Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - May 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/4/2/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/7/9)-(6/4/2/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/7/9)-(6/4/2/7/9)-(6/4/2/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/2/7/9)-(4/6/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/7/9)-(4/6/2/7)-(7/3/6/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/7)-(7/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/7)-(7/3/6/2)-(2/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/2)-(2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6/2)-(2/5/4)-(3/4/1/7/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(3/4/1/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(3/4/1/7/5)-(2/7/4/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/4/1/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/7/5)-(3/4/1/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/7/5)-(3/4/1/7/5)-(3/4/1/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/1/7/5)-(2/7/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/7/5)-(2/7/4/3)-(9/1/6/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/3)-(9/1/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/3)-(9/1/6/8)-(1/8/9/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (9/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/8)-(9/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/8)-(9/1/6/8)-(9/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1/6/8)-(1/8/9/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/8/9/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/9/7/4)-(1/8/9/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/9/7/4)-(1/8/9/7/4)-(1/8/9/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRONT PORCH May02 Apr14 Mar23 Feb10 Jan19 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
2  WICKOSITY May05 Apr14 Mar25 Mar19 Mar01 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  AMERICAN ROCKY May02 Apr14 Mar25 Mar02 Jan21 (hillegass)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
4  SIENTE EL AMOR Apr06 Mar10 Feb24 Feb02 Jan07 (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 122 12.00 12% 7.30    
5  ROCKY DICE May04 Apr20 Oct13 Sep29 Sep15 (murdock )BUTTERFLY L 122 20.00    
6  STRONG HEART May05 Apr14 Mar25 Jan07 Dec13 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ABNEL 112 0.60 59% 0.70    
7  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS May05 Apr22 Apr06 Mar09 Mar02 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  CAIRO BOOGIE May05 Mar15 Feb25 Feb10 Jan16 (demario charle)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
9  GANDHI'S ORION May05 Apr14 Mar23 Mar01 Feb09 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   05/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEY TO THE CASTLE Apr20 Mar02 Nov30 Nov09 Oct20 (espinosa victo)ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00    
2  WAGER WORTHY Apr21 Mar24 Feb24 Jan18 Dec01 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 15% 5.90    
3  AWESOME MOON May11 May02 Apr15 Mar18 Mar02 (jones mi)BUTTERFLY L 118 8.00    
4  MAKINLIMMARGARITAS May11 Apr08 Mar04 Feb16 Jan06 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
5  DEREKA'S BLUFF Apr21 Apr07 Nov11 Oct26 May25 (venham d)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
6  PHILMARY CASTLE Mar24 Jan20 Nov18 Oct20 Sep28 (bourne j)LARROSA G 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
7  APPEALING ROAD May11 Apr21 Mar24 Mar04 Jan21 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 118 6.00 12% 7.60    
 
CT-3   05/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE CANDY CASTLE Apr29 Mar30 Mar10     (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 15.00    
2  SMALL PAW May06 Apr13 Nov09 Oct15 Sep24 (jackson )BUTTERFLY L 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ALLEGHENY HERO May06 Apr14 Mar24 Mar10 Feb23 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 10% 8.80    
4  BOO TOO May06 Apr13 Mar10 Feb23 Jan11 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
5  SWEET T Apr14 Mar24 Feb23 Jan28 Jan11 (tobin l)SIMPSON JASON 122 50.00    
6  J. WICK Apr13 Mar31 Mar10     (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  DRUNK TEXT May06 Apr22       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40 63% 0.60    
8  NEEDNOEXPLANATION Apr29 Apr06 Mar16 Jan28 Dec17 (bowman el)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.00    
 
CT-4   05/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOADED SNIPER May06 Mar31 Feb16 Jan25 Jan14 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
2  COMPANY CLOWN Mar30 Feb11 Dec01 Nov05 Sep29 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 2.00 70% 0.40    
3  GRUMPELSTILTSKIN May11 Apr28 Apr07 Feb22 Feb08 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00    
4  MR TINGLES Apr06 Mar09 Feb02 Jan21 Jan13 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  BLACK CANDY May11 Apr28 Mar30 Feb22 Feb11 (tomczak )BUTTERFLY L 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEVERLY PARK Apr14 Mar31 Mar24 Mar15 Feb22 (dilodov)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 1.00    
7  KUKULKAN (MEX) May13 Mar30 Feb11 Jan27 Dec16 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 120 4.50    
 
