Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (3/6)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(2/3/5)-(1/5/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-2   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(1/5/2)-(2/3/6/1) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(2/3/6/1)-(3/6/8/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-4   WIN (2/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (2/3/6/1)-(3/6/8/7)-(5/6/7/2) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-5   WIN (3/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/8/7)-(3/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/8/7)-(3/6/8/7)-(3/6/8/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (3/6/8/7)-(5/6/7/2)-(6/1/5/4) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-6   WIN (5/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/6/7/2)-(6/1/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (6/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/4)-(6/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/4)-(6/1/5/4)-(6/1/5/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOMAHAWK EXPLORER Aug30 Aug21 Aug01 Jul19   (fraser lorn)BADALOO DOUGLAS 117 30.00    
2  HIGHRISEINTHEPEG Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul10 Jun21 (husbands tiff)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 2.00    
3  MOURVEDRE Aug30 Aug14 Jul24 Jun25 Jun02 (hanson debor)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
4  JUSTA BUSTER Aug21 Jul26 Jun27 Jun13 May29 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 122 3.00    
SCR  WITT'S ROJO Aug08 Jul31 Jul04 Jun28 Jun04 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 119 12.00    
6  BIG TICKET Aug21 Aug01 Jul26 Jul02 May29 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
ASD-2   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANDCARVED Aug30 Jul31 Jun28 Jun06 May23 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 124 3.00    
2  MR. DAZZLE Aug21 Aug07 Jun28 Jun14 May14 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
3  SOMETHING SUPER Aug21 Aug07 Jul19 Jul05 Jun22 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
4  CROWNED ROYAL Aug21 Aug01 Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 124 12.00    
5  MISTER MCLEAN Aug21 Jul03 May23 May06 Apr04 (sanderson)CHADEE JR 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
6  FRANKS RELOAD Aug21 Jul26 Jul10 Jun27 May30 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 25.00    
7  UNBROKEN STAR Jul17 Jun19 Jun07 Apr18 Mar26 (brown jared)BALROOP SVEN 124 6.00    
 
ASD-3   09/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPLOSIVE Aug22 Aug07 Jul19 Jun26 Jun06 (keplin st)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
2  DELVECCHIO Aug21 Jul31 Jul03 Jun14 May29 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 124 2.50 8% 11.00    
3  GRAY ADMIRAL Aug30 Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 Nov05 (wise a)BALROOP SVEN 124 6.00    
4  COURAGEOUS Aug30 Aug22 Aug07 Jul19 Apr29 (stanford mar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 15.00    
5  GALLANT OAK Aug22 Aug07 Jul24 Jul11 Jul03 (danelson gary)AEBLY FRASER 119 3.00 21% 3.70    
6  VANGILDER Aug22 Aug07 Jul24 Jun15 Apr29 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 10.00    
 
ASD-4   09/11/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROVOCATIVE PRINCE Aug21 Jul11 Jul03 Oct28 Oct14 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  TARA TATTOO Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jul10 Jun27 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  WHITEROSE SPIRIT Aug21 Aug08 Jul31 Jul18 Jul11 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 121 3.50 15% 5.50    
4  FAVORITE Aug22 Aug08 Jul18 Jul09 Jun14 (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 116 1.80    
5  GOLD SPECIAL Aug28 Aug14 Aug07 Jul26 Jul12 (maxwell cur)BADALOO DOUGLAS 117 25.00    
6  ETHAN'S ANIMAL Aug07 Jul24 Jun26 Jun06 May23 (desjarlai)CHADEE JR 124 15.00 13% 6.70    
7  RUNAWAY HURRICANE Aug30 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jul11 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 124 10.00    
8  BROWNING ISLAND Aug29 Aug22 Jul26 Jul10 Jul03 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 8.00    
 
ASD-5   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C C'S KITTEN Aug22 Jul26 Jul05 May22 Apr09 (gardipy j)TARASENCO P 122 10.00    
2  FELLER Aug21 Aug02 Jul26 Jul05 Jun27 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 124 20.00    
3  KITON Aug21 Jul26 Jul10 Jun21 Jun07 (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
4  TERAWATT Aug22 Jul24 Jul05 Jun19 Jun07 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 124 12.00    
5  PHANTOM DROP Jun24 Jun03 Apr30 Apr15 Mar26 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 117 1.60    
6  SMART CALL Aug23 Aug01 Jul15 Jul03 Jun11 (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
7  HEAVENLY TRIP Jul03 May23 Mar16 Dec17 Oct11 (gardipy jr)BALROOP SVEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MIA'S MAJESTY Aug21 Aug01 Jul10 Jun26 May29 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 5.00 10% 8.70    
 
ASD-6   09/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEANO Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 Jun21 (tourangeau wil)BALROOP SVEN 122 4.50    
2  SIDE STREET DAVE Aug07 Jul25 Jul04 Mar27 Mar06 (sanderson)CHADEE JR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  LUCKY CHUCKEE Aug21 Aug01 Jul24 Jul12 Jun27 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 124 12.00    
4  BEHAVIN MYSELF Aug30 Aug08 Jul15 Jul09 Jun14 (cizik la)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
5  WARRIOR'S MAP Aug30 Jul24 Jul03 Jun26 Jun07 (brown jared)AEBLY FRASER 119 1.60 27% 2.70    
6  IN THE DEEP Aug21 Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 Jun06 (wise a)CHOW CHAVION 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
7  LAST RENEGADE Aug23 Aug07 Jul11 Jul03 Jun19 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 8.00 18% 4.60    
8  TOTALIZER Aug21 Jul31 Jun09 May27 May13 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 5.00    
 
ASD-7   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT UP NOW J T Aug22 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
2  MERMAID KISSES Aug22 Jul30 Jul23 Jul15 Sep28 (tourangeau m)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 25.00    
3  RUBYINTHESTARS Aug30 Jul12 Jun28 Jun19 Jun05 (jordan jenn)BADALOO DOUGLAS 118 40.00    
4  LIVING SKY Aug30 Aug22 Aug09 Jul31 Jul24 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 4.50 7% 13.60    
5  ENJAY'S BRASS Aug22 Jul25 Jul11 Jun20 Sep28 (senebald donal)BELLE SHAVON 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
6  LIPSTICK LADY Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.60 32% 2.10    
7  INSPIRATUS Aug29 Jul18 Sep19 Aug31 Aug24 (desjarlai)CHADEE JR 123 25.00    
8  SOME WOULD SAY Aug22 Jul30 Jul15 Jul05 Jun18 (cavanaugh perry)ALI RONALD 123 20.00    
9  SECRET AVENGER Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 (gardipy j)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.