Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Sunday - January 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(8/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(8/2/3)-(3/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-2   WIN (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/3)-(8/2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/2/3)-(8/2/3/5)-(8/2/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/2/3)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3)-(3/2/4)-(6/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(6/5/4)-(8/3/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(8/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(8/3/4/2)-(6/8/1/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-5   WIN (8/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/2)-(6/8/1/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4/2)-(6/8/1/3/5)-(4/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (6/8/1/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/3/5)-(6/8/1/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/3/5)-(6/8/1/3/5)-(6/8/1/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/1/3/5)-(4/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1/3/5)-(4/1/3)-(5/2/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-7   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(5/2/1)-(3/7/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-8   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LRL-9   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   01/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($33K) 3 F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE SUNSHINE Dec17 Nov25 Oct28 Oct05 Aug25 (howard c)CRUZ ANGEL 121 3.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  WAIT FOR TOMORROW Nov25 Oct22 Oct03 Aug24 Jul21 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 121 10.00    
3  BOOTSY'S MERLOT Dec09 Nov25 Oct27 Oct07 Sep16 (howard david )ROJAS MARTINA 116 4.00 29% 2.50    
4  LISA'S PALACE Dec29 Oct20 Sep29 Aug25 Jul19 (gonzalez claudi)MENA E 124 6.00    
5  NEOLITHICA Dec09 Oct29 Oct13 Sep24 Aug19 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 121 3.50    
6  MOMMA'S LINO Dec17 Oct28 Sep22 Sep01   (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.50 9% 10.30    
7  FACE IT ALONE Nov22 Nov02 Sep29 Sep01 Aug23 (rathman elisha)PEREZ XAVIER 121 15.00    
 
LRL-2   01/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND MANNER Jan05 Dec15 Dec08 Nov16 Nov01 (serey mario )LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 6.00    
2  WILD BEHAVIOR Jan05 Dec17 Dec01 Nov16 Oct20 (nazario pedro)KARAMANOS A 123 4.50 7% 13.20    
3  RAHMER Apr16 Feb20 Feb12 Jan21 Jan01 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  CROWNEDCOUNTCRISTO Dec29 Dec17 Dec08 Nov12 Oct22 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 119 8.00    
5  REMEMBERING WILBUR Dec29 Dec10 Dec01 Nov16 Nov03 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 ★    
SCR  BIG HAMBONE Nov24 Nov03 Sep30 Aug31 Jun18 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 30.00    
7  ADDY'S LADDY T N T Aug10 Jun15 Jun02 May13 Apr16 (walters henr)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 20.00    
8  COMMANDING GENERAL Dec16 Oct27 Oct14 Sep24 Sep16 (tessore bruno)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.00 63% 0.60    
 
LRL-3   01/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLIE VICTORINA Dec22 Dec01 Nov09 Oct19 Oct01 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 20.00    
2  HAZELMOOR BEACH Nov17 Oct29 Oct07 Sep17 Jul16 (schoent)BRICENO GREGOR 126 2.50 23% 3.30    
3  SANSA ARIEL Dec22 Dec01 Nov02 Oct19 Oct04 (gorham michael )MENA E 126 4.00 40% 1.50    
4  FANCEE GRACE C May07 Apr06 Feb17 Dec16 Nov25 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 3.50 14% 6.00    
5  GWYNEDD Nov26 Oct22 Sep08 Jul21 Jun09 (perkins ben)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00 ★    
6  SULLIVAN STREET Dec22 Nov15 Oct22 Oct05 Aug18 (eppler e)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
7  EARLEY ROSE Nov24 Nov04 Oct19 Sep07 Aug18 (frock charles)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 12.00    
 
LRL-4   01/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($49K) 3 ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANCY MADE MY DAY Dec22 Oct21 Sep29 Aug31 Aug11 (cooney susan)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00    
2  BURNINGUPTHEDOUGH Dec30 Dec03 Nov03 Oct15 Sep02 (mcmahon hug)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 8.00    
SCR  PRADO ROAD Dec17 Oct14 Sep30     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 1.20    
4  FULL PROOF Oct29 Oct14 Sep29 Aug31   (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 117 30.00 13% 6.80    
5  BLAME THE TUX Nov16 Oct14 Aug25     (morgan carla)KARAMANOS A 121 12.00 18% 4.50    
6  FORCE OF JUSTICE Dec22 Dec08 Oct08 Sep04 Aug21 (salzman)BRICENO GREGOR 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
7  ONE WAY TRAFFIC Dec22 Nov24 Nov03     (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 5.00    
 
