Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Saturday - May 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-1   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 4 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (7/1)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(6/1/5)-(4/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-2   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(4/5/2)-(1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(1/5)-(7/8/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5)-(7/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(7/8/6)-(2/1/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-5   WIN (7/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/6)-(7/8/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/6)-(7/8/6/5)-(7/8/6/5) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/6)-(2/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6)-(2/1/5/6)-(6/10/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-6   WIN (2/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6/3)-(2/1/5/6/3) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/5/6)-(6/10/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/6)-(6/10/5/7)-(5/6/7/8/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRM-7   WIN (6/10/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/5/7)-(6/10/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/5/7)-(6/10/5/7)-(6/10/5/7) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (6/10/5/7)-(5/6/7/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PRM-8   WIN (5/6/7/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/8/1)-(5/6/7/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/8/1)-(5/6/7/8/1)-(5/6/7/8/1) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-1   05/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEELSSOGOODINLOVE Apr02 Mar18 Feb18 Sep24 Sep18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 13% 6.80    
2  SHY RUNNER Oct02 Sep11 Aug20 Jul16 Jun12 (ibarra jose)TOHILL S 122 10.00    
3  CHEER UP Apr16 Mar19 Mar03 Feb03 Dec09 (flores oscar)JORDAN R 125 2.50 ★    
4  WUMPMUG Apr07 Mar24 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 125 5.00    
5  LULUS FLIGHT BOOTS Oct02 Sep11 Aug21 Jul04 May29 (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 12.00    
SCR  LORI'S EYES Apr21 Apr14 Mar17 Mar03 Jan29 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 125 3.50 30% 2.40    
7  ACELA EXPRESS Mar28 Feb24 Jan11 Jun20 May20 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
PRM-2   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S TABOO         (von kelly)CORBETT W 118 6.00 8% 11.70    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SHE WILL ROCK by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
2  STAY FABULOUS Apr02 Mar02 Feb12 Jan20 Nov04 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 118 1.80    
  (by VIOLENCE out of JEANNE'S SPEIGHT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  CZECHITOUT         (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 124 15.00 8% 11.70    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of POLITICAL ACT by POLITICAL FORCE)
4  JILL'S LEMON DROP Jul29         (dieter dalton)ZIMMERMAN R 118 12.00    
  (by JAVA'S WAR out of LEMON DROP BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
5  SUGAR BELL         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 10.00 8% 11.70    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SWEET SUGAR by UNION RAGS)
6  HIGHLY CREATIVE         (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HIGH DOLLAR WOMAN by SUPER SAVER)
7  HER NAME WAS LOLA Apr29 Mar19 Mar10 Feb05 Jan20 (jordan j)EDWARDS JAVIS 113 4.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of LADY LOLA by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
8  MARSHSIDE MAMA         (anderson )DE CRUZ 118 5.00    
  (by KARUN out of HY MARY LADY by MINESHAFT)
 
PRM-3   05/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMONA'S CHOICE Apr29 Mar31 Mar05 Jan27 Jan15 (jacquot gene)EDWARDS JAVIS 119 8.00    
2  ELI'S GIRL Apr14 Mar30 Feb26 Feb05 Jan21 (jordan jame)TOHILL S 124 10.00 21% 3.90    
3  BLACK KAT TAPS Apr25 Feb24 Jan29 Jan01 Oct14 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 5.00    
4  UNDECODED Mar25 Mar10 Feb11 Jan14 Oct26 (martin timot)JORDAN R 126 1.80 27% 2.70    
5  ALL GOOD TIMES Apr07 Feb15 Dec17 Sep29 Sep18 (arnett g)BIRZER E 124 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  SWEET LAURA Jan28 Dec14 Nov12 Oct15 Sep26 (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 124 3.00    
 
PRM-4   05/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 3 ALL PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY AIN'T ENOUGH Apr23 Mar26 Nov18 Sep30 Aug29 (tracy tanner)ZIMMERMAN R 120 1.80 63% 0.60    
  (by STROLL out of TOUGH RIPPLES by GOOD AND TOUGH)
2  LET'S ROCK N ROLL         (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00 ★    
  (by NEWPORT out of BEAUTIFUL BIRD by OLD FASHIONED)
3  LAWLESS JOHN Sep19 Aug29       (murphy swan)NOLL S 120 15.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LATASENSE by STREET SENSE)
4  FRANKLYGREAT         (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 4.00 ★    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of FRANKIE'S LADY by MEADOWLAKE)
5  TAP ON BY Sep30 Sep19 Sep03 Jul29 Jul11 (hemba brad)RODRIGUEZ F 120 3.00 10% 9.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of FRIENDLY EMMA by FRIENDLY LOVER)
6  ESPE'S GUY         (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 120 4.50    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of ESPERANZA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
7  ONE SOCK BILLY Aug06 Jul11       (wellington)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 15.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of SPEEDY GIA by GIACOMO)
8  MACH SWEDE Jul29 Jul11 Jun20     (arnett g)BIRZER E 120 12.00    
  (by MARKING out of IT'S THE SWEDE by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
PRM-5   05/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 3 ALL PT- 8:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPPOSITION Aug22 Jul23 Jul02     (arnett g)BIRZER E 120 12.00    
  (by DIABOLICAL out of DE STAR XPRESS by SEA OF SECRETS)
2  PRIZED TAP Jul23         (wellington)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of TETON FIRE by TETON FOREST)
3  MADETHEDEAN'SLIST Sep19 Sep03 Aug22 Jul29   (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 10.00    
  (by STROLL out of SHE'S BETTER LOUD by BRAVO BULL)
4  LETS ROCK N STROLL Sep25 Aug27       (dieter dalton)ZIMMERMAN R 120 15.00    
  (by STROLL out of BELLA ROAD by BELLAMY ROAD)
5  CINCO DE MO Apr07         (ashford tristan)TOHILL S 120 2.50 ★    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of SMARTY MO by SMARTY JONES)
6  SPIRITED DREAM         (donlin la)TRIANA JR 120 5.00 8% 11.10    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of FIFTY CURLS by CURLIN)
7  TALONS TIME Sep03         (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.00 59% 0.70    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SAKAKAWEA by ROSSINI)
8  GOLD TAPPER         (fett brandi)NOLL S 120 4.00 10% 9.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of GOLDEN ELITE by ELITE SQUADRON)
 
