Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(2/6)-(2/6) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
DEL-2   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(2/6)-(8/10/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
DEL-3   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(8/10/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(8/10/9)-(5/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-4   WIN (8/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/10/9)-(8/10/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/10/9)-(8/10/9)-(8/10/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/10/9)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/10/9)-(5/1/4)-(2/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-5   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(2/1/3)-(6/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-6   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(6/5/4)-(1/3/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-7   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(1/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DEL-8   WIN (1/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOCIAL JOE Jul07 Jun22 Mar16 Feb27 Feb15 (bouchard lesl)OCASIO M 121 10.00    
SCR  TWIRLING CHARLIE Jul07 Jun21 Jun14 Aug04 Jul08 (velazquez d)OCASIO JONATHAN 118 6.00    
SETTE STELLE Jul07 Jun22 Jun13 May20 Apr14 (caraballo wil)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 5.00    
CAPT COMPLICATED Jul11 Jun21 May09 Mar29 Mar15 (servis tyler)RUIZ ELISEO 111 1.80 19% 4.20    
EL PATOJO Jul07 Jun23 May13 Sep29 Sep16 (cooper ste)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 1.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  ENTRUST Jul12 Jun30       (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 118 12.00    
 
DEL-2   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALYPSO GHOST May25 May11 Feb25 Jan27 Nov13 (harting c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
REITERATE Jul03 May23 May08 Mar28 Mar09 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 1.80 39% 1.60    
KIRBY Jul05 Jun10 May25 Apr29 Apr15 (neilson walla)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 8.00    
SCR  SOME IS NINE Jul13 Jun24 May31 May05 Mar24 (serey j)ALICEA JEREMY 113 2.50    
SCR  ANGINETTI Jul03 Jun20 Jun05 May29 May08 (lee r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
CHICA RABIOSA Jul05 Dec31 Dec17 Dec02 Nov06 (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 29% 2.40    
 
DEL-3   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OJITOS BELLOS Jul12 Jun24 Apr06 Mar31 Mar17 (serey mario)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 113 12.00    
GRAND ARROW Jul06 Apr23 Mar01 Nov25 Oct30 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
GWYNEDD Jun09 Feb24 Feb03 Jan07 Aug27 (perkins jr)CEDENO CAROL 121 6.00    
HAPPY UNION Jul06 Jun14 Apr23 Mar22 Feb12 (machado anto)ARROYO S 116 6.00    
SCR  SOLEADA Jun22 Jun01 Sep10 Aug24 Aug13 (ritchey f)ROSE J 121 1.40    
CHALCOLITHIC Jun09 Jun01 Apr02 Mar24 Dec17 (lopez ro)EVANS CECILY 116 4.00 19% 4.10    
 
DEL-4   07/21/2023 4950ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLASHY FIG (IRE)         (hendriks ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 6.00    
SCR  LOOKIN AT KISSES Jul01 Jun03 Apr15 Mar01 Feb08 (werneth rober)MARTIN MATTIE 116 20.00    
SCR  SAVANNAH'S SUGAR Jul08 Jun22       (lopez mari)MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 20.00    
SCR  MEDB Jul05         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 12.00    
SEARCH Jul08 Nov30 Oct28 Aug29 Aug08 (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 123 1.60    
ONE CLEAR MOMENT Jul08 Jun22 May27 Dec11 Nov21 (gorham michael )MENA E 118 4.50    
ARIANA VALENTINA Jul08 Jun22 Jun10 May31 Sep01 (aguayo ramo)MARIN A 123 3.50    
CARBONEL         (schistl rafael)BLANCO ANDRY 123 10.00 24% 3.10    
LILLI ROSE Jun26 May22 Feb08     (wagner karin)CEDENO CAROL 118 10.00 17% 5.00    
10  CORA'S CHOICE Jul08 Jun25 May14 Apr30 Apr14 (sanchez-salomo)HIRALDO JOHN 118 5.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  NO SHARING Jun25 Jun04 May18     (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
SCR  SOCIAL REBEL Jun20         (whylie herol)ARROYO S 118 20.00    
SCR  ALLIE'S HALO Jul08 Jun22 Jun03     (lopez mario )TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 15.00    
 
DEL-5   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($38.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCCRAKENS GHOST Jul04 Jun14 May30 Apr29 Mar22 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
CORONOVA Feb20 Jan29 Dec17 Nov03   (ashby lyn)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
FINALLY CAPTURED Jul04 Jun14 May23 May03 Mar28 (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 118 4.00    
PUTTHEPASTBEHIND May15 May07 Apr07 Mar16 Mar04 (alvarado diane)MENA E 118 6.00 17% 4.80    
RUN POPPY Jun22 Jun09 Mar31 Mar11 Jul21 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
WARRIOR'S VENDETTA May29 May06 Mar22 Mar01 Jan24 (troxell krist)OCASIO M 118 15.00    
SCR  HOT LOVE Jun21 May31 May14 Apr17 Feb08 (whylie herol)ARROYO S 118 8.00    
 
DEL-6   07/21/2023 7260ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY FOR CARMEL Jun28 Jun10 May31 May18 Apr25 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 21% 3.70    
SWING LOW May27 May04 Mar05 Feb08 Jan29 (sweezey ke)ARROYO S 120 4.50 52% 0.90    
SUMMER SILENCE Jun24 May18 Oct15 Sep25 Jul13 (voss elizabeth)ROSE J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
STEADY JOHN Jun24 May31 Nov09 Oct08 Sep24 (bentley fenneka)MENA E 120 12.00    
URBAN MYTH Jul01 Jun04 Mar15 Feb19 Feb16 (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
SCR  PARQUETRY Jun04 May11 Sep23 Sep05 Aug10 (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.50    
SCR  WHO'S COUNTING Jun25 May05 Oct15 Aug31 Aug08 (mcdermott sean)HIRALDO JOHN 122 2.00    
SCR  CRISPER Jun21 Jun02 Dec13 Nov04 Oct16 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00    
 
DEL-7   07/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($28K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NONEEDTOWORRY Jun26 Jun14 May17 Mar01 Feb13 (whylie h)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 8.00    
LOOSE ENDS Jun13 May10 Mar22 Mar01 Feb06 (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
ARDANWOOD Jun28 Jun02 Apr28 Sep03 Aug13 (quinonez nathan)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 3.50    
MR THRIFTY Jun30 Apr24 Mar19 Feb22 Jan10 (brown keith )HADDOCK DEXTER 120 6.00 10% 9.10    
NAUTILUS (BRZ) Jul02 Jul01 May24 May10 Apr03 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.80 23% 3.40    
POLTERER Jul06 Jun23 May06 Apr21 Mar26 (compton greg)MENA E 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
DEL-8   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD MISSION Jun17 May28 Feb09 Jan01 Dec02 (delgado jorge)TREJOS JOSEPH 116 2.00 36% 1.80    
CITI CREEK Jul07 Jun10 May27 Feb20 Jan22 (sillaman richar)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 8.00    
RUTHENIAN Jul07 Mar14 Nov16 Oct22 Sep29 (iannotti thom)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
SPECTRIER Jul07 Jun03 May12 Mar10 Feb17 (sanchez-salomon)MENA E 117 4.00    
BLACKWATER FALLS Jun14 May31 May15 Apr17 Mar29 (bryant donal)ARROYO S 116 10.00    
FIRST TO LAST Jun22 Jun05 May09 Apr26 Feb21 (sullivan ellio)HIRALDO JOHN 119 8.00 7% 12.60    
SIDNEY'S BID Jul07 Jun14 May24 May03 Apr22 (mcgoey mon)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.