Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Friday - May 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-1   WIN (1/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/5)-(2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/5)-(2/1/3)-(4/6/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-2   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(4/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(4/6/1/2)-(4/6/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-3   WIN (4/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/2)-(4/6/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/2)-(4/6/7/3)-(7/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-4   WIN (4/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/3)-(7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/3)-(7/1/4)-(7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-5   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(7/6)-(4/8/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-6   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/8/4)-(7/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/6)-(4/8/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(4/8/1/6)-(5/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-7   WIN (4/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/1/6)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/1/6)-(5/1/4)-(2/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-8   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(2/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRM-9   WIN (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/8)-(2/1/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/8)-(2/1/8/7)-(2/1/8/7) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-1   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22.015K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABYS TIME TO SING Sep25 Aug06 Jul23 Jul02   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  HIGGAM Aug06 Jul23 Jul02     (murphy swan)NOLL S 118 5.00    
3  SHERLOCK WHO         (tracy tanner)ZIMMERMAN R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  EDGY LOVER Sep30 Aug27       (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 118 10.00    
5  SARAH'S BOY BLUE Apr23 Aug22       (clay pat)TOHILL S 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNCLE SINGH Apr28         (donlin larry )PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.00 34% 1.90    
7  QUARTERNIGHT Sep24 Sep03 Aug06     (fett brandi)JORDAN R 118 4.00    
 
PRM-2   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACE GILFORD Apr12 Mar28 Mar13 Feb05 Jan16 (young sco)TRIANA JR 123 2.00 22% 3.50    
2  NORTH SIDE Apr29 Apr08 Mar26 Mar11 Feb25 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  LOVER BOY Apr15 Mar26 Mar12 Mar04 Feb18 (donlin larry )PUSAC ALBERTO 123 4.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  JONATHAN WHO Apr02 Mar25 Mar11 Feb16 Jan18 (arceo salvador)TOHILL S 123 6.00    
5  MR FROST Mar30 Mar19 Sep25 Aug19 Jul22 (martin timot)JORDAN R 123 8.00    
6  RED WHITE AND LOUD Sep25 Sep02 Aug21 Aug06 Jul18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 3.00    
 
PRM-3   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CODE ONE Apr01 Feb26 Dec30 Dec02 Oct03 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00 11% 8.10    
  (by HONOR CODE out of RAFAELINI by BERNARDINI)
2  CROCODILE TEARS         (rarick wade)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 5.00 8% 11.40    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of CYNICAL STORM by SKY MESA)
3  TAP THAT DIAL Apr23 Apr07 Mar24 Mar09 Feb24 (rosin cot)DE CRUZ 118 3.50    
  (by DIALED IN out of FORM FITTING by TAPIT)
4  CONTRABANDISTA Mar24 Feb20 Feb03 May20 Apr08 (morse randy )JORDAN R 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of HARLAN'S ROMANCE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  ASSET BASIS Apr29 Apr16 Mar12 Jan27 Jan14 (flores oscar)BIRZER E 124 2.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of MY LIFE by QUALITY ROAD)
6  UXMAL Feb18 Jan20 Jan07 Dec20 Nov25 (guillory j)TOHILL S 118 10.00 15% 5.70    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of BONITA by BLUEGRASS CAT)
7  LEA ME BE Sep23         (compton jesse)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 12.00    
  (by LEA out of EXPLOREMORE by FIVE STAR DAY)
 
PRM-4   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAIRIE WOLF Apr13 Sep16 Aug19 Jul15 Jun04 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 122 5.00    
2  ROBUST Apr14 Dec08 Oct14 Sep06 Apr24 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00    
3  LURCH Sep26 Sep16 Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 (compton jesse)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MONTEREY PENINSULA Apr21 Mar26 Mar03 Feb12 Dec08 (martinez kelli)TOHILL S 125 3.50 40% 1.50    
5  CALLE DE BOYD Apr12 Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 Jan08 (arnett g)BIRZER E 125 2.00    
6  HACKER Apr16 Mar26 Mar12 Feb20 Feb04 (martin timot)JORDAN R 125 3.00 17% 4.80    
7  MO CHOCTAW Apr29 Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 Dec10 (chleborad)DE CRUZ 125 12.00 6% 16.50    
 
PRM-5   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 3 F PT- 8:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TARA'S TIME (NZ) Apr22         (von hemel)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 16% 5.10    
  (by DRUMS OF TIME out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  KYLIES HOPE Aug21 Jul25       (wellington tom)TOHILL S 120 4.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of AMPLY REWARDED by GRAND SLAM)
3  STARGRAZER Sep29         (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 8.00    
  (by PALACE out of SOONER SUPERSTAR by RA RA SUPERSTAR)
4  REVENANT         (ashford tristan)ROMAN KEVIN 120 10.00 7% 12.50    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of HEADINGLEY by TIZNOW)
5  BE SINCERE Sep29 Sep18 Aug21 Jul25 Jul01 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 120 5.00 ★    
  (by ALTERNATION out of INSINCERELY YOURS by FLATTER)
6  KAMEA Sep29 Sep16 Sep02 Aug21 Jul25 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of GIZZY by MALABAR GOLD)
7  MY FOUR POINT OH Sep29         (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 120 3.00 51% 0.90    
  (by FORMIDABLE out of NOON AT NIGHT by TENPINS)
 
