Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Saturday - May 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-2   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
CTM-3   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-4   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-5   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
CTM-6   WIN (3/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/1)-(2/7/8/9)-(1/9/10/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CTM-7   WIN (2/7/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/9)-(2/7/8/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/9)-(2/7/8/9/5)-(2/7/8/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/8/9)-(1/9/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTM-8   WIN (1/9/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/10/6)-(1/9/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/10/6)-(1/9/10/6)-(1/9/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-2   05/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOHAYMEN DAY Oct21 Oct08 Sep30 Sep17 Aug11 (robertson jerri)CARTER KYLE 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  ANAAMY Oct14 Oct09 Sep17 Aug18 Aug11 (biggs s)CHASE RICHARD 118 8.00    
3  BOOTIFUL ROSE Oct07 Oct01 Sep17 Aug19 Aug05 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 123 1.60    
4  THRILL OF THE NITE Oct07 Sep30 Sep16 Aug25 Aug11 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 4.50    
5  NIGHT FLYER Oct21 Sep17 Aug19 Aug02 Jul07 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.00 10% 9.00    
 
CTM-3   05/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OOPS (GB) Apr12 Mar16 Feb24 Jan26 Jan05 (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by TERRITORIES out of GLEE CLUB by KYLLACHY)
2  BYE BYE CHARLIE         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.50    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of TRIPPI DIPPEDY DOT by TRIPPI)
3  VIOLENT VIOLET Mar17 Feb19       (zielke madis)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 8.00 23% 3.30    
  (by VIOLENCE out of TRANSACTION by DEPOSIT TICKET)
4  MIDNITE SCORE         (anderson gonzal)POON ANDREW 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNITE POPPA out of QUEEN OF MONGOLIA by DIXIE UNION)
5  MIDNITRAINTOGEORJA Sep01 Aug19 Jul23 Jul07 Jun09 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.00    
  (by MIDNITE POPPA out of INSTANT STYLE by FORESTRY)
6  ANNAMARIA Mar29 Feb09 Jan24 Dec08 Nov10 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 120 2.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SOCKS by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
 
CTM-4   05/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMUSING WAY Sep30 Sep16 Aug18 Aug05 Jul22 (brown r)WALKER T 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  NORTHERN JEWEL Oct14 Sep30 Sep23 Sep09 Aug25 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 123 3.00    
3  BEHIND THE CURTAIN Feb11 Jan19 Dec01 Oct14 Sep29 (humbke chery)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00    
4  EXAMINER Oct21 Oct07 Oct01 Sep17 Sep01 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 4.50    
5  BON PRIX Oct15 Sep23 Sep09 Aug04 Jul23 (wyness james)NELSON DANE 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
6  ESTIFRAAD Oct15 Sep30 Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.50 17% 4.80    
 
CTM-5   05/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FORCED TO RUN         (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 120 8.00    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of GOLDEN ROAR by ROAR)
2  ALBERTA BERBON Oct07 Sep16 Sep01 Aug12 Jul16 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 10.00    
  (by HEAVENLY CHORUS out of MAGIC TANGO by MAGIC PROSPECT)
3  SILENT COUNT Mar24         (kingston karlin)CARTER KYLE 120 2.00 66% 0.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MRS VARGAS by BERNARDINI)
4  OUR SUNSHINE Oct07 Sep16 Sep01 Aug12 Jul23 (russell monica)BRYAN D 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NO HESITATION out of COLOR ME GOLD by HARBOR THE GOLD)
5  HARD DIAMOND Nov17 Oct15 Sep17     (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 1.80 ★    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ISABEL'S ON IT by DUBAWI)
6  LIGHTNING STRIKING Mar16 Mar01 Dec31     (zielke madis)NATERA KEIHTON 120 3.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SOUPER STRIKING by BRILLIANT SPEED)
 
