Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (3/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/1)-(1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/1)-(1/3/4)-(2/7/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-2   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(2/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(2/7/6/3)-(10/2/6/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-3   WIN (2/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/3)-(10/2/6/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/3)-(10/2/6/7/5)-(5/1/2/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-4   WIN (10/2/6/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/6/7/5)-(10/2/6/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/6/7/5)-(10/2/6/7/5)-(10/2/6/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/2/6/7/5)-(5/1/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/2/6/7/5)-(5/1/2/6)-(9/10/2/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-5   WIN (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/6)-(9/10/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/6)-(9/10/2/4)-(6/2/3/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-6   WIN (9/10/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/2/4)-(9/10/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/2/4)-(9/10/2/4)-(9/10/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/10/2/4)-(6/2/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/10/2/4)-(6/2/3/4)-(5/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-7   WIN (6/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/3/4)-(5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
IND-8   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   08/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINCO DE OROS Aug02         (duran antonio)LEAHEY HANNAH 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of MIDNIGHT ROMANCE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
CAPTAIN'S BEST         (douglass )BERMUDEZ E 117 4.00    
  (by SHAGAF out of BEST MEMORIES by INDY KING)
SHAGBARK Jul03 Jun20       (garcia )DE CRUZ 117 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by SHAGAF out of PROUD DREAMER by PROUD CITIZEN)
LOOMING Aug02 Jul03       (fosdick stev)MORALES JOSHUA 117 20.00    
  (by TAPRIZE out of INDECISIVE by HAIL THE PIRATES)
BACHMAN Jun20         (caramori )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.50    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of PIPER'S NEW SONG by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
DISCREET JUSTICE         (garcia israel )SANJUR SANTO 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of SUPER STACY by SUPER SAVER)
DATTTS LIFE Jul21         (duran antonio)MOJICA O 117 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by SHAGAF out of DATTTS OUR GIRL by THUNDER GULCH)
 
IND-2   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B ADMAN Jul13         (nance jonath)RAMOS D 124 3.00 41% 1.50    
  (by TOP HIT out of SASHA B by IS IT TRUE)
GOLDEN REIGN Jun10 May23 May03 Dec09 Nov03 (toye kar)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of REIKA by STREET SENSE)
WOODYTHEBIDSPOTTER Jun20 Apr26 Feb18 Dec26   (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of RENDA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
URSO GRAYDAR         (green dar)BERMUDEZ E 124 6.00 7% 13.40    
  (by GRAYDAR out of URSOKY by OXBOW)
SCR  CABERNET KID         (nance jonath)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 8.00    
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of SAUVIGNON GIRL by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
BALSA Oct27 Sep01 Jul23     (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of ARBOL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
BLUFF CITY Sep15 Aug12 Jul16 Jun23   (catalano m)MOJICA O 120 4.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of HOME OF THE BLUES by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
IND-3   08/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M WIDE AWAKE Jul13 Jun22 May19 Apr18 Dec28 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 120 8.00    
TRIKITRAKI Jul19 May31 May16 Apr19 Mar24 (davis j)DE CRUZ 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
FENESTRA May31 May15 Apr19 Mar16 Feb24 (garcia isr)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 8.00 7% 13.00    
LIMIT UP Jul12 Jun24 Jun01 Apr27 Mar02 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.50    
GORMLEYS GOT GAME Aug03 Jun04 Apr29 Feb21 Jan26 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00    
FLOWERPECKER Jul15 Jun22 May06 Apr19 Nov22 (cunningham tony)PRESCOTT R 119 5.00 16% 5.10    
SILVER MOON ROAD Jul11 Jun13 Apr26 Mar30 Mar09 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
IND-4   08/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORA'S STAR Jul20 Jun20 May17 Mar23 Jun20 (elliott mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 5.00    
CIERRA EMPIRE Jul20 Jul08 Jun06 May25 May10 (fosdick)DE CRUZ 118 2.50 20% 4.10    
EMPIRE SUNRISE Aug01 May17 Nov14 Oct29 Oct05 (fosdick steve)LEAHEY HANNAH 111 20.00    
SCR  BICKERMENTS Jul20 Jul11 May17 May09 Oct24 (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
MOON DAZE Jul05 Jun14 Nov14 Oct19 Sep28 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHEZA NUT Jul20 Jun27 Jun10 May10 Oct31 (greenhill)BERMUDEZ E 118 4.50 11% 8.50    
SKYS IMAGE Jul05 Jun14 May30 May06 Nov11 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 10.00 7% 12.60    
SHESACLEVERJUSTICE Jul18 May17 Oct29 Oct12 Sep21 (granitz )RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00    
WEST COAST JUSTICE Jul05 Jun10 May15 Nov08 Oct12 (gonzalez lilia)PEREZ E 122 20.00    
10  TIZZY JUSTICE Jul15 Jun27 Jun06 May15 Apr25 (medina tomas)RAMOS D 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
IND-5   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALINE Jul15 Jun27 May31 Sep12 Aug22 (natio)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 4.50 8% 11.80    
MAJOR GRACE Jul08 Jun20       (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 113 4.00 5% 17.60    
QUEEN D Jul15 Jul05 May15 May03   (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 8.00    
JULEE FOREVER Jul08 Jun20 Oct17 Oct05   (fletcher )BERMUDEZ E 120 10.00    
DISHIN' IT OUT Jun27 Jun06 May15 Apr25 Nov17 (patrick ga)RAMOS D 120 2.00 60% 0.70    
JANTIVA Nov17 Nov01       (wisner trac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
LEGS FOR DAYS Nov17 Oct31 Aug31     (fosdick)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
JANE'S A DIVA Aug02 May03 Nov14 Oct25 Oct03 (wisner j)PRESCOTT R 124 10.00    
SCR  CAROLYN'S ANGEL Jul15 May16       (fosdick steve)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 15.00    
 