PRM-6   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 3 F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET STROLL Sep16 Aug21 Jul25     (von kelly)CORBETT W 120 6.00    
  (by STROLL out of BLUMIN SWEETHEART by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
2  UNGLUED Sep16 Aug21 Jul25 Jul01 Jun19 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 4.50    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of EYE CONTACT by YARROW BRAE)
3  GOOD N LUCKY Sep29 Sep18 Sep02     (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 120 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of LUCKY M by POLLOCK'S LUCK)
4  NATIVE QUEEN         (ashford tristan)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00 ★    
  (by NATIVE RULER out of NEVAEHS RAE by SPRING AT LAST)
5  DIAL SUM IN         (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of SUMLIN by ESKENDEREYA)
6  APRETTYLULABY Sep29         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by SING BABY SING out of APRETTYUNDERSTUDY by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
7  CREME DE CASSIS Mar16         (tracy tanner)ZIMMERMAN R 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of CREME DE CACOA by EASYFROMTHEGITGO)
8  MOLLY BYE O Sep29 Sep18 Sep02 Aug21 Jul25 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 3.00 ★    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of STEAL THE SUGAR by CORONADO'S QUEST)
 
PRM-7   05/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTAIN DON Apr15 Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 Oct02 (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 125 10.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  SOUTHERN MOJO Apr29 Apr15 Mar03 Feb25 Feb11 (crabtree )TRIANA JR 125 15.00    
3  ROCK CITY ROCKET Apr23 Mar02 Jan08 Sep18 Jul31 (martin timot)JORDAN R 125 2.50    
4  FASCINATED Apr25 Apr03 Mar08 Feb27 Jan25 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 125 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  A. K. SAFARI Jun03 May08 Mar31 Feb17 Feb05 (dieter dalton)ZIMMERMAN R 125 4.50    
6  MAFIA DON Apr22 Apr08 Mar19 Mar10 Feb24 (roe w)SALAZAR TERESA 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  WESTA WAVERLY Apr12 Dec30 Dec03 Oct30 Sep15 (wellington tom)CORBETT W 125 8.00    
8  OSCAR WINNER WALLY Nov18 Oct15 Sep26 Sep19 Aug20 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.50 26% 2.80    
 
PRM-8   05/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($44.554K) 3UP M/F PT-10:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMMERING (GB) Sep30 Sep12 Aug26 Aug07 Jul08 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 123 3.50 10% 8.70    
2  READY TO GET LOUD Apr28 Apr22 Mar31 Mar17 Feb26 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 15.00    
SCR  KASA Oct02 Sep25 Sep09 Aug14 Jul31 (chleborad lyn)EDWARDS JAVIS 118 3.00    
4  ESPIRIDION Sep29         (chleborad)DE CRUZ 118 5.00 7% 12.80    
5  FLAT OUT STORMIN Oct01 Sep09 Aug26 Jul31 Jul01 (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 123 2.00 57% 0.80    
6  DREAMINONTHENILE Sep18 Sep02 Aug21 Jul22   (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 6.00 ★    
7  DONNA'S HOPE Apr16 Mar26 Mar10 Feb25 Aug19 (roe w)TOHILL S 123 20.00    
8  LUCKYHOTSTUFF Mar26 Sep24 Aug28 Aug06 Jul22 (arnett g)BIRZER E 123 10.00    
 
PRM-9   05/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($44.554K) 3UP M/F PT-10:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT ROSE Sep29 Sep18 Sep02     (murphy swan)NOLL S 118 3.50 26% 2.80    
2  FIT AND FAMOUS Apr06         (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
3  NAUTICAL MISS Sep30 Sep11 Aug26 Jul31 Jul16 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 123 10.00    
4  S C SKYLARS EMPIRE Oct01 Sep16 Sep02 Jul22   (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 118 12.00    
5  HARD SPIRITS Oct01 Aug21       (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 8.00    
6  RAISIN RAISIN Oct02 Sep25 Sep09 Aug29 Aug05 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 6.00    
7  RAINBOW DASH Apr07 Mar24 Mar11 Feb18 Sep24 (dieter dalton)ZIMMERMAN R 125 8.00 ★    
8  KAYLOR Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 Jul22 Jul01 (chleborad lyn)EDWARDS JAVIS 118 5.00 19% 4.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.