Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - June 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(4/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(4/1/7)-(3/8/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(3/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(3/8/5/4)-(7/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/4)-(3/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/4)-(3/8/5/4)-(3/8/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/5/4)-(7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/4)-(7/1/4)-(9/4/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(9/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(9/4/8/6)-(5/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (9/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/8/6)-(9/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/8/6)-(9/4/8/6)-(9/4/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/8/6)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/8/6)-(5/1/2)-(5/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(5/4/2)-(7/9/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/9/2)-(5/4/9/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(7/9/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/9/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/8/6)-(7/9/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/8/6)-(7/9/8/6)-(7/9/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   06/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY CINCO DE MAYO Jun01 May11 Mar16 Feb17 Aug12 (johnson dewayne)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
VAN HOOK May24 May02 Apr11 Mar15 Feb24 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
LANETTA Jun14 Jun01 May09 Apr11 Mar07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80    
SUMMERTIME ROSE Jun14 Apr26 Apr05 Mar16 Feb29 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 2.00 67% 0.50    
SISTER SPIRIT Mar16 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Aug26 (aylor william )REAP E 120 20.00    
NANA'S BOOPA Jun14 Jun05 May15 Apr26 Apr05 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
SPEEDY BUBBLES Jun07 May18 Apr23 Feb21 Jan11 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 2.50 10% 8.60    
 
CT-2   06/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GABRIEL SEVEN Jun15 May12 Apr12 Mar10 Feb09 (robb j)HO WESLEY 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  SHAMELESS RISK Jun14 May04 Oct18 Sep16 Aug25 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50    
MOONSET Jun08 May24 Mar30 Mar06 Feb22 (frock charle)LEWIS M 117 10.00    
OUTKISSED Jun14 Apr12 Mar24 Mar03 Oct12 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 1.40 44% 1.30    
CIRCLE THE MOON Jun07 May23 Apr26 Mar24 Feb14 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 12.00    
FOREVER TAKES TIME Mar23 Feb10 Jan25 Jan04 Oct19 (barber c)BOCACHICA O 124 4.00    
THE ILLUSIONIST Jun20 May16 Apr05 Jan25 Dec22 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00 6% 14.70    
 
CT-3   06/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAVEL SMART Jun08 May18 Apr26 Apr05 Mar09 (harrison glen)ADAMS L 117 15.00    
CALIFORNIA CODE Jun14 May11 Apr25 Apr04 Feb04 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 6.00    
SECRET CASTLE Jun01 May11 Feb15 Jan26 Jan13 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
CLEARLY VISIBLE Jun08 May18 May11 Apr19 Mar29 (clatter)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SAPPHIRE BEAUTY Jun08 Apr06 Mar23 Mar03 Jan13 (frock charle)LEWIS M 117 8.00 12% 7.70    
THUNDERTURTLE Jun08 May17 Apr19 Mar29 Feb15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00    
MRS. DEL Jun21 May31 May20 Apr25 Mar29 (binning matth)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.50    
MISS MOON PIE Jun16 May28 Mar13 Feb10 Jan26 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  AFLEET DIVA Jun13 May13 Apr17 Mar26 Mar12 (jones e)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
 
CT-4   06/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VELVET GHOST Dec29 Dec09 Nov03 Sep08 Aug25 (corrales j)BERRUGATE KENEDY 120 8.00 11% 8.50    
ROAD SLEW Jun14 Jun07 May17 Apr26 Apr04 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
ONLY GET'N BETTER Jun07 May16 Apr25 Mar30 Mar07 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
RAGTIME RICHES May24 Apr27 Apr06 Mar15 Feb23 (barber dona)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  YOUNG TURK Apr02 Mar13 Feb03 Jan25 May25 (farrior antho)ADAMS L 113 8.00    
PIT STOP MAN Apr26 Apr07 Mar13 Mar02 Feb23 (binning matt)LEWIS M 115 5.00    
GRAN ANDREWS Jun07 May09 Apr27 Apr09 Feb22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.60 65% 0.50    
BLAMEITONTHEFUN Jun14 May02 Mar28 Feb14 Dec13 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00    
 