PRM-6   05/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($44.554K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATE FOR LUNCH Oct01 Sep12 Aug27 Aug08 Jul23 (jacquot gene)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
2  BIG LUKE Oct01 Sep12 Jul29     (von kelly)CORBETT W 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  STAR OF MINE Oct01 Sep23 Sep03 Aug26 Aug12 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 8.00 ★    
4  EVIL KNIEVEL Sep16 Aug26 Aug01 Jul11 Jun20 (wellington tom)TOHILL S 123 10.00    
5  LEAPIN TY MAN Sep03 Aug22 Jul29     (martin timot)JORDAN R 118 3.50 16% 5.40    
6  REDNECKERTHANYOU Dec04 Nov13 Oct30 Oct09 Oct02 (martinez )DE CRUZ 123 15.00 11% 8.30    
7  WARREN L Mar23 Sep19 Aug22 Jul23   (anderson l)BIRZER E 118 5.00    
8  ROWDY RAY Jul04 Jun19 Jun06     (hargens bob)ROMAN KEVIN 123 12.00    
9  BIG PINES SANDY Nov19 Nov12 Oct28 Oct09 Oct01 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 15.00    
 
PRM-7   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Goldfinch Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 9:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLECTED GLORY Apr21 Mar18 Mar02 Feb10 Jan27 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of CONKATE by EXCHANGE RATE)
2  T MAX Feb11 Nov26 Oct30 Sep15 Aug21 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 124 2.00    
  (by CONNECT out of PLEASANT DRIVE by SALEM DRIVE)
3  TAPICITA Apr21 Mar18       (jordan j)EDWARDS JAVIS 118 20.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of PURRFECT TAPIT by TAPIT)
4  CRYPTO MO Apr08 Aug26 Aug07 Jul17   (murphy swan)NOLL S 118 15.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of FORTY WINDS by FORTY TALES)
5  OUR DAVINA Apr26 Mar28 Dec14 Nov19 Nov02 (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 12.00 7% 13.60    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CHERRYBLOSSOMMISS by LANGFUHR)
6  LADY RADLER Apr22 Dec03 Oct28 Sep07 Aug10 (campbell mi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  BROKEN HEARTS BAY Apr05 Mar11 Feb11 Jan25 Dec28 (arnett g)BIRZER E 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of LOVE COVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  MY HAPPINESS Oct01 Aug26 Jul22 Jul01   (hicklin chri)JORDAN R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of MAYFIELD ROAD by YONAGUSKA)
9  DON'T GET PICKLED Apr08 Mar26 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 120 4.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of C C'S PRIDE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
10  ARIZONA KALEI Apr22 Mar25 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 4.50 7% 13.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of JACKSONVILLE by BENTON CREEK)
 
PRM-8   05/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($44.554K) 3UP ALL PT-10:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE WITH THE FINN Nov18 Oct26 Sep25 Sep03 Aug22 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUCCESSION (GB) Sep30 Sep03 Jul30 Jul11 Jun20 (fett brandi)BIRZER E 118 6.00    
3  JUSTASTROLLIN Sep25         (compton jesse)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 8.00    
4  CASEY'S LAW Aug10 Jun30 Jun09     (robertson hu)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.00    
5  CALL ME Q Apr14 Mar19 Aug22 Jul29 Jul02 (tracy tanner)ZIMMERMAN R 120 2.00 28% 2.50    
6  C R INSTA GATOR Oct01 Sep12 Jul30 Jul02   (von kelly)TOHILL S 118 3.00 18% 4.60    
7  SAY IT NICELY Apr12 Oct02 Sep18 Aug22 Aug01 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 123 20.00 15% 5.70    
8  A BRUSH OF LUCK Sep26 Sep11 Aug20 Aug08 Jul16 (murphy swan)NOLL S 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  I LOVE ROCKNSTROLL Oct01 Sep03       (wellington tom)CORBETT W 118 12.00    
10  ROCKIN THE DAD BOD Sep17 Aug22 Aug06 Jul23 Jun20 (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.