Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - March 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(6/2/7)-(4/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(4/2/3)-(2/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(2/4/1)-(2/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(2/7/5)-(4/5/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(4/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(4/5/7)-(6/1/8/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(6/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(6/1/8/2)-(9/1/3/13/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (6/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/2)-(6/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/2)-(6/1/8/2)-(6/1/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/8/2)-(9/1/3/13/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8/2)-(9/1/3/13/6)-(6/5/7/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (9/1/3/13/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/3/13/6)-(9/1/3/13/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/3/13/6)-(9/1/3/13/6)-(9/1/3/13/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/3/13/6)-(6/5/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (6/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/1)-(6/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/1)-(6/5/7/1)-(6/5/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/17/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTOVER Feb16 Feb02 Jan14 Oct05 Sep10 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 114 2.00 18% 4.60    
2  WAR NOVEL Feb23 Feb04 Jan20 Dec30 Dec15 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 6.00 15% 5.70    
3  GOLDEN TONE Mar03 Feb23 Feb04 Jan20 Jan07 (rivera xa)HERNANDEZ H 121 8.00    
4  DAZZLING TRUTHS Feb23 Feb04 Jan26 Jan10 Dec30 (russo vic)RODRIGUEZ A 121 10.00    
5  THE BEARRISH ONE Feb04 Jan19 Jan05 Dec20 Nov29 (simone michael )CENTENO E 121 1.40 26% 2.80    
6  BEAST OR FAMINE Feb25 Feb17 Dec20 Dec06 Nov15 (munoz car)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 6.00    
 
TAM-2   03/17/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEMINOLE AUSTIN Mar01 Feb09 Oct31 Sep11 Jul20 (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 126 6.00    
2  DUKE OF DOOLY Mar01 Feb17 Feb02 Jan17 Dec29 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 126 1.60 22% 3.60    
3  ART HANDLER Feb23 Jan12       (fisher david)CAMACHO SAMY 126 8.00    
SCR  CHARLICITO Mar03 Feb17       (cascallares ne)MARIN SAMUEL 120 5.00    
5  NOMAR'S HOPE Feb17 Jan24 Jan10 Dec18 Nov29 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 126 20.00    
6  FLAVIAN Feb17 Feb02 Jan13 Dec30 Apr02 (smith rob)MALDONADO GABRIEL 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
7  PERFECT MOON Mar08 Feb16 Feb02 Dec31 Dec20 (cascallares )BATISTA A 126 6.00 11% 8.30    
 
TAM-3   03/17/2024 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING FALIERO Feb02 Dec30 Nov11 Oct14   (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 118 6.00    
2  SHEER DELIGHT Feb21 Jan19 Dec22 Oct29   (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
3  REAL SENSATION Jan28 Jan10 Dec27 Dec08 Oct14 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  INCINERATOR Feb17         (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  CODE ENFORCER Mar06 Feb02 Jan14 Dec29 Dec22 (sacco gregory)SOSA LAUREANO 118 15.00    
6  EVERDOIT Mar09 Feb10 Jan01 Dec20 Dec02 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 1.60    
 
TAM-4   03/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMELESS ROSE Jan31 Oct18 Aug23 Jul19 Jun21 (granitz anth)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  EXCELERINA (IRE) Feb25 Jan25 Dec21 Nov03 Apr09 (morey william)MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
3  GUN BOAT Nov04 Sep06 Jul19 Jun03 Apr15 (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 1.80    
4  KATIES A LADY Feb25 Jan31 May13 Mar25 Feb25 (o'connell kat)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 5.00 26% 2.80    
5  BOTH SIDES Feb03 Jan14 Dec15 Nov25 Oct28 (vinson g)FERRER C 119 4.00    
6  BAHAMIAN MOON Feb09 Jan19 Dec06 Nov12 Oct06 (smith g)CEDENO CAROL 119 6.00    
 
