Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-1   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-2   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(5/6/3/7)-(1/4/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTM-4   WIN (5/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/7)-(1/4/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTM-5   WIN (1/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-6   WIN (5/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/7/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CTM-7   WIN (5/3/7/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/9/4)-(5/3/7/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/9/4)-(5/3/7/9/4)-(5/3/7/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/9/4)-(10/2/9/6)-(1/8/3/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CTM-8   WIN (10/2/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/9/6)-(10/2/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/9/6)-(10/2/9/6)-(10/2/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/2/9/6)-(1/8/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTM-9   WIN (1/8/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/9)-(1/8/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/9)-(1/8/3/9)-(1/8/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-1   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OMEGASSHOOTINGSTAR Jul01 May26 Nov05 Oct22 Oct15 (h)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
BEAUGATTI Jul08 Jun16 Nov05 Oct14 Sep24 (tingle ken)MARTIN ANDRE 123 8.00    
CHARMING VINTAGE Jul08 Jun02 May12 Oct22 Oct15 (wyness james)BRYAN D 123 3.00 12% 7.30    
CARRERA CABALLO Jun17 Sep10 Aug27     (hedge rick)ZENTENO EDGAR 118 2.00 59% 0.70    
CHESTER SLEW Jul09 Jun23 Jun16 Jun02 Oct28 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 6.00    
REMARKABLE ELI Oct29 Aug28 Aug20 Jul29   (gilkyson ash)NATERA KEIHTON 123 2.50    
 
CTM-2   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMUSING WAY Jun30 Jun03 May12 Nov04 Oct21 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00 32% 2.10    
SMARTY RIVER PANTS Jun30 Jun09 May27 May12 Oct28 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.50 33% 2.00    
ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) Jun30 Jun17 Apr28 Apr08 Mar19 (frey carson)BRYAN D 120 12.00    
AWHITESPORTSCOAT Jun09 May26 May12 Mar08 Feb25 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 6.00    
SCHOCHOH Jun30 Jun10 May26 May12 Apr15 (o'hagan col)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 3.50    
ISLE OF SKYE Jun09 May26 Apr01 Mar03 Feb05 (o'hagan )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 8.00 10% 8.70    
 
CTM-3   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEVVARE Jun10 May26 Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 (bourne)STEADMAN LEON 125 10.00    
DREADNAUGHT Jun30 Jun09 May26 Oct15 Oct01 (kettleson al)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 27% 2.70    
PERDITION Jun30 Jun09 May27 Oct21 Oct07 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 3.00 30% 2.30    
JUMEIRAH COAST Jun16 Jun03 Oct22 Oct01 Sep23 (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 15.00 10% 9.50    
SILVER SPUN Nov05 Oct22 Sep24 Sep09 Sep03 (ananas edw)RIZO ALEXIS 125 8.00    
FROBISHER BAY Jun30 Jun24 Jun09 May27 May06 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00    
KOVACS Jul08 Jun24 May01 Apr18 Mar25 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 4.00    
 
CTM-4   07/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMMS Jul08 Jun17 May27 Apr16 Apr02 (smit)REYES AMBROSIO 125 6.00    
NEXT JOURNEY Jul07 Jun23 Jun16 May26 May13 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 10.00    
THE BEAT Jun24 Jun03 Apr18 Mar26 Mar11 (hawkes)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
TUCKER TIME Jul09 Jun30 May26 Oct22 Oct08 (kingston ka)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 4.00    
WANDERING WEST Jul09 Jun09 May26 Feb05 Dec23 (smith)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 2.00 58% 0.70    
LANNY MAC Jul09 Jun24 Jun09 May27 Nov05 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 3.50 16% 5.10    
LONESOME CAT Jul09 Nov05 Oct15 Sep18 Aug26 (ward anderso)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-5   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOHAMAD Jun30 Jun17 Jun03 May06 Mar11 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
VANTASTICCANAVERAL Jul08 Jun30 May06 Sep23   (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 120 12.00    
TOOL TIME Jun23 Jun03 Apr04 Mar05 Feb07 (baker )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 6.00    
DOUSEAWHATISEA Jun30 Jun17 Oct08     (frey carson)BRYAN D 118 2.50 14% 6.20    
MIDNITE CHILL Jun30 Jun09 May26 Sep24 Aug26 (lee)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 10.00 11% 7.80    
BE NAUGHTY WITH ME Jul07 Jun27 Jun14 Nov25 Sep24 (cone rodney)NATERA KEIHTON 120 4.50 14% 6.30    
ESCROW STYLE Jun30 Jun17 May26 May12 Feb25 (coney ja)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 8.00    
 
