Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Thursday - April 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (1/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/4)-(2/7/5)-(6/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-2   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(6/2/3)-(3/4/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(3/4/8/2)-(2/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (3/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/2)-(3/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8/2)-(2/3/5)-(5/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-5   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(5/7/3)-(7/3/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-6   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(7/3/4/5)-(2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-7   WIN (7/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-8   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD BEHAVIOR Feb20 Feb05 Dec31 Nov27 Oct27 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 2.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  BAPTIZE THE BOY Mar25 Mar04 Feb10 Jan06 Oct08 (howard da)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
3  MILITARY HOP Mar03 Feb06 Jan11 Dec21 Mar25 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 16% 5.50    
4  SPRING THE BEAST Mar17 Mar05 Feb12 Jan27 Jan16 (pickett crystal )CRUZ ANGEL 123 5.00 7% 13.00    
5  FLAMING EAST Mar26 Feb20 Jan21 Jan01 Dec11 (gaudet la)CARRASCO R 123 3.00    
6  PRESSING CONCERN Mar25 Mar18 Feb25 Feb10 Jan20 (mohan davi)RIVERA R 116 20.00    
7  JIMMY THE KID Mar25 Mar03 Feb20 Feb03 Jan28 (nazario)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 6.00 8% 12.20    
 
LRL-2   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T TELL DEREN Mar17 Feb20 Jan08 Dec16 Nov25 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 5.00 ★    
2  FANCEE GRACE C Feb17 Dec16 Nov25 Oct12 Sep07 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 1.40 42% 1.40    
SCR  HEARDITALL Apr01 Feb05 Jan28 Oct13 Sep30 (dove j)LEWIS M 114 50.00    
4  OJITOS BELLOS Mar31 Mar17 Feb17 Feb05 Jan28 (serey mar)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 20.00    
5  IRISH LACE Mar17 Mar11 Feb04 Jan21   (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 11% 7.80    
6  VEGAS WILD CAT Mar17 Feb20 Jan10 Dec18 Nov14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 20.00    
7  COCKTAIL DREAMING Mar17 Jan20 Jan06 Dec16 Nov19 (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.00 20% 4.10    
 
LRL-3   04/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Mar31 Mar10 Feb25 Feb11 Feb02 (serey mari)RIVERA R 117 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of STUDY HARD by MALIBU MOON)
2  GOODAFTERNOONOSCAR Mar11 Feb19 Jan27 Dec10   (mancilla ca)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of GREAT HOSTESS by GREAT NOTION)
3  SHERIFF RONNIE Mar19 Mar04 Feb10 Jan27   (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of HEART LAKE by UNBRIDLED)
4  PORCH SWING Mar19 Aug17       (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 4.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of SITTIN' N' SIPPIN by STRAIGHT TALKING)
SCR  FIERCE AND STRONG Mar31 Mar02 Feb10 Jan02 Oct18 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 15.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DOUBLECLICKDAMOUSE by POINT OF ENTRY)
6  LANGLEE AVENUE         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 1.20 36% 1.80    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ELRAAZY by MALIBU MOON)
 
LRL-4   04/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANATH Mar19 Feb25 Feb12 Jan22 Jan15 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 117 15.00    
2  MISS CHAMITA Mar19 Feb25 Feb04 Jan30 Jan18 (cash norman )LEWIS M 119 4.50 6% 15.50    
3  MO FIRE Mar19 Feb26 Feb04 Jan16 Dec31 (howard da)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 3.50 47% 1.10    
4  NIBBLES Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 Jan16 Jan01 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 4.00 10% 9.10    
5  IF THEN Mar19 Feb26 Feb04 Jan16 Dec31 (nazario pedro)KARAMANOS A 126 12.00    
6  SWEET TALIA Mar19 Feb20 Feb03 Jan16 Dec02 (mcfarl)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 6.00    
7  CARROLL GIRL Mar06 Jan27 Jan09 Nov04 Oct25 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.00    
8  LUCKY LORRAINE Feb11 Jan22 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 (eppler mary)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 8% 10.80    
 