LRL-5   01/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($49K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOODAFTERNOONOSCAR Dec29 Nov09 Oct20 Sep08 Aug27 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00    
2  JOHN HALL Dec22 Nov25 Nov16 Oct27 Oct01 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 123 15.00 6% 14.40    
3  FULL IRISH Dec17 Nov26 Feb19     (gaudet lace)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 21% 3.90    
4  AMITY ROAD Dec22 Oct05 Sep09 Aug13 Jul22 (martin ramon )KARAMANOS A 123 15.00 13% 6.70    
5  FIND FAITH Nov16 Oct14 Sep15 Aug04 Feb05 (graham l)BOYCE FOREST 123 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT RENEGADE Dec31 Nov26 Nov09 Oct05 Aug24 (gaudet lacey)CHAVEZ ANDRES 116 6.00    
7  TAKE CHARGE TOO Dec17 Nov16 Sep28 Sep08 Aug13 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 6.00    
8  ST. JUDE Mar26         (perkins j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 1.60 39% 1.50    
9  PRESSING CONCERN Dec15 Nov19 Nov04 Oct20 Sep09 (mohan r)ALVELO C 123 30.00    
 
LRL-6   01/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACE IN EXCESS         (bailes w )CARRASCO R 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHARED AUTHORITY Dec29         (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 124 8.00    
3  CELTIC BOND         (albert )BRICENO GREGOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BLUE TRILLION Dec29 Dec08 Nov12 Nov02   (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 124 5.00    
5  HEAVENLY CIELLA         (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  DUELA DENT Dec13 Nov16 Oct26     (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
7  CONFLUENCE LASSIE Oct21 Sep22 Aug26     (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 120 30.00    
8  T C NEIGH Sep10         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
9  GHOSTLY ANNA Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 Oct22   (atkins willia)ROJAS MARTINA 119 20.00    
10  LA MACCHINA ROSSA Dec29         (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 6.00    
 
LRL-7   01/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($49K) 3 F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHUBLIN Dec17 Nov22 Oct28 Oct07 Sep03 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
2  STILL GAME Dec23 Dec02 Nov17 Oct13 Sep27 (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 121 6.00    
3  DWELLING LEGACY Dec16 Oct26       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
4  MISS HARRIETT Nov11 Oct14       (mcfarlane b)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 1.20 37% 1.70    
5  YOU CAN'T WIN Oct18 Sep28       (haynes m)PELTROCHE F 121 5.00    
6  BUNNY HOP Nov23 Nov02 Oct13     (feliciano ben)ALVELO C 124 15.00    
 
LRL-8   01/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLY STATED Dec17 Nov20 Sep11 Aug18 Aug08 (trombetta mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 12.00 19% 4.20    
2  MY FLICKER Dec23 Nov26 Aug18 Jul30 May28 (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 5.00 25% 3.10    
3  VIOLENT VIXEN Dec16 Nov04 Oct13 Sep17 Aug27 (baker charlton)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00 ★    
4  LADY ZETA Oct24 Sep08 Aug19 Jul02 Jun19 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00    
5  SUPER RENEE Dec16 Nov09 Oct06 Sep17 Aug17 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  BOURBON WILDCAT Dec16 Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 Sep16 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 123 30.00    
7  CONTINENTALCONGRES Dec17 Nov24 Oct15 Sep29 Sep02 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 126 2.00    
 
LRL-9   01/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHOTO HOP Dec30 Dec02       (aguirre antho)ROJAS MARTINA 116 3.50 10% 9.00    
2  EYES ELEVEN Dec30 Oct28 Oct15 Sep29   (mancill)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 8.00    
3  CHICA CHUCK Dec19 Nov28 Nov11 Oct28 Sep14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 1.40 35% 1.90    
SCR  KINGDOM FORCE Jan07 Dec15 Nov28 Oct27 Oct12 (ginter raymon)CHAVEZ ANDRES 114 8.00    
5  JUMPINGJAGGERFLASH Dec15 Dec03 Jun11 May07   (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 20.00    
6  DASHING D'ARTAGNAN Dec23 Nov16 Oct28 Oct15 Sep29 (corrales j)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 117 30.00    
7  SURFBOARD Dec30 Nov11 Sep22 Aug05 Jul14 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.00 31% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.