Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Thursday - July 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (5/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/1)-(5/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/1)-(5/4/8/1)-(5/4/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/8/1)-(8/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/1)-(8/6/4/7)-(3/6/1/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-2   WIN (8/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/4/7)-(3/6/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4/7)-(3/6/1/2)-(1/6/2/7/11) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-3   WIN (3/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/2)-(1/6/2/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/2)-(1/6/2/7/11)-(8/2/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-4   WIN (1/6/2/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/7/11)-(1/6/2/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/7/11)-(1/6/2/7/11)-(1/6/2/7/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/2/7/11)-(8/2/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/7/11)-(8/2/7/4)-(3/10/5/6/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-5   WIN (8/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/4)-(8/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/4)-(8/2/7/4)-(8/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/7/4)-(3/10/5/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/4)-(3/10/5/6/9)-(6/4/3/5/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-6   WIN (3/10/5/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/5/6/9)-(3/10/5/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/5/6/9)-(3/10/5/6/9)-(3/10/5/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/5/6/9)-(6/4/3/5/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/10/5/6/9)-(6/4/3/5/7)-(3/2/1/5/6) 125 $1.00 $125 
EVD-7   WIN (6/4/3/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/5/7)-(6/4/3/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/5/7)-(6/4/3/5/7)-(6/4/3/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/3/5/7)-(3/2/1/5/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
EVD-8   WIN (3/2/1/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/5/6)-(3/2/1/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/5/6)-(3/2/1/5/6)-(3/2/1/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   07/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS BARETA Sep06 Jul14 Apr14 Mar12 Feb03 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  REMEMBERIN RONALD Jul07 Jun16 May05 Apr12 Feb24 (robinsjr aaron)ROSIER R 123 6.00    
SCR  HOLIDAY FLOWERS Jun19 May28       (ingram steve)MELANCON G 118 20.00    
4  SAINT MARY Jun22 May26       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 4.50 19% 4.40    
5  DAISY DE ORO Jun19 May27 Apr20 Mar18   (thomas lee)BARRERA J 113 2.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  LA LOLA Jul01 Jun22 May20 May03 Aug13 (giangrosso ru)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 20.00    
7  MIDNIGHT FAITH Jun04 Apr15 Jan13 Dec18 Nov22 (briley lonnie)STOKES J 118 15.00    
8  EASY ACES Jun30 May11 Mar10 Jan27 Jan14 (ladner herm)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  TAP IRON FIST May18 Apr15 Feb12 Jan13 Dec18 (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 118 3.50    
10  FITTS N STARTS Jun23 Dec18       (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 12.00    
 
EVD-2   07/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTRO FLASH Jun24 Jun01 May12 Jan15   (patt jr)STOKES A 120 10.00    
2  ARCTIC GUITAR Jan04 Dec16 Dec01 Nov09 Aug24 (bernard john)FUSILIER C 120 15.00    
3  SARATOGA KAREN Jul01 May20 Apr12 Feb22 Jan26 (cox edward )MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
4  BATTLE OF WITS Jun15 May18       (modica oscar)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 7% 13.90    
5  MAVE RUNNER May19 Mar10 Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 123 3.50    
6  ANIME DAY May19 Apr28 Apr12 Jan26 Jan12 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 5.00 13% 6.50    
7  RESPECT ALL Jun17 May27 Apr27 Nov03 Aug25 (mojica edi)MARQUEZ L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  JULIO CHOICE Jun23 May27 May11 Apr27 Jan06 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 115 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
EVD-3   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSTON LUCILLE Jun17 May11 Apr20 Feb15 Jan18 (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 120 2.50 13% 6.90    
2  MACEE Jun08 May11 Apr27 Mar08 Feb12 (david b)BARRERA J 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  GURKHA GOLD (IRE) Jul06 May13 Apr21 Feb24 Jan13 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
4  RYAN'S GRACE May20 Apr28 Apr12 Mar26 Feb24 (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 123 8.00    
5  KAITLYN'S COURT May26 May11 Apr13 Mar19 Feb15 (constantine)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 12.00    
6  HAL'S DREAM Jun25 Jun11 May13 Mar26 Mar05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 2.00 15% 5.50    
7  MYLIES STAR Jul02 Jun12 May26 May11 Apr28 (dussette al)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 15.00    
 
EVD-4   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUSTOM BLUE GRASS Jul08 Jun22 May19 May06 Apr14 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 117 2.00 39% 1.50    
2  GIMMEASOUND Jun23 Apr21 Feb11 Jan19 Dec10 (bourgeois ke)BARRERA J 112 6.00 6% 15.90    
3  LT. BONURA Jun24 Jun10 May12 Apr22 Mar15 (richards c)MARQUEZ L 117 10.00    
4  PRAY IDE SING Jun24 Jun01 May12 Apr22 Apr08 (sanche)RUIZ GARCIA 117 15.00    
5  GENIUS Jun16 May26 Apr29 Apr14 Mar26 (pomier ch)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 120 8.00    
6  GALAXY BUILDER Jun22 Jun01 Apr08 Mar03 Jan14 (pomier chasey)VARGAS P 117 3.00 33% 2.00    
7  MIDNIGHT BAYOU Oct14 Jun25 May20 Mar20 Jan15 (zeno benjamin)ROSIER R 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  COURAGEOUS TIMMY Jul08 Jun17 Jun01 May12 Apr14 (richards corale )FUSILIER C 120 20.00    
9  AND FIFTY Mar18 Feb21 Jan08 Dec09 Nov24 (david s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 12.00    
10  FLASHY PREMO Jun23 May15 Apr21 Mar19 Feb18 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 117 20.00    
11  HEARTTHROB HALO Jun22 May26 Apr28 Mar02 Jan22 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  GOTTATAKEHIMTO Jun09 May10 Apr12 Feb11 Jan14 (ramirez eduardo)STOKES J 117 20.00    
 