LRL-5   04/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT DAYS AHEAD Jan20 Dec11 Dec02 Nov11   (parram )ORTIZ ORLANDO 113 15.00    
2  PER DIEM Feb24 Feb05 Jan25 Jan07 Dec30 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
3  SUPERSTITIEUX Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 Dec29 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
4  BUSTINUPISHARDTODO Mar02 Feb11       (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 117 12.00    
5  SHADOW BOX Feb18 Aug06       (klesaris ro)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 14% 6.40    
6  PATRIOTIC PARTY Feb24 Jan06 Nov20 Oct23 Apr02 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 126 2.50 ★    
7  URBAN BANDIT Feb17 Feb08 Jan13 Dec08 Nov06 (figgins l)CRUZ ANGEL 117 10.00    
 
LRL-6   04/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALBERTANO Mar17 Feb25 Feb11 Jan28 Jan06 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50    
2  MUCHACHO MACHO Mar11 Feb10 Jan22 Jan08 Nov30 (perri gina)CRUZ ANGEL 123 20.00    
3  HOT N SPICY LOVE Mar24 Feb10 Jan22 Jan08 Dec20 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 126 10.00 9% 9.80    
4  SHOOT THEMESSENGER Mar17 Feb25 Feb18 Jan28 Jan15 (mohan r)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00    
5  CURLINGTON Feb25 Jan28 Dec20 Nov25 Oct11 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 8.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  GRAND WISER Mar16 Feb22 Jan27 Jan11 Dec09 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 126 10.00 7% 13.40    
7  VELVET GHOST Mar17 Feb25 Feb19 Jul24 Jul02 (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 4.50 11% 7.90    
8  ANTIPOISON Mar17 Mar03 Feb18 Feb10 Jan18 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 10.00    
SCR  EL HERMANO Mar13 Feb22 Jan30 Jan17 Jan02 (ramirez silvi)MILAN GERARDO 126 4.00 35% 1.90    
10  SASSY KING Mar16 Feb19 Jan02 Dec18 Nov23 (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 123 30.00    
 
LRL-7   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT'S SOME KISS Mar03 Feb11 Jan13 Dec16 Nov24 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 123 3.00    
2  LA FAMILIA Mar27 Mar03 Feb05 Jan16 Dec30 (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00    
3  TWEET AWAY ROBIN Dec07 Nov09 Oct06 Sep17 Aug08 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 5.00 11% 7.90    
4  BETCHA BY GOLLY Mar18 Feb17 Jan21 Jan05 Dec03 (andreadakis)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 6.00 10% 9.10    
5  QUEEN TAPITURE Feb23 Feb09 Jan18 Dec29 Dec03 (cash norman)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 114 15.00 9% 10.00    
6  SMART EULEE Jan15 Dec09 Oct30 Oct06 Sep16 (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 12.00    
7  HALEIGH B Feb17 Jan22 Dec30 Dec11 Aug14 (russell t)ROSE J 123 1.40 46% 1.20    
 
LRL-8   04/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUNNIS PRETTY Mar11 Oct16 Aug03 Jul12   (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 20.00    
2  GENERAL J R Mar12 Jan07 Dec10 Nov20 Nov04 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  IMAGINE IT Feb11 Jan21 Nov13 Oct14   (jenkins rodney)MONTERREY R 124 2.00    
4  ELUSIVE IMAGE Mar24 Mar10 Feb11 Jan13 Dec11 (smith d)CRUZ ANGEL 124 10.00 ★    
5  FOOD FOODIE         (bentley fennek)CEDENO CAROL 124 12.00 29% 2.50    
6  THAT'S MY BUSINESS Mar12 Feb17 Feb09 Jan20 Dec09 (progno chri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00    
7  MOON SIGN Mar12 Mar04 Feb20 Jan27 Jan01 (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 124 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.