Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Grants Pass
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GRP-2   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-5   WIN (3/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/8/2)-(3/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/8/2)-(3/6/8/2)-(3/6/8/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
GRP-6   WIN (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/6)-(6/8/7)-(1/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GRP-7   WIN (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/7)-(6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/8/7)-(1/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
GRP-8   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GRP-2   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAD ACTRESS Oct15 Aug26 Aug21 Aug11 Jul04 (maelfeyt b)PRECIADO A 126 4.50    
2  ARCTIC FIRE Jun10 Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 Aug10 (harshman )JENSEN P 126 2.00 52% 0.90    
3  CHIQUITA PIQUITA Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 Jun20   (guerrero em)GUERRERO C 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  STEEL NERVES Aug21 Jul16 Jul01 Jun12 May20 (hurley denni)SMITH E 126 4.00    
5  MISSY PARKER Jun10 Aug26 Aug19 Aug10 Jul14 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 2.50    
6  SWEET MEG Nov16 Oct15 Oct09 Sep18 Aug28 (willia)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00 18% 4.70    
 
GRP-5   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENSATIONAL CITY May04         (lyons kendra)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 4.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of CITY SENSATION by CITY ZIP)
2  FLY N EARLY         (rhodes di)JENSEN P 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TRIUMPHANT FLIGHT out of CABILDO BAG by BAG)
3  SPORTS FOR WOMEN May26 May04 Apr09 Mar17 Feb24 (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of HADARRA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  JADED SECRETS Mar08 Feb07 Jan12     (lopez s)LOPEZ E 126 15.00    
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of JADELET by SKIP AWAY)
5  SUE GENEROUS May26 Apr29 Apr08 Mar24 Feb10 (guerrero em)GUERRERO C 124 3.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of FANNY CHENAL by POPULAR (SAF))
6  ELLE VICTOIRE Aug27 Aug06 Jul11 Jun27 Mar12 (crystal du)PRECIADO A 126 10.00 16% 5.40    
  (by BRAVE VICTORY out of CONGO KAYE by CONGAREE)
7  WARNING SOUND Aug27 Aug19 Aug07 Jul09   (hurley denni)SMITH E 126 5.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of SOUL SOUND by ELUSIVE WARNING)
8  DASHINGMOONLIGHT         (guerre)GONZALEZ FLORES 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
  (by GIACOMO out of CHURCHBELLSRINGING by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 
GRP-6   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRESCENT WILDCAT Jun09 Aug26 Aug20 Aug12 Aug10 (crystal dust)SMITH E 126 4.50    
2  STANLEY RYDER Sep17 Sep11 Aug26 Aug14 Jul24 (guidos jo)JENSEN P 126 3.00 12% 7.60    
3  FOOLISH TO DECEIVE Sep04 Sep02 Aug12 Jul03 Jun20 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 6.00    
4  SUNSET DRAGUNN Aug26 Aug19 Aug06 Jul24 Jun12 (stillw)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.50 17% 4.80    
5  BOY HOWDY Aug28 Aug21 Jul16 Jul15 Jul03 (cantrell m)PRECIADO A 126 4.00 35% 1.80    
6  CAPES HOT ROCKET Aug26 Aug21 Jul15 Jul04 Jun28 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C 126 15.00 7% 14.20    
7  HARROVIAN May02 Apr11 Mar18 Feb26 Feb06 (raley scot)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 10.00    
 
GRP-7   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC WOOD FORCE Jun09 Aug10 Jul15 Jul04 Jun20 (rodriguez s)GUERRERO C 126 4.00    
2  TIZ INDY Apr29 Apr08 Mar25 Mar04 Dec17 (rhodes dixie )LOPEZ E 126 8.00    
3  ZOE'S PAPA CEE May12 Apr21 Apr09 Nov25 Oct23 (bumgardner)PRECIADO A 126 12.00    
SCR  FOREVER GOLD May28 May13 Mar01 Feb20 Feb04 (hof d)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 15.00 6% 16.50    
5  UNION BLISS Sep11 Aug26 Aug13 Jul17 Jun26 (magallanes)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 126 10.00    
6  MASTER RECOVERY Sep11 Aug28 Aug13 Jul15 Jul02 (guidos jo)JENSEN P 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
7  GENERAL THAYER May13 Apr23 Mar25 Mar18 Mar07 (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00 18% 4.50    
8  SKEESIX Aug11 Jun28 Jun20     (hof d)SMITH E 126 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
GRP-8   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETHEL RIDGE Sep17 Aug28 Aug20 Jul04 Jun28 (williams gabr)LOPEZ E 126 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  XTRAFINE XTINA Oct09 Aug26 Aug20 Jul04 Jun21 (beckner teri)SMITH E 126 2.00 23% 3.40    
3  GOOD JOB JACKIE Jun28 Jun21       (klapatch n)PRECIADO A 126 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  ANTECEDENCE Sep18 Sep03 Aug06 Jul24 Jul09 (magallanes)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 126 4.50    
5  MIDNIGHT SYMPHONY Nov25 Oct07 Aug28 Aug20 Jul03 (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.