Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Friday - May 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
FON-2   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(1/4/3)-(4/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-3   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-4   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-5   WIN (6/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/2)-(4/2/7/6)-(6/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-6   WIN (4/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/7/6)-(6/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-7   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT'S THE SCORE Apr15 Mar24 Mar10     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of MABLOOM by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
SCR  MAY B BETTER Mar10 Feb24       (hoffman robert)MARTINEZ R 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by MONHOCRACY out of PRINCESS PATTY B by ALPHABET SOUP)
3  P R POSIE GAME         (donlin d)HAAR NATHAN 122 8.00 13% 6.90    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of P R LYING HEART by GOLD SCHLEIGER)
4  JOSIES SCORE Apr15 Mar24 Feb24 Feb10 Sep25 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 122 2.00    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of REEL DEDICATED by REEL ON REEL)
5  JUDGE JENNINGS Apr15 Apr08 Mar24     (hoffman r)MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
  (by JUDGE BILL out of LIMEFUHR by LIMEHOUSE)
6  HOLY CANNOLI Apr15 Mar24       (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
  (by MY ITALIAN EX out of ELAINE'S CREAMPUFF by SILVER POET)
 
FON-2   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3 F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY QUEST Apr28 Apr16 Apr02 Mar19 Mar11 (anderson c)RAMOS B 122 5.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CONQUEST DYNASTY by COURT VISION)
2  GLORIOUSLY WICKED Apr28         (bethke a)FACKLER CHRIS 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of BE GLORIOUS by RED BULLET)
3  BROWN LIAISON Apr22 Apr02 Mar17     (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by LIAISON out of OUR OWN FLAG by MR. NIGHTLINGER)
4  AUNT CARI Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 Feb24 (lemburg mark)ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.50    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of NEVER ENDS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  GRACE A'LACE Mar25 Aug17 Jul27 Jun30   (bethke troy )BETHKE A 122 12.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of ROYAL CLASS by REGAL SEARCH)
6  CLASSIC FAREWELL Apr22 Apr08 Apr02 Mar18 Feb23 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00 ★    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of OKBYECYA by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
FON-3   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRICKY MOM Apr29 Apr23 Apr15 Mar26 Mar05 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 42% 1.40    
2  CELTICS WILDCAT Apr22 Mar31 Mar17 Sep14 Sep07 (donlin d)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.50    
3  NINA EN FUEGO Apr22 Apr08 Jan02     (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 15.00 8% 10.80    
4  SEGOVIANA Apr28 Apr14 Mar31 Mar05 Feb18 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 5.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  GLAMOROUS LIFE Apr16 Sep23 Sep05 Aug15 Jul24 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00    
6  COLD AS YOU Apr22 Mar26 Mar14 Feb22 Jan25 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50    
 
FON-4   05/05/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST NATIVE CAT Apr21 Feb02 Jan21 May14 Apr22 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 8% 11.60    
2  JACKIE MOON Apr23 Mar31 Mar19 Mar03 Feb24 (gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  TOMMY TSUNAMI Apr07 Mar21 Mar10 Apr25 Mar29 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00    
4  JONO Apr15 Apr01 Mar10 Aug29 Aug08 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 1.40 38% 1.60    
5  R SERENGETI Mar17 Feb17 Sep24 Aug22 Jun17 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00    
6  MORANT Feb26 Feb10 Dec31 Dec04 Nov18 (martinez ke)MORALES ROBERTO 125 15.00    
 
FON-5   05/05/2023 2640ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDENZA Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 Feb10 Dec28 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 15% 5.70    
2  COLD SNACK THIRTY Apr02 Mar11 Feb18 Feb11 Sep04 (crabtree jason)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 6% 14.60    
3  JUSTIN SPEIGHT Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 Jan27 Jan14 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 15% 5.80    
4  WYOMING CONQUEST Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Oct04 Sep10 (chavez ve)MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00    
5  WILLIE THE MAN Apr15 Mar18 Mar04 Feb24 Feb15 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00    
6  WRATH Apr15 Apr02 Mar18 Aug08 Jul18 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 4.00 38% 1.60    
7  RAY'S ANGEL Apr23 Sep15 Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 6.00    
 
FON-6   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. BIG SHOT Apr22 Apr16 Mar18 Mar05 Feb18 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00    
2  BARTENDERS MISTAKE Apr29 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Jun11 (moss deb)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 21% 3.90    
3  L B GOLD Apr22 Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 (krause bill)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00    
4  LUCKWOULDHAVEIT Apr21 Apr02 Mar26 Mar17 Feb25 (thomsen paula)HAAR NATHAN 125 1.40 40% 1.50    
5  J TRAIN Apr22 Mar31 Mar18 Feb17 Jun11 (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
6  WANT TO BE COWBOY Apr22 Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Mar05 (dieter dalt)MORALES ROBERTO 125 12.00 9% 10.00    
7  PAISANO JIM Apr22 Mar31 Mar19 Mar05 Feb11 (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 2.50 10% 9.50    
 
FON-7   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUALITY BOW Apr30 Apr16 Apr01 Mar25 Feb02 (castillo sa)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 10% 9.20    
2  PRAIRIE FIREBALL Mar24 Mar11 Feb24 Feb10 Jul22 (lemburg mark)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00    
3  RETRO RITA Apr23 Apr07 Mar24 Mar11 Feb24 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.50 ★    
4  RABBIT TWENTY TWO Apr16 Mar31 Mar11 Feb25 Jun12 (rivera gregorio )MARTINEZ A 125 5.00    
SCR  BOUJEE BRITT Apr26 Apr10 Mar13     (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
6  FLYWHEEL EFFECT Apr22 Apr08 Mar18     (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 54% 0.80    
7  ANGIE'S REVRAC Mar24 Mar11 Sep26 Sep13 Sep05 (muckey john)BETHKE A 125 8.00 7% 13.00    
8  EVIE Apr29 Apr16 Mar30 Mar16 Feb08 (ibanez al)MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00    
9  POPS GIRL ALEXA Apr23 Apr16 Apr01 Mar19 Feb25 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.