TAM-5   03/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITH FEELING (GB) Dec30 Dec15 Dec02 Oct25 Oct10 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 12.00    
2  IT'S GOODTOBE JOSE Feb02 Jan11 Dec08     (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  SHEZA NASTY GIRL Feb04 Jan05 Dec08 Oct18 Sep21 (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00    
4  TRENDY (ARG) Feb23 Feb04 Dec30 Dec02 Nov22 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 4.50    
5  MY LORDS LADYNESS Feb17 Jan03       (ness jam)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 12% 7.50    
SCR  ASHIMA Mar03 Feb02 Dec24 Dec08 Oct20 (d'angelo jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00    
7  SEAFARER Feb23 Jan14 Dec15     (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
TAM-6   03/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAN RUNNER Nov19 Sep24 Aug28 Jul05 Mar04 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 5.00    
2  BEAR CREEK Mar08 Feb14 Jan10 Dec27 Dec13 (bowerso)ALMEDINA MARANGELYS 108 10.00    
SCR  KUHL STAR Mar09 Feb24 Feb11 Dec24 Dec08 (agostini arthur)CENTENO E 118 15.00    
4  BORRACHO Jan31 Dec22 Sep10 Aug20 Jul19 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 2.00 44% 1.30    
5  BUFF HELLO Jan07 Dec27 Nov18 Oct24 Sep20 (delgado jose )IORIO MELISSA 111 2.50 30% 2.40    
6  GRAINGER COUNTY Feb04 Dec13 Oct10 Sep20 Aug28 (allen lisa)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 10.00    
7  TRULY MISCHIEF Feb18 Feb04 Jan14 Dec13 Nov24 (schistl rafa)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AUGER Feb14 Jan15 Oct23 Oct06 Sep18 (rivera xavier)ALVARADO JR 118 15.00    
9  TRAPPEZOID Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 May20 Apr05 (guciardo kathy)FELICIANO R 118 20.00    
 
TAM-7   03/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASENTHEONE Mar01 Feb16 Jan31 Dec29 Nov22 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 2.50 17% 5.00    
2  DRINKIN N DREAMING Feb17 Dec29 Oct11 Sep08 Aug16 (smith g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 5% 17.30    
3  FORTINBRAS Mar01 Jan24       (rodriguez dari)CASTANON L 120 15.00    
4  VENEZUELAN FEELING Feb28 Feb04 Aug06     (yanez rey)HERNANDEZ H 120 15.00    
5  SAHISH Feb28 Jan07 Sep06 Aug25   (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 115 30.00    
6  MY GREAT ILLUSION Mar01 Feb04 Jan07 Dec10 Oct07 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  KILLARGUE BLESSED Sep01         (kintz mat)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 20.00    
8  INSPIRING HONOR Mar01 Jan28 Jan10 Nov24 Oct21 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 4.00 9% 9.80    
9  MAGNUS EFFECT Mar01 Jan28       (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 12.00    
SCR  D BUCKAROO Feb16 Jan28 Jan10 Dec13 Nov24 (jones douglas)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00    
SCR  BARBARAZO         (cascallar)HERRERA R 120 15.00    
 
TAM-8   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S GONE ROGUE         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 15.00 6% 15.90    
2  GRAND LADY INDY Mar02 Feb18 Jan24 Jan07 Sep16 (cordero anto)ARROYO S 120 12.00    
3  CATALINA CHARLI         (morey willia)BATISTA A 120 5.00 6% 15.90    
4  ONE SPECIAL ACT Feb25 Jan13       (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 113 4.00    
SCR  LUNA SOL Oct10 Sep27       (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 30.00    
6  FUSSY GIRL         (hunt donald)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00 6% 16.70    
7  STYLISH ANNA Mar02 Jan24 Jan07 Aug19   (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 4.50    
8  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Feb25 Feb17 Jan28 Jan17 Dec23 (munoz carlos)CASTANON L 120 12.00    
9  ROADRUNNER THE CAT Feb18 Feb02       (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
10  R FIREBIRD Mar02 Jan07 Nov18     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
11  HARD SPICE Feb24 Feb07 Jan10 Dec22 Dec08 (santil)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 20.00    
12  MISS CLAUDETTE Feb24 Feb07 Dec16 Nov24 Nov01 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 12.00    
13  SUMMER MAGIC         (laurato mi)ALONSO LUIS 120 20.00 6% 15.90    
 
TAM-9   03/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($29.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESERT RULER Feb21 Jan27 Jan10 Dec16 Dec02 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  Q F SEVENTY FIVE Feb28 Dec09 Oct19 Aug23 Jul01 (potts g)CENTENO E 122 5.00    
SCR  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Mar03 Jan27 Jan10 Aug02 Jun25 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 30.00    
4  EPIC LUCK Mar03 Feb11 Jan10 Dec15 Oct16 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 20.00    
5  BE HERE Sep10 Aug18 Jul28 Jun17 May27 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50 26% 2.80    
6  IRWANI (ARG) Feb24 Feb16 Jan20 Dec30 Dec08 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
7  JOURNEYMAN Feb25 Jan24 Dec07 Nov18 Nov05 (wright mich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 3.00 6% 16.40    
8  IT CAN BE DONE Feb25 Jan19 Sep30 Aug23 Jul21 (sacco d)FERRER C 122 4.00    
SCR  RONSTADT Feb25 Jan24 Sep21 Aug19 Jul22 (dini mike)CASTANON L 118 8.00    
10  GUARANTEED SPECK Mar03 Feb03 Jan21 Aug02 Apr22 (russo anthony )CAMACHO SAMY 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.