CTM-6   05/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRANBERRY CHILL         (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAR TALK out of FLASHY LADY by VISION AND VERSE)
2  KULSUM Oct22 Sep30 Sep16 Sep01 Aug19 (brown r)NELSON DANE 124 3.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of PRETTY GOLDEN by FORMAL GOLD)
3  MY KIND OF NITE Sep04 Aug21 Jul25     (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 2.00 31% 2.30    
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of DREAM PROOF by IDIOT PROOF)
4  DISTORTED ROSE Oct07         (perry )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 12.00 14% 6.10    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of ZANITA ROSAE by SKIMMING)
5  KATNISS FIRE         (perry carl)TAVARES DANIEL 124 15.00    
  (by FIRESPIKE out of OTHLADY by OTHELLO)
6  BURNING UP Oct14 Sep23 Sep01 Aug19   (cone rodney)BRYAN D 124 4.50 28% 2.60    
  (by BIG LIGHTNING out of MISS FIRE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
7  SIZZLIN ROSE Sep23 Sep01 Aug19 Aug04 Jul21 (wendland wyatt)MARTIN ANDRE 124 6.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of ROSILA by ROSETTI)
8  DESTIN TO BE GREAT Sep16 Sep01       (kingston rob)NATERA KEIHTON 124 20.00    
  (by DESTIN out of SAMARA STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
CTM-7   05/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATRIOTIC FREEDOM Aug25 Aug05       (kingston c)BRYAN D 124 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MISS MARSHA LYNN by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  J J'S CAPER Sep30 Sep16       (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of THREE JACKS by KAHUNA JACK)
3  E PAY ALL THE WAY Oct07 Sep23 Sep01 Aug05   (l)GRIFFITH DELANE 119 25.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of E LOOE by LURE)
4  JAKOBS ROCKET BOY Sep16 Aug05 Jul21     (rycroft tim)CARTER KYLE 124 8.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of JAKOBS ROCKET GIRL by KANTHAROS)
5  THUNDER GOLD         (rycroft tim)NATERA KEIHTON 124 12.00 ★    
  (by SUNGOLD out of CARMEN'S KISS by MACHO UNO)
6  TENNESSEE MOSES         (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 15.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of BLUMIN CAT by CAT THIEF)
7  SAWCHUK Oct22 Sep30 Sep16 Sep01   (davies deanne)NELSON DANE 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
  (by EDISON out of THE CAT'S AFFAIR by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  THISCATSGOTSPEED Sep30 Sep23       (hedge rick)MARTIN ANDRE 124 3.00 15% 5.50    
  (by SPEEDMEISTER out of KITTY KRISSEY by KISSIN KRIS)
9  CAPE COMANDER         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of STREAKIN DISCREET by DISCREET CAT)
10  CAPE'S LEGACY Sep30 Sep16 Sep01 Aug04 Jul21 (frey carso)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 124 15.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
 
CTM-8   05/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOOL TIME Oct21 Oct07 Sep10 Aug11 Jul22 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
2  H K RAPPER Oct14 Oct01 Sep16 Aug12 Jul23 (coney jason)NATERA KEIHTON 123 12.00    
SCR  CREDIBILITY Sep30 Sep16 Aug25 Aug11 May06 (rycroft t)ZENTENO JR 123 5.00    
4  WAGON TRAIN Feb18 Jan20 May18 Apr29 Apr07 (z)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 20.00    
SCR  DON'T LET ME DOWN Mar14 Feb21 Jan24 Dec08 Nov24 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 8.00    
6  MOUNT ASGARD Oct21 Oct07 Oct02 Sep18 Aug22 (kingston c)BRYAN D 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SWIMMINGWITHSHARKS Feb17 Jan18 Sep14 Jul31 Jul15 (cone rodney)MARTIN ANDRE 123 15.00    
8  KEEN FLATTER Dec03 Aug06 Jun11 May21 Nov05 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 6.00    
9  MOB BOSS Mar09 Feb25 Feb03 Dec08 Nov23 (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.50 18% 4.40    
10  WEDGE POND May27 May06 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 (kettleson alivi)CARTER KYLE 123 10.00 13% 6.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.