Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - July 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (4/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (6/8/3/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/5/2)-(6/8/3/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/5/2)-(6/8/3/5/2)-(6/8/3/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-4   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (3/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/2)-(3/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/2)-(3/1/8/2)-(3/1/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (1/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/3)-(1/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/3)-(1/7/5/3)-(1/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-8   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($68.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIZE CHUB Jun09 May22 May11 Dec06 Nov07 (wyner harold)MOYA F 120 20.00    
2  KATE'S CUBAN KISS Jun01 May18 Dec20 Nov21 Aug20 (krebs steven)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50    
3  DANTASTIC Jun05 May01       (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 5.00 13% 6.70    
4  CAPTURED DARLING Jun16         (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
5  GRAVITY HILL May18         (lynch cathal)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.00 29% 2.50    
6  BELLA FAST Jun01 May11 Oct06 Aug27   (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  VIOLETS SMILE Jun01 May11 Oct08 Sep09 Sep02 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 115 3.00    
 
MTH-2   07/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE COLLECTOR Jun23 Jun01 May12 Apr26 Mar09 (sweezey j)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 4.50    
2  GOODSTONE Jun02 Apr14       (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50 39% 1.50    
3  PIRATE Jun07 May05 Apr06 Sep04 Jul15 (pletcher a)BRAVO J 117 2.00 26% 2.80    
4  K CROWN Jun01 Apr04 Mar06 Feb07 Dec30 (ward dan)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.50    
5  REAL SENSATION Jun23 Jun01 May11 Apr27 Mar23 (poalucci fran)IORIO MELISSA 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  AWESOME RUTA Jun05 Apr20 Mar23 Feb17 Jan18 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 3.00    
 
MTH-3   07/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAXSON IS BACK Jun15         (miceli micha)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 6.00    
2  QUICKER THAN QUICK Jun16 Jun01 May19 Nov20 Nov10 (milne )ROJAS EDUARDO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  DIFFERENT FLAME Jun22 Jun01 Apr21 Feb09 Jan06 (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 119 3.00 13% 6.90    
4  VIEJO VERDE Jun23 May25 Apr12     (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 119 20.00    
SCR  LAKE CHAPALA Jun16 Jun08 May27 Mar03 Jul08 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 10.00 12% 7.40    
6  MIDNITE LUMBERJACK Oct22 Sep22 Aug31 Aug06   (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
7  PROVEN GOOD Jun29         (terranova jo)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 6.00    
8  LONELY RIDE Jun22 Jun08 Jan21     (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
9  KEEP IT SALTY Feb12 Jan10 Dec12     (carango antho)RIVERA D 123 15.00    
 
MTH-4   07/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONGRESSMAN Jun09 Feb18 Jan06 May07 Jan29 (delgado j)VARGAS A 121 6.00    
2  GOOD JUJU May16 Feb18 Dec30 Nov24 Oct21 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00    
3  FLYING LIAM Jun23 Mar03 Dec26 Nov19 Oct15 (margotta antho)RENDON JAIRO 121 6.00 5% 17.30    
4  HUSHION Jun09 May25 May19 Mar18 Feb23 (cole-davis )BURNHAM MATILDA 114 30.00    
5  THE DISTRACTOR Jun07 May25 Apr18 Mar24 Feb16 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 1.20 53% 0.90    
SCR  SPEEDY BOLT Jun12 May04 Mar26 Mar06 Jan31 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 5.00    
7  HURRICANE J May27 Feb24 Dec23 Nov19 Apr07 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
MTH-5   07/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALANTYNE Jun16 Jun01 May12 Mar23 Jan06 (ramirez silvin)RENDON JAIRO 121 4.50 18% 4.60    
2  GUN RIGHT Jun16 May18 May01 Mar22 Feb21 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 116 6.00 5% 18.50    
3  GROUP TICKET Jun09 May27 Apr20 Mar23 Feb25 (sweezey ken)JARA FERNANDO 117 6.00 33% 2.10    
4  NICOLE'S KING Jun16 Jun01 Mar14     (miceli mi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 8.00    
5  YORK TAVERN Jun15 May23 Apr25 Mar13 Feb02 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50    
SCR  RUN CORY RUN May11 Mar02 Jan21 Dec16   (delgado j)VARGAS A 121 3.50    
7  KING MIANO Jun16 May18 May01 Apr07 Mar16 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00    
8  MOTSKARI Jun24 Jun03 Apr27 Mar23 Feb23 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
MTH-6   07/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MICROPHONE (IRE) Jun07 Mar08 Jan04 Dec22 Nov23 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
2  TEPEU Jun16 Jun01 May18 May04 Feb28 (ramirez silv)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00    
3  FOOD BANK HELPER Jun16 Jun01 Apr27 Mar20 Feb28 (mcburney patri)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  HOMETOWN HERO Jun26 Jun04 May20 May01 Apr16 (bravo-estrad)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 15.00    
5  TITLE SHOT Jun16 Jun01 May04 Mar20 Feb28 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00 6% 16.80    
6  PRINCE OF CAPS Jun16 Jun01 Nov03 Oct15 Sep22 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 119 10.00    
7  SPANISH NOBLE Jun16 Jun01 Apr21 Mar20 Feb28 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 116 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  SMART STRIKER May22 Apr26 Apr04 Dec13 Nov04 (pompay terri)RENDON JAIRO 121 2.50    
 
MTH-7   07/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($68.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPHA COMPANY Jun21 May26 May12 Nov01 Oct06 (huston k)IORIO MELISSA 115 8.00    
SCR  OPTICAL BIJOU Aug27 Jul23       (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 115 6.00    
3  CHARLIE'S EXPRESS Jun08 Apr13 Oct06 Sep14 Aug27 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 2.50 36% 1.80    
4  MIDNIGHT STORY Sep01 Jul23       (milne joan)RENDON JAIRO 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ON THE COME UP Jun08 May19 Apr15 Mar26 Feb21 (d'angelo jose )MOYA F 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
6  DR. DOYLE Jun08 May19 Nov11 Oct20 Sep04 (potts wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.00    
7  RUNNING RIGHT BY U Jun11 May19 Sep09 Aug27 Jul29 (moore michael )CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00    
 
MTH-8   07/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXCALIBRATE Jun22 Jun02 May17 Oct14 Sep03 (chichakly amir)MARIN SAMUEL 123 6.00    
SCR  SLEW OF TALENT Jun22 Jun16 Jun10 May21 Sep17 (berrios manue)IORIO MELISSA 116 10.00    
3  CHOCHOCHO Jun23 May19 Mar16 Feb25 Feb04 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 2.00    
4  AVES MAKIN' WAVES Jun23 Apr21 Apr05 Feb04 Dec31 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 119 1.60 35% 1.80    
5  JOEL'S BOY Jun23 Jun16 May27 Apr12 Mar15 (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOMENT AT SEA Jun23 May09 Dec20 Nov22 Oct27 (grullon )HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
7  SENOR PICKLES         (martin ramo)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 8.00 28% 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.