Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(1/2/5)-(2/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(2/4/3)-(3/7/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(3/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(3/7/1/4)-(3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-4   WIN (3/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/4)-(3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/4)-(3/2/4)-(1/6/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-5   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/6/5/7)-(2/9/3/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-6   WIN (1/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/7)-(2/9/3/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/7)-(2/9/3/11)-(3/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-7   WIN (2/9/3/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/3/11)-(2/9/3/8/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/3/11)-(2/9/3/8/11)-(2/9/3/8/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/3/11)-(3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-8   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAYRUZ TRIBUTE Jun28 May25 Apr21 Mar29 Feb18 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 6.00 19% 4.10    
2  HICKORY WIND Jun14 May31 May12 Dec30 Nov24 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 3.00    
3  GRAMMY WINNER Jun28 Jun14 May25 May12 Mar09 (rosales jorge)LOPEZ KARLO 119 1.40 41% 1.40    
4  OUTOFQUEMADO Jun28 Jun15 May25 May02 Apr23 (tubbs scott)REYES R 125 4.50    
5  SUBITO SLEW Jun28 Jun15 Apr29 Apr02 Sep10 (koler steve)MAWING A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR Jun29 Jun14 May31 Dec04 Nov07 (christian billy)CRUZ M 123 5.00    
 
EMD-2   07/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBEL GAL Jun22         (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 119 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by COAST GUARD out of CREME by SOMERSHAM)
2  SUMMER REIGN         (wenzel tom)MAWING A 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of ANGIE GRAND by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  MOONLIGHT GREY         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MOON OVER MAG BAY by MALIBU MOON)
4  SAPELLO LA FINA         (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 3.50    
  (by GIRVIN out of JULES N ROME by DUNKIRK)
5  ROCKYSCENTS         (patino fausti)GUTIERREZ M 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RONDA ROCKS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
6  SHESAYSHELLO Jun22 Apr25 Apr11     (birdwell tena)LOPEZ KARLO 119 4.50    
  (by PROTONICO out of MORETHANJUSTHELLO by MORE THAN READY)
 
EMD-3   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEDNESDAY AT SHADY Jun29 Jun21 May25 Apr09 Mar19 (tubbs scott)REYES R 121 4.50    
2  DELTA DELTA Jun21 Apr25 Apr08 Mar14 Mar04 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 1.80 44% 1.30    
3  CHANCELLORS BOOM Jun21 Jun09 May18 Sep17 Aug27 (gibson vince)MARTIN A 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  QUAGMIRE MAGIC Jun21 May18 May11 Apr19 Mar23 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 123 2.50 21% 3.80    
5  FED GRANT Jun15 May26 May12 Apr29 Apr09 (birdwell tena)GUTIERREZ M 125 4.00    
6  CONNECTER Jul03 Jun08 May25 May04 Jul30 (gibson vince)LOPEZ KARLO 121 15.00    
 
EMD-4   07/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMDEN HIGH Oct02 Sep17 Aug26 Aug06 Jul23 (morris l)MATIAS J 122 15.00 16% 5.40    
2  ALICESHOUSEOFHEART Jun30 Jun09 May26 Apr10 Jul01 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 3.50    
3  PRINCESS HEKAWI Jun21 Jun07 Sep10 Aug03   (mccanna tim)KRIGGER K 125 3.50 38% 1.70    
4  FOREST ACCLAMATION Jul03 Jun22 Jun09 Apr02 Mar21 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  WEGOTTODRINKING Jun08 Apr14 Apr05 Mar17 Feb17 (nunnally jen)OROZCO E 125 12.00    
6  INFINITE LOVE Jun22 Jun02 May12 Mar31 Mar10 (cryderman cand)REYES R 125 2.50    
7  BIG JOLT Jun22 May26 Apr10 Mar04 Nov25 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
 
EMD-5   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANGIE GO Jun28 May04 Apr15 Apr10 Mar11 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00    
2  RUBY RAY Jun09 May19 Apr03 Mar11 Jan31 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 3.00 19% 4.40    
3  SILVERY ORB Jun22 Jun09 May19 Aug26 Jul30 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
4  STEPUP May19 Aug26 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  STAY SASSY Jun16 May19 Sep16 Jul23 Jul03 (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 3.50    
6  LAPUSH Jun23 Jun02 May11 Sep17 Aug12 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 3.00    
 
