Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - April 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/3)-(5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/3)-(5/7)-(8/9/5/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/7)-(8/9/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(8/9/5/6)-(7/3/6/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/9/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/5/6)-(8/9/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/5/6)-(8/9/5/6/1)-(8/9/5/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/5/6)-(7/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/9/5/6)-(7/3/6/2)-(8/6/1/7/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/2)-(8/6/1/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6/2)-(8/6/1/7/10)-(6/7/2/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/6/1/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/7/10)-(8/6/1/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/7/10)-(8/6/1/7/10)-(8/6/1/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/1/7/10)-(6/7/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/7/10)-(6/7/2/4)-(11/1/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/2/4)-(11/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2/4)-(11/1/5/2)-(7/2/5/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (11/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/1/5/2)-(11/1/5/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/1/5/2)-(11/1/5/4/2)-(11/1/5/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/1/5/2)-(7/2/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (11/1/5/2)-(7/2/5/6)-(1/10/9/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-8   WIN (7/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/6)-(1/10/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/10/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/9/3)-(1/10/9/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/10/9/3)-(1/10/9/3/6)-(1/10/9/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT-12:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIZZANTE Mar27 Mar06 Feb10 Jan12 Dec08 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 8.00 13% 6.40    
2  AYE CALYPSO Mar23 Feb18 Feb03 Jan05 Dec24 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 118 20.00    
3  GENERAL BATTLE AXE Mar08 Dec31 Dec08 Oct07 Sep09 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  CUBAN THUNDER (IRE) Jan13 Dec17 Nov03     (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 118 0.80 34% 2.00    
5  BENVOLIO Nov25 Oct24 Aug28     (parra he)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  RED WREN Mar09 Jan03 Nov29 Sep25 Sep05 (rice k)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 106 10.00    
7  GAV N BRODY Mar29 Mar10 Feb16 Jan20   (cudworth paul)COTTO L 118 15.00    
 
TAM-2   04/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCKY CLOVER         (cascallare)URDANETA J 120 8.00    
SCR  ABOVE THE SKY Mar27 Mar10       (nunez maurici)IORIO MELISSA 115 2.00    
3  CAJUN GAL Mar10 Feb28 Feb09 Jan05 Dec23 (paragallo je)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
4  RED HAIRED GAL Apr05 Feb28 Feb07     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50    
5  CAJUN EXPECTATION         (chavez jos)ALONSO LUIS 125 6.00 26% 2.90    
6  ALWAYS DRAMA Jun10         (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 125 3.00    
7  RIENA BUCCHERO         (gardea abrah)ARROYO S 125 10.00 22% 3.50    
 
TAM-3   04/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY BUT PRECIOUS Apr10 Feb03 Jan14 May06 Apr15 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00 ★    
2  NUCCI Apr06 Mar15 Mar03 Feb03 Jan12 (sepulveda ca)BATISTA A 119 20.00    
3  GO MIKA Apr12 Jan27 Dec29 Dec08 May03 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00    
4  BELLA ROMANCE Apr06 Mar23 Mar03 Feb18 Jan28 (mcgoey moni)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 20.00    
5  ARMONIA Apr14 Mar30 Mar20 Feb01 Dec23 (roque elis)OLIVERO A 119 5.00 7% 12.90    
6  COUNTESS OF CAIRO Mar22 Feb11 Sep02 Jul29 Jun18 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  WALK SOFTLY Feb28 Feb03 Sep02 Mar01 Feb02 (padilla tim)ALLEN D 119 12.00    
8  NOBLE TESS Apr12 Mar02 Jan19 Dec31 Dec15 (smith robert )MORALES PABLO 119 2.00 53% 0.90    
9  FROSTY SECRET Apr12 Mar02 Feb09 Aug24 Aug17 (manning denni)IORIO MELISSA 116 3.00 13% 6.80    
10  WAR MUSEUM Mar30 Feb14 Jan27 Jan19 Sep03 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
SCR  SYLLABUS Apr14 Jan27 Jan19 Dec08 Sep29 (dominguez luis)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 15.00    
SCR  PRINCESS OF MALIBU Mar20 Feb25 Jul23 Jul03 Jan09 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 6.00    
 
TAM-4   04/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEOPARDI Feb04 Jan19 Jan05 Dec15 Sep15 (guciardo kathy)FELICIANO R 123 15.00    
2  SMASH FACTOR Apr03 Mar10 Feb17 Jan24 Jan12 (smith )ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  COLLECT REDEMPTION Mar29 Mar06 Feb03 Jan06 Dec15 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 123 4.00 16% 5.30    
4  RUN LEA RUN Apr05 Feb16 Feb02 Jan14 Dec20 (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 123 30.00    
5  BOLD BLUE Apr06 Mar20 Mar06 Feb21 Jan21 (barron r)GALLARDO A 125 2.00    
6  AWESOME PRINCE Mar27 Mar16 Feb24 Mar22 Mar12 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00 11% 7.80    
7  MEAN TWEETS Apr07 Mar29 Mar06 Feb17 Feb03 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 123 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
TAM-5   04/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K'S PICK Mar06 Feb07 Dec24 Sep13 Aug26 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 11% 8.00    
2  JAY'S DELIGHT Mar16 Mar02 Feb21 Feb07 Jan21 (richards re)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 12.00    
3  DENYING Apr10 Mar30 Feb24 Feb16 Sep29 (dobber arno)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 8.00    
4  HANK OLLIE Mar27 Feb28 Feb16 Jan19 Dec24 (wright michael)CAMACHO SAMY 118 12.00    
5  RULE IT Mar27 Mar13 Mar06 Feb21 Feb09 (mendie)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 115 15.00    
6  DANIEL SUN Feb07 Aug10 Jan04 Dec16 Sep24 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 118 3.50 19% 4.40    
7  RECYCLE Mar16 Feb28 Dec24 Dec08 Sep21 (wilso)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  FACE VALUE Apr10 Mar20 Feb28 Feb16 Jan19 (orantes y)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 3.00 44% 1.30    
9  SPANISH NOBLE Mar20 Feb28 Feb02 Dec23 Dec06 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 118 12.00    
10  CRAFTY KING Mar20 Feb07 Jan19 Jan05 Sep02 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FAST N STEADY Jul21 Jul01 May20 Apr28 Mar22 (gonzalez javie)COTTO L 118 12.00    
SCR  FOOD BANK HELPER Mar20 Feb28 Sep04 Jul30 Jul08 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 113 10.00    
SCR  MISTER MOORE Mar23 Feb21 Dec31 Dec15 Nov11 (d'angelo jos)MENESES MARCOS 118 8.00    
SCR  TRIPLE START Sep09 Aug05 Jul08 Jun17 May28 (wilson tony)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 5.00    
 