IND-6   08/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOUTHERN BREEZE Oct16 Jul17 Jul01 Jun09 May14 (ramos rafael)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 12.00    
RUFFLED WATERS Jul13 Jun22 May23 Oct06 Sep09 (mcmichael larry)PRESCOTT R 124 3.50 14% 6.20    
CHARMING VICTORY Nov17 Sep07 Aug18 Jul21   (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 117 30.00    
WHOOP GONE Jul18 Nov17       (cluley )DE CRUZ 120 20.00 10% 8.90    
MAJESTIC MR. JONES Jun24 May25 May06 Oct06 Sep22 (mcmichael )ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 15.00    
SCR  CLOVERTOWNE Jul12 Jun08 May16 May06 Nov22 (hammond kim)SANJUR SANTO 115 6.00    
SCR  OTIS ON THE CAPE Jun24 May23 May08     (paye jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 20.00    
TOTALITARIAN Jul21 Jul13 Jun07 May25 May11 (gonzalez lilia)PEREZ E 120 30.00    
THE MOTTO Jul21 Jul07 Jun21 Jun07 May25 (davis jos)BERMUDEZ E 120 1.60 29% 2.40    
10  APPLEGATE Jul13 Jun05       (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 115 5.00 26% 2.90    
 
IND-7   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE ACT Jun22 Jun01 May10 Apr26 Jan19 (nance jonathan)PRESCOTT R 122 20.00    
MR MANNING Aug03 Jul12 Jun22 May09 Apr27 (hammond kim)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 8.00 19% 4.20    
MALIBU CLASSIC Jul24 Jun29 May10 Apr19 Nov03 (gorham rober)MORALES JOSHUA 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
SACRED SKY Jun01 Apr18 Nov21 Nov09 Oct04 (egglest)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
COMPASS POINT Jul13 Jun29 Oct17 Sep27 Aug16 (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 5.00    
BANDIDO DE AMORES Jun20 Nov15 Oct25 Oct06 Sep26 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 1.60 39% 1.60    
DANANG Jun20 Jun01 May10 Feb09 Feb03 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 122 3.50    
SHIPSHAPE Jul12 Jun22 Jun08 May30 Jan07 (medina tomas)RAMOS D 124 15.00    
 
IND-8   08/10/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTAKE Jun25 Jun10       (wojczynski just)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.50    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of MINCE by WAR FRONT)
SCR  TAAMUQ         (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 1.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TAKREES by DAAHER)
NATIVITY         (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 17% 5.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of FASHION WEEK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
MO SENSE         (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MISS MO KELLY by CONGRATS)
QUEEN CARINA         (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of LOVELY CARINA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
GLIMMERING LADY Jul11         (gorostieta cirilo)PEREZ E 120 30.00    
  (by CUPID out of FAMOUS LADY by TACTICAL CAT)
SOPHIE'S SHADOW Jun23         (gorosti)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of DEDICATION (FR) by HIGHEST HONOR (FR))
SCR  STRANGE JOY Jul19 Jun17       (bright derrick)MOJICA O 120 12.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of PSYCHIC ELAINE by SIGHTSEEING)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.