Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - February 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(5/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(5/7/2/4)-(6/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/4)-(6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/4)-(6/1/4)-(5/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(5/1/6)-(6/3/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(6/3/7)-(3/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7/9/5)-(6/3/7/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(3/1/6)-(1/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(1/6/3)-(3/9/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(3/9/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/9/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/7/8)-(3/9/7/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/7/8)-(3/9/7/5/8)-(3/9/7/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/24/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHINEY GHOST Feb17 Jan26 Nov11 Oct20   (aylor william )REAP E 124 10.00    
GREATEST NOTION Jan24 Dec16 Oct12 Sep22 Sep01 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 1.40 45% 1.20    
SPYDYLEGS Jan26 Jan03 Nov26 Oct15   (clement r)BOCACHICA J 119 2.00 17% 4.70    
GETTIN SPICY Feb17 Feb02 Dec06 Nov30 Nov16 (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 124 5.00    
DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Jan11 Nov10 Oct20 Oct13 Sep29 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
DIRECT THE SHOW Jan24 Jan13       (joy ke)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 4.50 17% 5.00    
 
CT-2   02/24/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURVE APPEAL Oct06 Aug05 Jul15 May28 Apr22 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00    
PLAYING FOR TWO Feb14 Feb02 Jan12 Dec07 Aug26 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 117 2.50 12% 7.40    
GREY FLAMINGO Feb14 Jan24 Nov24 Oct05 Mar17 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
SCR  OFFICER CALLY Nov30 Nov01 Dec07 Jul02 Jun16 (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
VAN HOOK Jan24 Mar23 Jan26 Jan06 Nov19 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
SPIRIT ON THE WIND Jan13 Dec06 Oct12     (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 5.00    
DEREKA'S BLUFF Feb02 Dec07 Nov15 Oct13 Sep16 (venham d)BATISTA C 122 4.50 13% 6.60    
 
CT-3   02/24/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATALINA KID Dec22 Dec01 Nov24 Nov09 Oct27 (brown a)RODRIGUEZ V 118 8.00 8% 11.30    
SMOKIN SMITTY Feb17 Feb03 Jan13 Dec13 Dec01 (campbe)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 3.00    
EAST TO BEAST Feb17 Jan17 Dec08 Aug18 Nov05 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.00    
SOUTHERN SAINT Jan27 Jan10 Dec06 Nov15 Nov02 (fulmer allison)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHASIN CHAPIN Feb03 Oct27 Sep08 Feb16 Dec17 (soldo e)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 30.00    
MONEY MAC Feb03 Jan27 Jan13 Dec13 Sep22 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  WHISKEY AND WINE Feb01 Jan11 Oct12 Aug03 Jul14 (viands grego)BATISTA A 124 2.50    
 
CT-4   02/24/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEWONTTALKTOME Feb02 Jan12 Jul20 Jul06   (sigler rona)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
ESSENTIAL MAGIC Feb03 Jan13 Nov01 Oct19 Jun24 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 115 4.50    
CREME DE LA QUEEN Feb07 Jan27 Jan13 Dec14 Dec07 (brown kelton)CHILO MAXIMO 120 4.00    
NEW AGE BAD GIRL Feb03 Jan13 Nov29 Nov01 Apr29 (hamlin kathleen)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
MAMA MARGE Nov22 Oct14 Sep22 Jul20   (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 1.60 53% 0.90    
MISS ARGENTINA Jan31 Jan04 Dec09 Nov17 Nov04 (gomez r)LARROSA G 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SOMESUGARNSPICE Feb03 Jan12 Dec12 Dec06 Nov08 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 118 8.00    
 
CT-5   02/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NANA'S BOOPA Nov28 Oct11 Sep04 Jul28 Jun26 (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00    
SCR  WATERLOO ROSE Jan24 Jan13 Dec07 Oct28 Oct06 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00    
WE'LL SEE Jun09 Apr10 Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 (beattie m)ACOSTA D 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
SISTER SPIRIT Feb03 Jan13 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
THE MONEY MACHINE Feb15 Jan27 Jan03 Nov29 Nov15 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 124 3.00    
TOUGH ENOUGH Feb03 Jan18 Jan03 Nov16 Oct18 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
MARQUET CLASSIC Feb03 Nov11 Oct21 Sep14 Aug10 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
HONEYCAMP Feb03 Jan13 Dec13 Nov11 Oct21 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
MISS ANTIETAM Feb03 Jan13 Nov18 Oct28 Oct01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00    
10  LONDON GOLD Feb03 Jan13 Nov17 Jul15 Jun04 (hillegass alexa)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
 
CT-6   02/24/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA OF TRANQUILITY         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by ALDRIN out of FRENCH OAK by ARCH)
SCR  SEATTLE PRINCE Feb14 Jan24 Dec15 Nov25   (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
  (by LORD OF GREATNESS out of MUGU by BELLAMY ROAD)
HURRICANE ALERT         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.00 39% 1.50    
  (by BULLSBAY out of HILARIOUS GIFT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
RIDE THE BRAND Feb14 Jan13 Dec16 Nov03   (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of SWEETEST MEMORY by OUTFLANKER)
CEDAR RUNS FIBER         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of RUN LOUIS RUN by LOUIS QUATORZE)
INDICATOR         (greaves vernon)REAP E 122 15.00 8% 12.30    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of DALYA by WERBLIN)
CAFFEINENNICOTINE         (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 4.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of ALL THAT BEAUTY by FIBER SONDE)
 
CT-7   02/24/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEACHINTHERELEASE Feb03 Dec08 Nov22 Oct28 Oct14 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 1.80 61% 0.70    
GOLD FIBER Dec08 Nov22 Oct21 Oct07 Aug17 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00    
HOPPING HENRY Feb03 Jan04 Nov30 Jul08 May05 (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
EL LUCERITO Feb03 Jan12 Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 (campbe)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 2.50    
FROGGY THE GREMLIN Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 Jul29 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00    
MALIBU COWBOY Feb09 Dec08 Oct22 Oct07 Sep12 (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 10% 8.80    
 
CT-8   02/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPRESS LADY Jan26 Jan05 Oct27 Sep06 Jul12 (reynol)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 6.00    
SHERIFF'S KID Feb15 Jan26 Jan05 Dec07 Nov17 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
RUN RAEGAN RUN Jan13 Dec01 Nov09 Oct15 Sep09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
DORITA'S HEART Feb03 Jan05 Dec09 Nov10 Oct25 (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
MISS LAUREN Feb07 Jan03 Dec08 Nov18 Oct12 (murdoc)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50    
SCR  SUPER WILDCAT Jan13 Dec02 Oct25 Oct05 Sep07 (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
ALWAYS SOMETHING Feb14 Feb01 Jan12 Dec02 Nov10 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00 6% 16.70    
SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Feb14 Dec09 Nov17 Oct27 Sep14 (jones royland)CHILO JACINTO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
BLUE TWIRLIN Feb03 Jan13 Nov29 Nov15 Sep29 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 5.00 13% 7.00    
10  TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Feb03 Jan13 Dec09 Nov17 Oct27 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
SCR  REDWHITEANDTACOS Feb11 Jan05 Dec10 Nov25 Nov05 (horn e)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.