Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Sunday - June 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(2/6/5)-(6/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-2   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(6/3/4)-(3/4/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-3   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(3/4/2/7)-(4/1/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-4   WIN (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/7)-(4/1/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/7)-(4/1/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRM-5   WIN (4/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/3)-(5/7/2/3)-(6/5/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRM-6   WIN (5/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/3)-(6/5/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-7   WIN (6/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-1   06/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B MAKER Jul11 Mar06       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00    
WHONEW May22 Apr30       (donlin larry )PUSAC ALBERTO 120 4.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  R SERENGETI May05 Mar17 Feb17 Sep24 Aug22 (martinez kell)EDWARDS JAVIS 120 5.00    
ABUNDANT May21 May06       (morse l)TOHILL S 125 3.00    
K C ROCKET Apr23 Sep07 Aug22 Jun21 Jun01 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 125 2.00 40% 1.50    
EXPLOSIVE PRIDE May22 Apr16 Mar31     (martin e)BIRZER E 120 3.50 8% 10.90    
 
PRM-2   06/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAVIN'S TOWN         (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 119 1.80    
  (by MO TOWN out of DANCE PLAY by MALIBU MOON)
X RAY VISION May06 Apr15       (rollins s)DE CRUZ 116 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of WINNING VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
ESCAPEFROMPARADISE May06 Apr15       (rollins scott)PUSAC ALBERTO 116 8.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of DIAMONDS PLEASE by MINESHAFT)
BORDINOS         (martin timot)JORDAN R 119 4.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of MANE PRINCESS by MINESHAFT)
DON JUAN BUBBA May06 Apr15       (rollins scott)EDWARDS JAVIS 114 6.00 13% 6.60    
  (by BOCEPHUS out of COMPLIMENTARY by PORTO VARAS)
DIALED IN TO WIN         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 3.50 16% 5.30    
  (by DIALED IN out of CHOSEN ROAD by QUALITY ROAD)
 
PRM-3   06/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET DYNASTY May27 Mar30 Mar05 Feb12 Jan07 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 126 8.00    
SCR  CAT TALE SKY Jun03 May17 Apr24 Apr12 Mar27 (young e)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 6.00    
GIRL PRO Apr21 Feb25 Feb10 Jan18 Jan01 (arnett g)BIRZER E 126 3.00 25% 3.10    
ALTERNATE ABBY May01 Apr11 Mar27 Nov25 Nov04 (young sco)TRIANA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ELI'S GIRL May26 May13 Apr14 Mar30 Feb26 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 126 4.00    
FROSTED DIAMOND May28 Mar25 Feb23 Feb02 Jan14 (richard chris)EDWARDS JAVIS 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
FABULOSITY May26 Apr23 Mar25 Mar11 Feb25 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 4.50    
 
PRM-4   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW STRIPE May28 Apr28 Apr15 Apr01 Mar04 (johnston lane)EDWARDS JAVIS 118 6.00    
HERITAGE PARK May22 May05 Mar23 Feb05 Jul29 (martin timot)JORDAN R 123 3.00 12% 7.00    
TOO LATE May22 Apr15 Apr01 Feb18 Sep11 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
COLONEL KLINK May27 Apr29 Mar26 Mar17 Feb22 (richard chris)BIRZER E 123 2.50 26% 2.80    
MUCHO GIFTED Sep18 Sep06 Aug29 Aug14 Jul31 (gleason t)TRIANA JR 123 8.00    
PURE ROCKET May06 Apr11 Mar26 Mar14 Feb22 (mcfarlane da)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.00    
MARQUEE THUNDER May27 Jun11 May21 Mar26 Mar06 (foley sea)DE CRUZ 123 12.00 8% 12.10    
 
PRM-5   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.67K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
S C SKYLARS EMPIRE May12 Oct01 Sep16 Sep02 Jul22 (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
DIAMOND OF EKATI Jun03 May21 Sep30 Sep25 Sep19 (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 4.00 16% 5.30    
BIT A BAD NEWS May21 Oct02 Sep26 Sep05 Jul31 (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 8.00 6% 15.00    
CONFETTI BETTY May28 Oct02 Sep25 Sep02 Aug13 (hargens bob)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 26% 2.80    
KID BIZ May29 Sep29 Sep16 Sep02 Aug21 (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 120 4.50    
IVY ABAD GIRL May20 Sep25 Sep11 Aug20 Aug05 (wellington)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 3.00    
RISKY WHISKY May21 Sep30 Sep25 Sep09 Aug28 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 125 6.00    
 
PRM-6   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($45.864K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINISH UP Oct01 Sep12 Aug27 Aug08 Jul09 (anderson l)CORBETT W 121 4.50    
SIR WALLY WALLY May21 Oct01 Aug13 Jul18 Jun25 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00 12% 7.30    
CHINLEE May21 Oct01 Sep18 Aug20 Aug14 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
JUSTA STREAK May21 Oct01 Sep11 Aug22 Aug01 (mcshane d)NOLL S 121 2.50    
ALLEN'S ROCKET May21 Oct01 Aug29 Aug08 Jul16 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 3.00 38% 1.70    
SHIPS ON FIRE May21 Oct01 Aug27 Aug08 Jul23 (wellington tom)TOHILL S 121 5.00    
KNIGHT COMMANDER May19 Nov26 Nov11 Oct20 Sep19 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 121 6.00 21% 3.80    
 
PRM-7   06/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUMPERDOO May29 Apr05 Mar17 Jan25 Jan06 (arnett g)TOHILL S 121 12.00    
HEY PILGRIM Dec21 Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 Apr21 (owens kory)ZIMMERMAN R 121 6.00 8% 12.10    
WESTONS WILDCAT May27 Apr24 Feb18 Jan21 Dec03 (ashford ray)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.50    
TIME MACHINE May21 May03 Apr24 Mar28 Mar13 (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 125 4.00    
MRS. BEANS May04 Apr23 Apr07 Mar17 Mar04 (flores oscar)JORDAN R 125 3.00 24% 3.10    
OIL MONEY Mar26 Feb26 Jul08 Jun10 May29 (arnett g)BIRZER E 121 2.00 46% 1.20    
MYSTERY MAN Apr22 Mar09 Feb20 Jan28 Oct02 (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.