TAM-6   04/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLICITO Apr12 Mar03 Feb17     (cascallar)HERRERA R 120 10.00    
2  EL DE JOSUE Mar22 Nov03       (minguet ramon)CASTILLO A 120 10.00 14% 6.10    
3  OCEAN SOUL         (wasiluk peter)IORIO MELISSA 115 20.00    
4  BABA'S BABY BOY         (ellebracht gary)FERRER C 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DASH TO FINISH Mar24 Feb16 Jan31 Jan19 Dec29 (dobber arnoud)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 30.00    
6  AWESOME FANTASY Apr05 Feb28       (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 120 0.80 47% 1.10    
7  SKULL RUNNER         (barboza v)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 3.00 16% 5.10    
8  HE'S A WILD CHILD Oct27 Oct11 Sep14     (husted rachel)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00    
 
TAM-7   04/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GREAT CESAR Jan24 Jan01 Dec15 Nov17 Sep24 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 6.00 24% 3.20    
2  MISSION KEY Apr10 Mar27 Sep02 Aug18 Jul27 (aguayo ramon)SPIETH S 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  VINTNER Mar22 Feb09 Dec01 Sep07 Aug25 (yanez moise)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 15.00    
4  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Apr03 Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 Dec15 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 ★    
5  VELOCE Mar16 Feb10 Jan27 Dec22 Nov22 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
6  DAZZLING TRUTHS Apr13 Mar24 Mar17 Feb23 Feb04 (mcgoey monica)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 30.00    
SCR  MR MAC QUHAE Jan14 Nov25 Jun09 May14 Oct09 (richards rena)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 6.00    
8  COLPO D'ORO Mar24 Mar06 Feb14 Jan05 Dec13 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 115 8.00    
SCR  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Mar03 Jan27 Jan10 Aug02 Jun25 (sacco d)FERRER C 118 5.00    
10  MR. KRINGLE Mar24 Feb10 Jan27 Jan12 Aug03 (orantes y)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 6.00    
11  WINNING FACTOR Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May27 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
TAM-8   04/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVPERFORMANCE Mar27 Mar10 Feb09 Jan31 Jan12 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 115 12.00    
2  STAR OF SARAH Apr07 Mar16 Feb03 Jan14 Dec09 (lilly p)CAMACHO SAMY 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  APPLE SAUCY Mar23 Apr29 Mar16 Feb18 Jan26 (yanez rey)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 20.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFULLYPERFECT Apr07 Mar22 Feb18 Jan14 Dec22 (mcgoey monic)GONZALEZ CESAR 108 10.00    
5  UNIFIEDS PRINCESS Apr07 Mar16 Feb18 Feb07 Jan14 (gonzalez jav)BATISTA A 125 8.00 7% 13.30    
6  MONEYSLOT Mar16 Feb28 Feb07 Jan13 Dec08 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  LUCKY IN LOVE Mar29 Mar15 Feb25 Feb09 Jan26 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 125 2.00 43% 1.30    
8  LA DE PELUCHE Apr07 Mar23 Jul07 May28 Sep10 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 125 15.00    
9  LIVELY REMARK Mar29 Mar15 Feb09 Jan14 Jan05 (wasilu)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 118 4.50    
 
TAM-9   04/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FATIMA'S BLESSING Mar24 Feb16 Jan27 Dec09 Nov12 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  SMILE BRYAN Apr07 Mar16 Mar03 Feb04 Jan19 (ryan derek )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 6.00    
3  ON THE ENGINE Mar16 Feb25 Jan13 Nov19 Oct27 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  ERIC THE SALESMAN Mar29 Mar13 Feb28 Feb11 Jan26 (roque elis)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
5  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Apr07 Mar24 Dec01 Sep01 Jun09 (doming)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 20.00    
6  TOMMY BEE Apr07 Mar24 Mar08 Jan04 Oct22 (kintz matthew)CENTENO E 118 4.50 ★    
7  KING NATE Mar29 Mar13 Aug26 Aug09 Jul22 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 118 20.00    
8  B G LEE Apr05 Mar01 Jan26 Jan10 Dec27 (philipp karyn)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 20.00    
9  CATATUMBO Apr10 Mar30 Mar08 Jan27 Jan13 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 12% 7.60    
10  INITFORTHELOVE Apr10 Mar24 Feb24 Feb10 Dec23 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 113 3.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  TEMPLET Oct07 Sep10 Aug23 Jul13 Jul04 (connelly)GALLARDO A 118 5.00    
SCR  ARUBA (IRE) Jan28 Dec23 Oct06 Jul28 Jul08 (abreu jo)GALLARDO A 118 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.