EMD-6   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANTASTIC DAY Jun23 Oct09 Sep04 Aug20 Aug11 (rosales jorge)MAWING A 122 5.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  DUTTON Jun07 Mar12 Aug07 Jul10 May28 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 122 20.00    
3  COOL PAPA G Jun23 May18 Apr08 Mar06 Feb06 (evans justin)CRUZ M 125 4.00    
4  PETER FLIES Jun30 Jun08 May26 May11 Mar15 (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 125 6.00    
5  POVERTY BAY Jun23 Apr30 Jul30 Jul02 Jun10 (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 122 12.00 10% 9.00    
6  WELTON Jun23 Jun01 May12 Apr15 Mar22 (rosales jorge)REYES R 125 3.50 26% 2.90    
7  COMPANY'S DREAM Jun23 May18 Aug27 Jul30 Jun18 (gibson vince)MONTALVO C 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  COASTAL JAZZ Jun29 Jun16 May18 May04 Apr13 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 5.00    
9  A VIEW FROM ABOVE Jun23 Jun08 May18 Sep16 Sep02 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 122 6.00    
 
EMD-7   07/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Kent Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKY BAY RAE Jun15 Apr18 Mar28 Mar13 Feb21 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 120 15.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of FINDING MORE by TRICKEY TREVOR)
2  APPEAL FACTOR Jun15 Aug06 Jul09     (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by THE FACTOR out of KARULA by COLONEL JOHN)
3  CHAI Jun23 May19 Sep10     (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 118 4.50 11% 7.70    
  (by RACE DAY out of FIND YOUR SPOT by NATIONHOOD)
4  I'M TELLING MOM Jun15 May31 Sep25 Sep03   (toye joe)CRUZ M 118 20.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of GREAT MOM by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
5  ROCKIT A DAY Jun23 May31 May04 Sep10 Aug26 (jenne bonnie)MONTALVO C 118 15.00    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of JACOBITA by FOREST WILDCAT)
6  SIGNORA VITTORIA May11 Jan15 Dec10 Nov19 Oct08 (mccanna tim)KRIGGER K 118 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of PRAGMATIC PRINCESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  VERONICA'S DELIGHT Jun23 Jun02 May11 Sep10   (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 118 8.00    
  (by KLIMT out of THAT'S WHY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  VICTORIA'S CHARGE Jun15 May26 May11 Sep02   (bozell alan)GUTIERREZ M 118 6.00 ★    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of FEEL THE CHARGE by MR. GREELEY)
9  PAYNT YA LATER Jun15 May11 Feb25     (martinez b)MATIAS J 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by PAYNTER out of IMPECUNIOUS by VRONSKY)
10  ARCTIC BREEZE Jun15 May12 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 (wright blaine)LOPEZ KARLO 118 12.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SWEATER WEATHER by MILWAUKEE BREW)
11  CLASSIC AMERICAN Jun22         (martinez david)REYES R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of YOUNG AND LOVELY by ISTAN)
 
EMD-8   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CIELO DIAMANTE Jul03 Jun16 May25 May01 Apr08 (cryderman cand)REYES R 125 2.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  LAKER JET Jun23 Jun07 May25 Apr24 Apr16 (bean a)CRUZ M 125 8.00    
3  MERINO WOOL Jun07 May12 Apr24 Apr10 Apr02 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
4  NEISSA Jun23 May26 May11 Mar04 Feb08 (martinez b)MATIAS J 121 4.00    
5  SQUARE FOOTAGE May18 Aug25 Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 (navarro jose)MAWING A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  NOMI LACKEE Jul03 Jun07 May25 May12 Dec02 (madrigal elodio)LOPEZ KARLO 125 3.50    
7  HEAT SEEKING LETA Jun22 Jun07 Sep17 Aug20 Aug05 (dronen sam)MONTALVO C 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.