Handicappers' Racing Form

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Charles Town
Wednesday - January 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (3/7/1/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CT-2   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-3   Win (4/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-4   Win (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CT-5   Win (5/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-6   Win (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CT-7   Win (4/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-8   Win (9/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CT-1   01/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL APPEAL (GER) Dec01 Nov16 Sep22 Sep15 Sep02 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.50 9% 10.30    
MARLEESBEEBEE Dec01 Jun18 May23 May11 Mar26 (bowman d)BAEZ M 113 20.00    
MICHEAUX Dec16 Dec01 Nov09 Oct20 Sep28 (clement roland )THORPE DARIUS 122 5.00 35% 1.80    
A BLONDE THING Dec16 Nov30 Nov18 Nov03 Oct13 (pickett crysta)LEWIS M 113 10.00 7% 12.60    
DIVA ROSE Dec07 Nov16 Sep28 Aug25 Aug11 (craig e)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00    
WAGER WORTHY Dec01 Nov16 Sep22 Sep02 Aug12 (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 9% 10.40    
POWER SONDE Dec01 Nov16 Sep22 Aug25 Jul21 (bourne j)RAMGEET R 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
 
CT-2   01/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3 F PT- 7:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE AGAVE Dec03 Nov16 Oct06 Sep16   (adorno l)LEWIS M 111 12.00    
SHAKE IT GIRL Dec08 Oct26 Oct07 Sep15 Aug27 (pickett crysta)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00    
IRISH CREAM         (carlisle c)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
COWGIRL SHINE Dec03 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep15 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 55% 0.80    
SUPER WICKED Dec08 Nov16 Oct28 Oct06 Sep16 (aylor natasha )MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
PARISIAN SUMMER Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 Aug03 Jun16 (keller christopher )HO WESLEY 118 2.50 15% 5.80    
GOLDEN BLOSSOM Dec29 Dec04 Sep18     (klesaris robe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
SARATOGA CENTS Dec13 Nov07 Oct12     (brown kelton)RAMGEET R 118 12.00    
 
CT-3   01/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE HEIRESS Dec16 Nov04 Oct12 Sep23 Sep02 (gazzier kri)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 16% 5.20    
MISSING LINK Dec14 Dec02 Nov05 Aug14 Aug04 (hillegass ale)RAMGEET R 122 10.00    
MS HEADLEY Dec14 Nov23 Nov10 Oct12 Sep21 (pickett g)BAEZ M 115 8.00    
ONE SMART COOKIE Dec16 Nov24 Oct13 Sep25 Sep03 (patterson kevin)THORPE DARIUS 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
SHACKABOOM Oct13 Sep23 Sep09 Jul29 Jul10 (sanchez-salom)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 1.80 20% 4.10    
NANCYSAIDSO Dec16 Nov23 Nov02 Oct12 Oct01 (spriggs r)ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
SCR  CHRISTINE'S COSMO Jan07 Nov30 Oct22 Sep28 May25 (shanley timoth)LEWIS M 113 20.00    
PROMINENT HENNY Dec14 Nov21 Oct26 Oct03 Sep18 (baird michael)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00 7% 12.60    
 
CT-4   01/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A GIRL HAS A NAME         (davis rus)NUNEZ ANAHI 123 8.00    
PHANTOM QUEEN Dec15         (greaves vernon)THORPE DARIUS 123 20.00    
BLUE MOUNTAIN Dec15 Nov24       (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 123 1.20 47% 1.10    
SHY BELLA         (rideout antho)RAMGEET R 123 8.00    
LADY GANGSTER Jan01 Dec15 Dec04 Nov24 Nov03 (kee willie )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 15.00    
JUJU ON DA BEAT Dec09 Nov18 Nov03 Oct06 Sep10 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 6.00    
FAR MORE Nov24 Nov03       (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 123 5.00    
LAS VEGAS BLVD Dec15         (walters l)ARAUJO DENIS 123 4.50 28% 2.60    
 
CT-5   01/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POSITIVE PHIL Jan05 Dec09 Nov12 Oct29 Oct06 (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
MIRACLE SILVER Jan06 Dec09 Nov05 Oct28 Oct20 (nazario pedr)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 8.00    
HONOR THE FLEET Jan06 Nov25 Nov12 Oct26 Oct12 (rawlings)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50 18% 4.40    
ONE TWO KID Jan14 Dec09 Nov14 Nov07 Oct28 (serey jr)WHITACRE GRANT 120 10.00    
JAMMIN JIMTOWN Dec09 Oct29 Oct06 Aug27 Jul14 (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
NORTHERN RIDGE Dec14 Oct29 Oct06 Sep29 Aug20 (johnson r)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00    
ANTIPOISON Jan06 Dec14 Nov25 Nov14 Oct28 (sanchez-salomon ro)CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00 6% 15.70    
PROTA Dec14 Oct29 Oct06 Aug27 Jul16 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 10.00 5% 17.70    
GOLDEN APPEAL Dec14 Nov24 Nov03 Oct12 Sep23 (craig e)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
 
CT-6   01/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 9:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ODINA Jan06 Dec02       (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
BARBERS POINT         (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
JACKYSINTHECASTLE Dec15 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12   (petty kristy)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00    
GOLDEN SALLY Jan06 Dec15 Dec03 Nov16 Oct21 (boggs joanna)RAMGEET R 122 20.00    
SCR  SMOKIN LADY Jan06         (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 18% 4.50    
SPARKLEINYOUREYE Dec15 Nov24 Nov11     (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50    
AMELIA'S DREAM Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 Sep17 Sep02 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 2.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  S S FRONTIER ANGEL Jan06         (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00    
NO DENYING DENIS Dec15 Nov24 Nov11 Oct21   (petty kristy)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00    
 
CT-7   01/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIET IMAGINATION Nov25 Nov11 Oct19 Sep30 Aug14 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIMEISGOLDEN Dec06 Nov26 Oct04 Aug26 Aug16 (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 120 20.00    
MISS CHAMITA Jan06 Dec18 Dec09 Nov19 Nov04 (cash l)LEWIS M 113 15.00    
BEARAKONTIE May27 Mar16 Feb22 Feb04   (johnston rob)BEATO INOEL 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
AZZURRA Nov05 Oct08 Aug26 Aug04 Jul01 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 12% 7.00    
SHERIFF'S KID Jan05 Nov10 Oct22 Sep28 Sep10 (price r)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
MOMA TIGER Jan04 Nov23 Jun08 May08 Apr16 (stites w)THORPE DARIUS 120 1.20 16% 5.30    
 
CT-8   01/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT-10:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY EXPENSIVE GIFT Jan12 Nov24 Oct13 Sep24 Jul22 (sandoval michael)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
SHAK'S HIDDEN GEM Dec11 Dec02 Nov12 Oct01 Sep10 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 115 15.00    
ONLY REWARD'S Sep25 Aug17 Jul13 Jun21 May27 (hurley jack)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
ONEPRETTYTHING Dec14 Sep07 Aug24 Aug08 Jul12 (smith osborne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SO RED THE ROSE Jun30 May18 Apr27 Apr02 Mar19 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00    
CATHERINES WARRIOR Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Sep03 Aug20 (straughn will)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00    
SCR  STYLISH PAINT Dec10 Oct15 Sep24 Aug04 Jun10 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 15% 5.60    
SEEDS OF TIME Dec10 Nov12 Oct29 Oct20 Sep11 (keller christophe)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00    
MARVELLA NASTY May14 Mar30 Feb11 Jan22 Jan02 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 44% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.