Handicappers' Racing Form

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Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
LAD-2   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
LAD-3   Win (1/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-4   Win (10/9/3/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-5   Win (2/8/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-6   Win (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-7   Win (6/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LAD-1   07/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TDZ HINT OF POWER         (knudsen kent)FUSILIER C 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
A MILLION MOONS         (johnson henry)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 118 8.00    
MAGNOLIA WEST         (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50    
HE'S A FINE BABY         (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 118 5.00    
SWEET TALKIN SLICK         (foster joseph )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
FLINT ROCK         (gibson jonas)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  MAJORITY OPINION         (johnson he)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 6.00    
 
LAD-2   07/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAUCER EYES Jun26 May29 May15 Apr19 Mar10 (gomez a)VARGAS P 124 4.00    
CAJUN MISCHIEF Jun26 Jun05 May15 Feb15 Jan25 (hodges e)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 69% 0.40    
STONECOAT Jun25 May29 May13 Feb10 Jan19 (fogarty desmond)WADE LYNDIE 124 10.00    
ZONG'S FAVOR Jul02 May22       (shamsie mike)BOREL H 124 4.50    
GRAND ENCORE Jul09 Jun05 Apr27 Feb11 Dec15 (gomez c)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 8.00    
NATIVE REQUITE Jun25 May28 May13 Jan12 Nov30 (gomez davi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
BLUME Jun26 Feb10 Jan20 Dec20 Sep03 (johnson henry )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.00    
 
LAD-3   07/22/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAWAIIAN ARGUMENT May29 Apr27 Apr12 Feb25 Feb15 (zenon shelton)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.50 39% 1.50    
CARLOS'S MAMA Jun15 May29 May11 Mar20 Mar08 (bernard john)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
PERFECT STRIKE Jul04 Jun10 May27 May07 Apr13 (mojica a)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 5.00    
ST PIERRE Jul09 May29 May08 Dec17 Nov15 (duhon o)BOREL H 124 8.00    
GOTTA DEAL Jun24 Jun12 May29 May09 Apr27 (washington ric)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50    
BIG TAP BABY May14 Apr06 Mar21 Mar01 Feb04 (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
FLAT OUT RUNNER Jun15 May23 May02 Apr20 Apr06 (gomez jorge)BARRERA J 120 10.00 14% 6.40    
LITTLE WARRIOR Jun18 Jun04 May18 May07 Apr19 (melancon d)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
 
LAD-4   07/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE BURRITO Jun08 Apr20 Apr05 Mar10 Apr03 (martin kevin)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00    
JANIS Jul04 Jun18 Jun08 Apr20 Mar30 (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 124 12.00    
DARE ME Jun08 May13 Apr13 Mar23 Jul03 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00 15% 5.60    
MILLIE'S DESTINY Jun18 Jun04 Nov16     (dixon tim)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 13% 6.50    
LEPRECHAUN CHARM Jun03 May11 Apr26 Apr06 Mar15 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.50    
MDA SENORITA RUN Jun24 Jun11 May18     (rangel raul)VARGAS P 124 10.00    
INSPECTOR PENNY Jul04 Jun11 May12 Apr11 Mar10 (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.50    
THURSDAY MORNING Mar01 Feb11 Dec15 Nov16 Oct27 (soto fermin)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
CATHOLIC SUE Jul07 Jun16 Jun07 May04 Apr18 (broberg ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
10  CHOCTAW BLESSINGS Jul04 Jun08 Apr28 Apr06 Mar22 (witt ii)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
LAD-5   07/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INEZ Jul03 Jun08 May27 Feb07 Jan18 (nixon w)WADE LYNDIE 120 10.00    
FAYE L. Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 Apr10 Feb09 (gibson jonas)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
DISCREET DEAL Jun24 May06 Mar24 Feb09 Nov18 (bruno j)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
OUR INDIAN GIRL Jul01 Jun11 May14 Mar15 Feb23 (hargrave kenn)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 12.00    
MID WEST FUN Jun24 Jun11 May29 May14   (nelson r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00    
BITSY'S DOUBLE DAY May27 May06 Feb21 Feb08 Aug06 (melancon d)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
LEXI'S FURY Jun24 Jan12 Dec22 Dec01 Oct20 (duhon o)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 5.00    
CLEARLY CREEPS Jun08 May07 Apr05 Mar20 Mar08 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
WHEELS LIKE NALA Jul03 Jun11 May14 Feb15 Dec21 (de al)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-6   07/22/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHROME RUN Jul04 Jun04 Apr26 Mar15 Feb10 (milligan alle)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LE COOP Dec08 Nov09 Mar10 Jan13   (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.50    
CROW'S NEST Jul06 Jun14 Jun10 Apr05 Mar10 (asmussen s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
ROULETTE Jun26 Jun12 May18 Sep11 Aug19 (johnson henry )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00 9% 10.30    
LIFE ON THE NILE Jun10 May18 Apr26 Apr05 Mar01 (gibson jonas)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50 53% 0.90    
DABOOGEYMAN Jun24 Jun04 Apr02 Mar05 Feb24 (hewitt michael)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00    
CONTRABANDISTA Jun18 May21 May04 Apr26 Apr05 (martin kevin)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.50 11% 8.00    
ROYAL DE BE Jun18 Jun04 May18 Apr19 Mar29 (vincent jarv)RAMIREZ JR 119 8.00    
PRINCE SIMBA Jul04 Jun19 Apr06 Mar09 Feb19 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 10.00    
 
LAD-7   07/22/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS CHARGE IT Jun18 May13 Mar15 Feb23 Jan18 (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
NATURAL TOUCH Jul04 Jun08 Apr20 Apr05 Mar03 (cravens ronnie )LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00    
SWIFT RED BIRD May12 Apr28 Jun04 May14 Apr13 (morris rowdy)BOREL H 124 6.00    
NUNOFTHISNUNOFTHAT Apr28 Mar28 Mar01 Feb02 Jan05 (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 14% 5.90    
SCR  LASSAROCK Feb15 Feb02 Jan12 Jan14 Dec26 (hirdes john)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 15.00    
SISTER SAINT Jul03 Jun17 May08 Apr25 Aug20 (burkes bobby)MURRAY M 124 3.50 48% 1.10    
PNEUMA Jun11 May20 May03 Apr04 Mar23 (witt ii)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 10.00 6% 16.30    
SHEZA CAT Jul04 Jun03 May25 Apr20 Nov21 (fogarty desmon)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00    
GYPSAN Jul07 Jun16 May26 Feb10 Jan21 (pish danny)WADE LYNDIE 120 10.00    
10  RIVER'S END Jul06 Jun22 May31 May18 Apr27 (jacks e)GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.