Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - July 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (9/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/8/1)-(9/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/8/1)-(9/5/8/1)-(9/5/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/8/1)-(1/8/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/5/8/1)-(1/8/2/5)-(7/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/5)-(1/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/5)-(1/8/2/5)-(1/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/2/5)-(7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/5)-(7/2/1)-(8/4/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(8/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1)-(8/4/2/5)-(4/3/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (8/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/2/5)-(4/3/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2/5)-(4/3/7/8)-(3/6/5/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/8)-(4/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/8)-(4/3/7/8)-(4/3/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/8)-(3/6/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/8)-(3/6/5/4)-(7/6/8/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/4)-(7/6/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/4)-(7/6/8/3)-(3/1/6/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/8/3)-(7/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/8/3)-(7/6/8/3)-(7/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/8/3)-(3/1/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   07/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.45K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAVERN May05 Apr19       (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRITTY Apr30 Jan11 Oct01 Sep11   (cascallares n)ALICEA JEREMY 112 12.00    
SCR  MARISSATHEPRINCESS Feb17 Feb05 Jan19 Dec30 Dec07 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 1.40    
4  DIAMOND STARDUST Feb04         (gurrola ge)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 12.00    
5  UNFETTERED DIVA         (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
6  JOYOUS FAIRY TALE Apr05 Mar19 Mar04 Feb17 Feb01 (jones dougl)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 5.00    
7  GLADIATORA Jun14 May08 Nov25 Oct30 Oct09 (romero rafael)BRACHO A 119 10.00    
8  GLACIE INHERITANCE May19 Apr01       (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 124 8.00 18% 4.70    
9  MY BATON ROUGE Jun02 May05 Apr23 Feb22 Dec30 (suarez wlaima)SOSA LAUREANO 112 0.60 35% 1.90    
 
TAM-2   07/01/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENRIC May03 Apr12 Mar19 Dec28 Nov09 (davis ricky )MENESES MARCOS 124 1.20 45% 1.20    
2  MO TOWN BLUES Jun04 Apr06 Mar15 Mar04 Feb19 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EL BAILADOR Jan08 Dec11 Nov12 Oct02 Aug31 (negrete javie)FLORES ADRIAN 124 8.00    
4  HEART OF JOY         (manchan bertr)SOSA LAUREANO 117 6.00    
5  POORONYO Apr16         (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  KALINBA May06 Apr30 Apr22 Apr08 Mar12 (cascallar)HERRERA R 124 12.00    
7  LUCKY DONNIE G         (philipp kar)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 6.00    
8  SELECTO         (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 5.00 16% 5.10    
9  ABSOLUTIST Dec10 Nov23 Aug10 Jun30   (dobber arnoud )COA J 124 12.00    
SCR  COMMANDER BIZ Aug22 Aug10 Jul11 Jun24 May28 (philipp karyn)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.00    
 
TAM-3   07/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.45K) 3UP ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUN AMERICAN Jun18 May11 Mar24     (dobber arno)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  GARY'S FLYING LION Jun10 May21       (o'connor robe)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.50 7% 12.80    
SCR  TAP N THE GOLD Sep25 Sep10 Aug20     (wasiluk peter )COA J 124 12.00    
4  LUSCIOUS DANCER Jun25 Jun11 May20 May06 Apr20 (negrete javier)RAMIREZ R 119 1.60    
5  JUSTICE TIME Jun25 Jun02       (dobber arnoud )BORACO DAVID 119 12.00    
6  RECTANGLE May06 Apr19 Mar04 Feb22 Aug23 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 124 10.00    
7  SIR AUSTIN         (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 3.00 64% 0.60    
 
TAM-4   07/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOURN WILD AGAIN Jun09 May20 May03 Apr15 Feb23 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 20.00    
2  AXCEL Jun24 Apr26 Mar29     (manning j)BRACHO A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LORD OF THE NILE May06 Apr19 Apr05 Mar24 Mar05 (dobber arnoud )BORACO DAVID 123 12.00    
4  MISTA DONZELLA May06 Apr22 Apr08 Mar26 Mar10 (wasiluk peter )COA J 123 4.50 12% 7.60    
5  WINE EMPIRE Jun04 Apr08 Jan01 Nov13 Aug26 (jehaludi moh)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SWIFT KID Apr22 Apr02 Mar24 Mar04 Feb17 (gurrola georg)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 15.00    
7  AWESOME HONOR May06 Apr23 Apr14 Feb19 Jan27 (cordero anton)SOSA LAUREANO 111 12.00    
8  SOCIALLONGDISTANCE Jun11 Apr29 Apr08 Mar26 Feb26 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 123 0.60 65% 0.50    
 
