul21 (milne joan)IORIO MELISSA 115 8.00    
9  DELIGHTFUL AVA Jun09 May11 Oct06 Sep22 Sep02 (frangella ja)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
SCR  VIOLETS SMILE Jul05 Jun01 May11 Oct08 Sep09 (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50    
 
MTH-8   07/28/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Jul04 Jun15 Jun01 May11 Mar03 (hernand)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 2.50 10% 9.10    
2  RHUMJAR Jul12 Jun08 May27 Apr24 Mar12 (gonzalez a)BRAVO J 124 6.00    
3  CHEEKY TICO Jul19 Jun29 Jun16 May25 May11 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 20.00    
4  WANDERING WEST Jul19 Jun29 Jun22 Jun01 May11 (sanchez jose)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  STREET GLIDE Jun17 May03 Apr20 Mar27 Feb09 (arriagada ju)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  DIVINE MIRACLE Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 May29 May08 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 124 3.50    
7  CUPID'S DUDE Jul01 Jun17 May21 May03 Apr12 (gallegos jose )RENDON JAIRO 124 10.00    
SCR  LIB'S CONTENTO Jul13 Jun28 Jun09 Oct05 Sep03 (huston k)CAMACHO SAMY 121 20.00    
9  GOLDEN JUAN Jul04 Jun15 Jun01 May25 Apr13 (avila jua)VARGAS A 124 6.00 7% 13.80    
 
MTH-9   07/28/2024 3300ft TURF RC11 FIRM Colleen Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPSTYLE Jun22 May23 May02     (david carlos )JARA FERNANDO 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of GENAU by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  DREAMAWAY Apr21         (ward wesley )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DREAM DANCING by TAPIT)
3  LEMONPEPPASTEPPA Jul13         (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 118 4.50    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SARANDA by SMART STRIKE)
4  KIP THE DISTANCE May16 May02       (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 118 12.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of HAUNTING MELODY by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  SHKHARA FIRE Jun07 May25       (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 118 10.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of RYSY by LANGFUHR)
6  HOLLYWOOD BEAUTY Jun24         (solis jacinto)RUIZ ELISEO 118 20.00 ★    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of AMERICA'S FRIEND by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  SHAREDASHENANIGANS Jun22         (motion h )CARRASCO R 118 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SHARING by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  SPANKERBOOM Jul05 Jun16       (ortiz ale)RENDON JAIRO 118 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SPANKER by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
9  ROSHIELL MY BELLE Jun28         (estvanko richa)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of STRIKE RED by SMART STRIKE)
10  ME GOVERNOR Jul04 Jun16       (david ca)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 8% 11.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MOCHA CHIP by TRAPPE SHOT)
SCR  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY Jul05 Jun06 May18     (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 116 8.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ATALA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
MTH-10   07/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOCEPHUS Jun30 Jun23 May27 May19 May12 (delgado jorg)GONZALEZ CESAR 114 1.20 48% 1.10    
2  SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Jul19 Jun29 Jun11 May29 May07 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 124 4.00 10% 9.30    
3  MAGNIFICENT RIDE Jul21 May26 Apr05 Mar22 Mar09 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 124 2.50 12% 7.20    
4  STAFF SERGEANT Feb27 Feb14 Jan24 Dec20 Nov28 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 30.00    
5  RASCALLY REBEL Jul12 Jun30 Jun23 Jun02 May26 (serey jr)CAMACHO SAMY 124 10.00    
6  FIGHT FIERCELY Jul07 Jun28 May11 Apr28 Apr12 (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 124 20.00    
7  SNEAKINESS Jul07 Jun22 Jan26 Jan12 Nov22 (avila jua)VARGAS A 124 8.00    
8  EDDIEMUSH Jul21 Jun24 Jun12 Jun04 May20 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.