Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - July 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/2)-(3/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/2)-(3/8/4/2)-(3/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/4/2)-(10/7/4/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/4/2)-(10/7/4/8/5)-(2/3/1/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (10/7/4/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/4/8/5)-(10/7/4/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/4/8/5)-(10/7/4/8/5)-(10/7/4/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/4/8/5)-(2/3/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/7/4/8/5)-(2/3/1/5)-(3/6/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/5)-(3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/5)-(3/6/1)-(8/3/5/10/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(8/3/5/10/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(8/3/5/10/2)-(7/6/3/4/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/3/5/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/10/2)-(8/3/5/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/10/2)-(8/3/5/10/2)-(8/3/5/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/5/10/2)-(7/6/3/4/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/10/2)-(7/6/3/4/9)-(4/1/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/6/3/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/4/9)-(7/6/3/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/4/9)-(7/6/3/4/9)-(7/6/3/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/3/4/9)-(4/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/4/9)-(4/1/3)-(9/10/4/11/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(9/10/4/11/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/10/4/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/4/11/3)-(9/10/4/11/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/4/11/3)-(9/10/4/11/3)-(9/10/4/11/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Jun30 Apr15 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
2  LET'S DO THIS Jul07 Jun17 May18 Apr07 Mar11 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ELLIES AT WINDSOR Jul07 May19 Apr29 Mar18 Feb11 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 108 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  AWESOME MOON Jul07 Jun17 May26 May11 May02 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 8.00 8% 11.20    
5  IMINCHARGENOW Jun17 May04 Apr13 Mar02 Feb02 (schottrof)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
6  JUJU ON DA BEAT Jul08 Jun17 Jun01 May20 Mar23 (adorno jean)ESQUILIN J 124 12.00    
7  LIL BUNNY May18 Mar31 Mar16 Jan27   (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
8  SING A LULLABYE Oct21 Oct06 Sep23 Sep02   (boggs joanna)BATISTA A 118 1.80 30% 2.30    
 
CT-2   07/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 2 F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YES TO LOVE         (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
  (by CUPID out of SHE'S A PROBLEM by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  FULL OF CHARM Jul06         (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of FULL OF INTENT by MASTER COMMAND)
3  MISS INTENSITY Jul06         (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 110 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  MAMA MARGE         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of GHOST FEVER by FIBER SONDE)
5  SOMESUGARNSPICE Jul06         (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
6  ANOTHER FINE JUBA Jul06         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 10.00    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
7  DIRECT THE CAT Jul06         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 22% 3.60    
  (by REDIRECT out of CAT THATS GREY by FIBER SONDE)
8  SHEWONTTALKTOME Jul06         (sigler rona)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 15% 5.80    
  (by JUBA out of FERZETTI by MUNNINGS)
9  HONESTLY OLIN'S         (contreras javie)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of OLIN'S HONOR by UNCLE MO)
10  NAVY BAND         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JUGNI by COLONEL JOHN)
 
CT-3   07/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVA ROSE Jun13 May19 Apr28 Mar25 Jan18 (craig lewis)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  PURE NONSENSE Jul07 May18 Sep17 Aug27   (mckee e)CECIL Y 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
3  REAL APPEAL (GER) May28 May19 Apr28 Apr07 Apr01 (joy kevin )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  CHARITABLE ANY Jul06 Jun13 May28 Dec14 Oct18 (pearson)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00    
5  SIENTE LA BRISA Apr21 Mar25 Feb18 Jan11 Dec07 (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  PEARLY GHOST Jun16 May12 Apr21 Mar10 Feb08 (viands)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.60    
7  FIFTY GRAY SHADES May19 Apr28 Jan20 Nov09 Sep21 (groves jani)ESQUILIN J 122 15.00    
8  WISHING FOR SPRING May18 Apr13 Mar23 Feb04 Jan21 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 118 12.00    
 
CT-4   07/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NELLY TOO Feb05 Jan13 Dec30 Dec16 Sep15 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 17% 5.00    
2  SUPER WICKED Jun09 Mar16 Jan18 Dec08 Nov16 (sewell lenworth )MAWING A 120 30.00    
3  MARQUET CLASSIC Jun22 May04       (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 1.60 25% 3.10    
4  RAINBOW RHYTHM Jun22 Apr29 Jun24     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00    
SCR  EBONY QUEEN         (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 4.50    
6  SUPER SWEETIE Jun23 May18 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 (figgins o)BOCACHICA J 108 4.00 22% 3.60    
7  WICKED SAUCY May27 May18 Apr27 Apr15 Mar08 (lane j)CULLUM W 122 3.50    
 