TAM-5   07/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA BRODY Jun04 May03 Apr15 Apr07 Mar15 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 123 20.00    
2  UNCAPTURED PRINCES Jun02 May03 Apr12 Mar04 Jan21 (rodriguez angel )BRACHO A 118 12.00    
3  MARYNMIKE May06 Apr08       (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  THUNDER BUGGY Jun09 Apr23 Apr08 Mar01 Jan20 (vazquez edua)MENESES MARCOS 123 1.40 72% 0.40    
5  IRAZU Jun11 May05 Apr21 Apr01 Feb19 (cascallar)HERRERA R 123 1.60    
6  DRILL'S VALENTINE Jun09 May06 Apr05 Mar19 Feb26 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 10.00    
7  SUWANNEE CHICK May03 Apr16 Mar15 Mar01 Feb15 (parra hern)ALONSO LUIS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  ANGELIC STORM Jun02 Apr23 Apr05 Mar19 Mar08 (dye steven)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AUDREY May03 Apr16 Mar25 Mar03 Feb10 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 10.00    
 
TAM-6   07/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUNTASTICA Jun10 May21 May11 Nov19 Nov04 (negrete javier)RAMIREZ R 118 15.00    
2  R D BLESSING Apr22 Apr15 Jan27 Jan01 Dec23 (drake robert)MBATHA LUCKY 112 20.00    
3  BELLA ROMANCE May13 Apr28 Apr07 Mar19 Mar05 (mcgoey monica)SOSA LAUREANO 115 3.50 40% 1.50    
4  DELTA RED Apr30 Apr12 Feb04 Jan26 Jan06 (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  LIL ANNIE ROSE Jun04 Mar25 Mar05 Feb15 Jan07 (wirth kennet)MENESES MARCOS 122 5.00 14% 6.00    
6  DUDESFIRSTDARLING Jun04 May14 Apr23 Mar25 Feb24 (deaton willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
7  TIPHARAH May05 Apr05 Mar19 Mar04 Dec16 (lusk r)COA J 122 8.00    
SCR  WISHIN N KISSIN Apr22 Apr08 Feb26 Feb08 Jan29 (chavez a)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 1.60    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD HONEY Jun23 May18 Apr28 Mar19 Feb10 (romero rafael)BRACHO A 122 6.00    
 
TAM-7   07/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDER KEITH May05 Apr22 Mar25 Feb15 Jan27 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00    
2  LUIS TWO GUNS Apr29 Feb22 Sep15 Aug30 Aug10 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 123 8.00    
3  POSEIDONS MYTH May27 Apr28 Apr16 Apr01 Mar15 (ubide max)COA J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  PIYPA DE LYNDA May28 May05 Apr21 Apr02 Mar18 (marino gary)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 15.00    
5  FAST N STEADY May20 Apr28 Mar22 Feb26 Feb01 (gonzalez jav)MENESES MARCOS 123 5.00    
6  FLY FLY AWAY May06 Apr14 Feb24 Feb11 Jan28 (cahill steven)SOSA LAUREANO 116 2.50 16% 5.30    
7  CHESS'S DREAM Apr22 Apr08 Mar26 Feb08 Jan25 (jones dou)HERRERA R 123 1.60 42% 1.40    
8  FAST PAYDAY Apr22 Mar22 Mar03 Jan13 Dec09 (manning j)BRACHO A 123 5.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  LAST PROMISE Jun03 May06 Apr29 Apr14 Mar31 (jones douglas)FUENTES MARIO 123 15.00    
SCR  TAPINTOYOURBEER Apr30 Apr23 Apr16 Apr07 Mar24 (ubide max)ALONSO LUIS 123 20.00    
 
TAM-8   07/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE COSMO GIRL Apr27 Apr09 Mar12 Dec28 Dec15 (miranda lu)ALONSO LUIS 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
  (by GORMLEY out of DOUBLESHOT OF GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
2  FROSTY SECRET May05 Apr26 Apr08 Mar10 Feb18 (manning j)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of IMPERIAL SECRET by IMPERIALISM)
3  MILLENNIUM PARK Apr30 Apr01 Mar04 Jan15   (proctor thomas)COA J 118 1.20 31% 2.30    
  (by CURLIN out of COMPELLED by WAR FRONT)
4  THE MONSTER IRUS Apr05         (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 118 20.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of LILLY BELLE BLUE by LINE OF DAVID)
5  ALLONS May21         (james gerald)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURDS out of THE REAL FUTURE by REAL QUIET)
6  THANK THE ACADEMY Jun04         (dye steven)MENESES MARCOS 124 10.00 18% 4.50    
  (by KEEN ICE out of POWERTAP by TAPIT)
SCR  RAGGEDY Jun30 May26 Mar04 Jan15   (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SECRET BALLOT by COURAGEOUS CAT)
8  DUDEFOOLINGDARLING Apr21 Mar05 Feb03 Dec30   (deaton willia)SOSA LAUREANO 111 12.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of JUSTADARLING by AFLEET)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.