CTM-6   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASYOUBELIEVE Jun24 Jun03 Oct08 Aug20 Jul29 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.50 10% 8.90    
RUMOHR REIGNS Jun17 May27 Apr08 Jan28 Dec21 (smith rober)BRYAN D 125 10.00    
HYPERFOCUS Jul01 Jun17 May26 Apr10 Feb21 (baker )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.00 17% 4.70    
VIATURE Jul01 Jun17 May26 Oct29 Oct15 (robe)REYES AMBROSIO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
SOLO RING Jul01 Jun16 Sep30 Sep10 Aug20 (walper dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 1.80 49% 1.10    
SLAATS Jun24 Jul29 Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 15.00    
ROCKTILLYOUDROP Jun30 Jun17 Apr30 Apr01 Mar11 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 125 5.00    
 
CTM-7   07/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Count Lathum Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READYTOTAPNSING Jul08 Jun03 Oct14 Sep19 Aug19 (frey carson)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 25.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of CAPRI SONG by MORE THAN READY)
KAUAI DAN Jul08 Jun17 May27 Mar31 Jan21 (smith crai)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 119 20.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of KAUAI KATIE by MALIBU MOON)
KYSTONE Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 Mar26   (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 120 6.00 33% 2.10    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MISS CHIEVOUS LADY by INTO MISCHIEF)
NORTHERN JEWEL Jul01 Jun17 Jun09 May13 Apr30 (cone rodney)NATERA KEIHTON 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of NORTHERN STATION by STREET CRY (IRE))
AMERICAN BLAZE Jul01 Jun03 Apr04 Mar11 Feb10 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00 43% 1.30    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of BEAUTY N BALANCE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  ONE FOR CHAP Jun11 May21 Aug20 Jul24 Jul03 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 3.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of DESTROY by HOUSEBUSTER)
IT'S A FACT Jul01 Jun03 May06 Oct29 Oct14 (frey carson)BRYAN D 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ZENSATIONAL BEAUTY by ZENSATIONAL)
CALI CONQUEST Jun23 Jun09 Apr30 Apr15 Mar24 (c)GRIFFITH DELANE 115 30.00    
  (by CONQUEST FARENHEIT out of SALSITA by TWO STEP SALSA)
MUDINATOR Jul01 Jun17 May27 May06 Oct29 (russ)REYES AMBROSIO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of MY NAME'S MUD by MUD ROUTE)
10  RIVERSIDE Jun09 May19 Feb12 Jan02 Nov25 (brown r)NELSON DANE 119 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of RAINIER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
CTM-8   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Century Mile Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINKING AGAIN Jun24 Jun09 May26 May12 May14 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 119 8.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of STORM SWEPT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
AT ATTENTION Jun18 Oct29 Oct08 Sep10 Aug20 (head)REYES AMBROSIO 125 6.00 28% 2.50    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of UNATTENDED by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  MASKWECIS Jun24 Jun03       (smith k)BRYAN D 122 5.00 6% 16.30    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MAIDSTONE by APTITUDE)
SMART AS ME Jun17 Apr16 Apr05 Mar18 Feb26 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 117 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SIREN SERENADE by MARFA)
BOITANO Jul01 Jun04 May14 Nov05 Oct29 (snow mel)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 113 25.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of CALLA LILY by PULPIT)
QUINTO SOL Jun26 Jun17 Jun03 May06 Oct29 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of LAUNCH A DOUBLE by BRIGHT LAUNCH)
RACE HOME Jul01 Apr24 Feb18 Feb07 Jan23 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 115 25.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of HEAD FOR HOME by WHISKEY WISDOM)
COUNTRIFIED Jun24 Jun02 May12 Oct29 Oct08 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 117 15.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of POUNDS TO PENNIES by EXCHANGE RATE)
GLAVA Jun24 May26 May12 Oct29 Oct15 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of ZENZELDA by REY DE CAFE)
10  GREEK GEEK Jun24 Jun17 May26 Oct29 Sep24 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of A E PHI SENSATION by JOHANNESBURG)
 
CTM-9   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECOY Jun09 May26 May13 Jun18 Jun04 (kettleson al)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00 62% 0.60    
MACHINE (ARG) Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 May06 Oct01 (gourdeau)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 15.00    
SILVERFOOT Jul08 Jun23 Jun09 May26 Sep02 (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 125 6.00 8% 12.00    
SCR  PARKING PERMIT Jul01 Jun17 May26 Oct29 Oct15 (walper de)ZENTENO JR 123 8.00    
I'M DASHING Jun24 Dec02 Oct27 Oct01 Sep03 (zielke mad)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 15.00    
RAILWAY Jun30 Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 Aug20 (bak)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 12.00    
LIL ZAPPER Jul01 May27 May06 Oct14 Sep10 (payne jodey)NATERA KEIHTON 120 20.00    
FATHER O'FLAHERTY Jun30 Jun17 May27 Apr25 Mar11 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.50 8% 11.40    
RUNNINFORCOVER Jul09 Jun23 May26 Dec09 Nov20 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.