CT-5   07/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIZARD OF ODDS Jun09 May19 Apr28 Mar09 Feb16 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
2  BARRY KARAFIN BETS Jul07 May28 Apr07 Jun02 May12 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  AW ITE Jun27 Jun19 May21 May01 Dec01 (inman l)BOCACHICA O 122 1.60 22% 3.50    
4  BUCKED TOOTH Apr07 Feb22 Jan06 Nov19 Oct28 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
5  BE BE BOP Jul07 Apr28 Mar16 Feb22 Oct28 (davis bil)BOCACHICA J 112 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  STARSHIP TAXI May13 Apr21 Mar09 Feb07 Jan11 (adorno jean)ESQUILIN J 120 15.00    
7  HELL'S KITTEN Jun22 Apr15 Feb09 Jan14 Nov27 (pennella rhea )RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00    
8  WIDGET FACTORY Jul07 Jun09 May19 Apr28 Apr07 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
9  AWESUMMER Jul07 Apr25 Apr12 Mar20 Mar01 (davis b)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00    
10  NO FOOLING DUDE Jul07 Jun09 May19 Apr28 Apr07 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00 6% 16.50    
 
CT-6   07/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST PARTY Jul01 May18 Apr29 Apr06   (armstrong busan)BOCACHICA O 124 4.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LADIES PARTY by SEATTLE SLEW)
2  CHICKERLING Jul06 Jun03       (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 118 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of PAGAN JEWEL by PEAK DANCER)
3  JOOBY DOOBY DOO Jul06         (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by JUBA out of UNUSUAL TREATY by REPARATIONS)
4  GAMBLING FEVER Jul06 Jun10       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of LITTLEBITABLING by CARSON CITY)
5  SCARE DEM Jul06 Jun10 May18 Jul29 Jul08 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of AFRICAN RAINBOW by KINSHASA)
6  BAD LINEAGE Jun01 May11 Apr20     (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by JUBA out of BELL KEEPER by CHAPEL ROYAL)
7  REVEREND JACK Jun09 Apr27 Apr08 Sep24   (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by BLOFELD out of SINCLAIR by MY BOY ADAM)
8  SUMMONING DENIS Jul06 Jun03 Nov26 Nov05 Oct12 (petty kri)BOCACHICA J 108 6.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of SUMMON THE SPIRIT by SUMMER BIRD)
9  JUST CALL ME AL Jul01         (perry lawren)WHITACRE GRANT 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of CALLER WHAT U WANT by CALLER I. D.)
10  DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Jul06 Jun09 Apr08 Mar09 Jan27 (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 118 50.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PUTTYBADSHARK by ONEBADSHARK)
 
CT-7   07/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANGE THE WORLD Jul01 Jun10 May20 Apr15 Dec08 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 10% 8.60    
2  THE SKY IS FALLING Jul01 Apr15 Nov05 Oct08 Aug26 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00    
3  JAMESTOWN ROAD Jun17 May28 Apr13 Feb24 Jan07 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  LUCYLOU WHO Jun03 Apr15 Feb25 Feb10 Jan14 (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.40 53% 0.90    
5  REVEIRS MINUTE Jun16 May20 Apr06 Mar04 Feb25 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 20.00    
6  MOONLIT SHADOW Jun17 May13 Apr15 Feb25 Oct08 (grams c)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00    
 
CT-8   07/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORT ZANNA Jun23 May27 May06 Mar17 Mar04 (conn p)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
2  HERETODAYGONMANANA Jun16 Jun02 May05 Apr13 Mar02 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
3  TIZBIT Jul01 May20 Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 (gillespie rya)ADAMS L 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  HOW IS SHE Jun23 May25 May05 Apr13 Mar18 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  BOCA BIRDIE Jun23 May12 Apr28 Mar31 Mar18 (atkins michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
6  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Jul08 Jun17 May27 May06 Apr20 (ramos ago)BOCACHICA J 112 20.00    
7  TAPPING SOUTH Jun23 May27 Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 (barahona isaac)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
SCR  SHE'S MYBUDDYBUDDY Jun23 Jun09 May20 Apr28 Feb09 (haynes ernes)BATISTA A 118 4.00    
9  MY SISTER PAM Jul06 Jun16 May05 Apr13 Feb24 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
10  CEDARS BULLS EYE Jun23 May12 Mar10 Dec10 Nov18 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
11  GOLDEN SALLY Jul13 Jun30 May11 Mar24 Mar04 (boggs joa)BOCACHICA J 108 20.00 5% 18.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.