EVD-5   07/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INTIMIDATION Jul01 Jun17 Feb17 Jan25 Dec22 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 3.00    
2  COLOR FAST Jul04 Jun22 Jun16 May03 Apr22 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 2.50 18% 4.50    
3  JUST DEAL WITH IT Jun17 Jan11 Dec31 Nov14 Oct21 (escobar aliso)VARGAS P 118 20.00    
4  CHARLIE G Jun15 May25 May03 Feb24 Feb15 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  FATHER RED Jul01 Jun11 May27 Apr29 Apr08 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 113 12.00    
6  RUSSIAN TANK Jun11 May20 Mar22 Feb21 Feb11 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 10.00    
7  MI SOLUTION Jul07 May13 Apr28 Feb17   (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 4.00 15% 5.60    
8  TODDCHERO May28 Mar26 Feb25 Dec26 Dec03 (gelner j)ROSIER R 118 4.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  RICKY BOBBY Jul01 May27 Mar18 Feb25 Jan29 (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 6.00    
 
EVD-6   07/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OTRA COSA         (ali and)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of JEMIMA'S PEARL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  BABY'S LAST DANCE Jun17         (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 118 8.00    
  (by ONE LINER out of DANCE BY EM by TAPIT)
3  PUPPETEER (GB)         (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by ONE LINER out of PULPIT'S REVENGE by PULPIT)
4  POUND OUT A DEAL Jul08 Jun17 Jun05 May11   (pomier ch)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 118 20.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of FIFTYSHADESOFNAY by REDDING COLLIERY)
5  BOLD CARLOS         (gelner jayde )RIVERA JOSEAN 118 4.00 7% 14.10    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of SOHNI by COUNTRY DAY)
6  GEM FRIEND         (demouchet ricky)POMPELL L 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of WHATA FRIEND by MY FRIEND MAX)
7  I NITA WARRIOR         (jeansonne justin)ROSIER R 118 12.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of ANITA BONITA by REDDING COLLIERY)
8  AUTUMN ROB         (ducoing stu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 5.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of THESCREENISRED by VAN NISTELROOY)
9  RISING KOTO STAR         (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of MARGARITA GOLD by GOLD TRIBUTE)
10  CAJUN CYCLONE Jul08 Jun03 May21     (courville ri)MAGNON H 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of OFF CYCLE by HARBORAGE)
 
EVD-7   07/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLLY'S GUITAR Jun29 Jun17 Apr20 Apr07 Mar12 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 113 10.00    
2  LUMINOUS FLIGHT Jul08 Jun02 May20 Apr13 Mar09 (cox l)FUSILIER C 113 15.00    
3  A RUNNIN AFLEET May26 Mar15 Feb04 Dec22 Nov02 (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 113 4.50 16% 5.10    
4  CAJUN CATALINA Jun17 Apr13 Feb03     (thomas lee)POMPELL L 113 6.00 20% 4.10    
5  HUSHED COURT ROOM May29 May21 Apr01 Mar18 Feb20 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 5% 19.00    
6  TWO JET Jul08 Jun01 May10 Apr12 Feb18 (delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 113 3.00 35% 1.90    
7  SHESABEAUTYDANCER Jun29 Jun17 May10 Mar08 Feb12 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  BUILDING HOME Jun17 Jun01 May10 Apr14 Feb22 (ramirez eduardo)STOKES J 118 8.00    
9  DEBBIES PASSAGE Jun29 Jun01 May10 Apr14 Mar02 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 113 20.00    
SCR  DREAM TOWN Jun10 May14 Apr15 Mar05 Jan13 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 20.00    
 
EVD-8   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALOS ALARM May03 Apr19 Apr07 Jul20 Jun30 (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  OAK HILL STRONG         (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 115 15.00 28% 2.60    
3  ZONG WAVE Jul01 Jun08 May11 Apr26 Feb23 (dison phill)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
4  HIGHER NOTE Jul08 May26 May06 Feb26 Feb05 (marechal merlin)MELANCON G 123 3.50    
5  CHARMING KAT Jun29 Jun09 May20 Mar23 Feb15 (senegal j)ROSIER R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MEAN DREAMER Jul08 Jun22 Jun01     (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUNSET FLASH Jul01 Jun17 Jun02 May19 Apr20 (rubin donald)VARGAS P 120 6.00    
8  MS. PRIESTLY Jun29 Jun15 May26 Feb24 Nov25 (chevis vinc)LEDET THEODRICK 123 8.00    
9  GYPSY JACKPOT Jul08 Jun22 May19 Apr22 Mar18 (pomier d)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
10  SUM CHARM Jun29 Jun09 May11 Feb20 Feb04 (ney john)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.