CT-5   06/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEEDLES COOKIE Jun20 May24 Apr18     (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of JILTED RUNAWAY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
TINA'S BACK May24 May02 Apr06     (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 20.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of SWEET CANE by LAABITY)
FULL OF CHARM Jun07 May17 Jul20 Jul06   (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 3.50    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of FULL OF INTENT by MASTER COMMAND)
DREAM LEADER May30 May02       (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 4.00 11% 7.80    
  (by ENTICED out of RUBY FALLS by BROKEN VOW)
SWEET WINDSOR Jun08         (shuler joh)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 124 12.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of SWEET ADVANCE by WAR FRONT)
HOUSE ALERT         (rofe jean)THORPE DARIUS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of BANK TELLER by BANKER'S GOLD)
QUEEN SABINE Jun08 May24 May17 Apr19 Jan27 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of JUNGLE DIAMOND by JUMP START)
STILL GRUMPY Jun20         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 12.00 10% 9.40    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of EARLY ANNUITY by LUFTIKUS)
PRINCESS OF GOLD Jun08 May09 Apr18     (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of SPUNKY MONKEY by FOREST DANGER)
 
CT-6   06/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTIVATING May30 Apr18 Mar27 Mar09 Feb23 (viands r)ACOSTA D 122 3.50 33% 2.10    
BIG SMILE Jun08 May18 May09 Apr20 Mar29 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOVING PICTURES Apr28 Mar22 Mar07 Feb10 Jan12 (craig armont)LEWIS M 117 10.00    
ALLEN CAN DO IT May30 May04 Apr19 Mar16 Feb29 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.50    
PERSONABLE May30 Mar27 Mar09 Jan12 Dec09 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 4.00 44% 1.30    
OZONE Jun13 May23 May04 Feb25 Feb02 (murdock steph)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 1.60    
TEMPESTIVO Jun08 May09 Apr07 Feb10 Jan18 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 12.00    
 
CT-7   06/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Jun06 May09 Mar07 Dec06 Nov18 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
ONE CANDY CASTLE Jun15 May25 May02 Apr19 Mar21 (binning matth)ADAMS L 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
IN HIGH GEAR Jun01 May18 Oct27 Oct05 Aug26 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
TAKE YOUR TIME May31 May02 Sep22 Aug11   (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 5.00 7% 14.20    
MR. DUMBLEDORE Jun01 May11 Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 116 1.20 71% 0.40    
LASTWALKTOFREEDOM May31 May10 May03 Apr19 Mar28 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 10.00    
SCR  LEG UP Jun20 May10 Apr26 Mar28 Mar06 (hanagan g)LARROSA G 120 10.00    
CHASE LIL ME Jun06 Mar09 Dec16 Nov01 Oct11 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00    
ALDRINALINE Jun20 May25 Mar13 Feb10 Dec16 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 6.00    
 
CT-8   06/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALYPSO JOHN Jun06 Apr19 Mar07 Feb17 Jan04 (contreras jav)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50    
SCR  SPYDYLEGS Jun08 May18 Apr26 Apr13 Mar08 (hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
SHINEY GHOST Jun08 May18 May10 Apr26 Mar28 (aylor william )REAP E 120 20.00    
DOG TOWN ALLEN Jun08 May18 May02 Apr06 Mar20 (harrison n)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
ASTRAYAL Jun13 May23 May02 Mar21 Mar01 (contreras ja)LEWIS M 117 15.00    
ROAD PUNCH Jun08 Nov16 Oct19 Sep28 May13 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Jun08 Jun01 Apr25 Apr11 Nov02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 64% 0.60    
MONKEY WRENCH Jun13 May18 May02 Apr06 Mar07 (barahona isaac)CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
HILLBILLY PRIDE May26         (collyer ja)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 8.00 7% 13.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.