CT-5   05/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKSON MAN Dec10 Nov26 Nov04 Sep29 Sep09 (harrison glenn )RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 13% 6.90    
2  S S SPARTAN ENERGY May06 Apr06 Mar11 Feb17 Jan26 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.50    
3  FELICIAS CASTLE May06 Apr28 Apr06 Mar16 Mar02 (smith osborne)SIMPSON JASON 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
4  RED HOT TODDY Apr07 Feb23 Jan26 Jan11 Sep29 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 17% 4.70    
5  HILLBILLY ROCK Apr07 Mar18 Feb23 Feb09 Jan11 (atkins michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  S S ALASKAN CRUZ Apr20 Apr07 Mar18 Mar02 Jan27 (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00    
7  PINNACLE REEF May19 Apr27 Feb16 Feb01 Jan07 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ABNEL 108 10.00 7% 12.90    
8  NICE BUT NAUGHTY May06 Apr20 Apr07 Feb23 Jan28 (jackson )BUTTERFLY L 120 20.00    
9  MONKEY WRENCH Apr27 Apr13 Mar11 Feb23 Jan26 (barahona is)RAMGEET R 124 10.00    
 
CT-6   05/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM TRAPPE Apr21 Jun24 May20 Apr29   (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
2  MIMS HAT TRICK Apr21 Mar01 Nov25     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
3  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Dec16 Dec09 Nov18 Oct08 Sep24 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRIMETIME JET Apr21 Apr01 Mar10 Jan27 Dec16 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 7% 13.40    
5  BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Apr21 Apr01 Feb15 Nov25 Nov20 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 118 6.00    
6  THE ILLUSIONIST Apr21 Mar10 Feb02 Jul14   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.00    
7  OX DOC May16 Nov04 May19     (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 29% 2.50    
 
CT-7   05/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYGIDGETMARIE May04 Apr15 Mar30 Feb15 Jan25 (huet terry)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
2  GLADRIEL Mar17         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 6.00    
3  GOLDEN SWEETS May06 Apr15 Mar23 Feb23 Feb04 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
SCR  UNCAPTURED RUBY Jun23 May27 May07 Apr16 Mar30 (malgari)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 20.00    
5  DROPKICK QUEEN Apr28 Mar19 Feb25 Feb05 Jan20 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 116 12.00    
6  MISS FUSSY PANTS Apr29 Mar25 Mar10 Feb19 Jan28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.00 18% 4.70    
7  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Apr28 Apr15 Mar17 Feb25 Feb10 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
8  FLAT DISCOUNT May10 Apr20 Mar16 Mar04 Feb10 (ginter r)BUTTERFLY L 120 8.00 9% 10.60    
9  GRACE'S SECRET Mar25 Feb09 Jan19 Dec18 Nov19 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
CT-8   05/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INCLUDE THE BEAST Apr13 Mar23 Jan28 Dec08 Nov19 (garrido rau)BOCACHICA ABNEL 110 4.00 40% 1.50    
2  FORTES May05 Apr01 Mar23 Mar02 Feb17 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00    
SCR  SHEMADEMELUCKY May06 Mar24 Feb26 Feb10 Jan12 (pennella rhea )RIOS-CONDE A 124 30.00    
4  SHENANDOAH CAT May12 Apr29 Apr20 Mar30 Mar23 (lane j)ADAMS L 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  BLACK PANDA May05 Mar23 Jan28 Jan11 Nov30 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00    
6  UNLOCK Apr27 Mar30 Mar01 Feb11 Jan28 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
7  HOT CAROL Feb22 Sep21 Sep03 Aug18 Jul21 (rodrigue)BUTTERFLY L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  LITTLE BIT OF THAT Apr14 Feb17 Feb10 Dec29 Nov19 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
9  RED PRIESTESS Apr27 Mar30 Feb15 Jan26 Jan05 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  CAPTAIN SAM May04 Apr14 Mar23 Mar02 Feb09 (pickett c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.