Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - January 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/7/1/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/6/4)-(3/7/1/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/6/4)-(3/7/1/6/4)-(3/7/1/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/1/6/4)-(4/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/6/4)-(4/6/3)-(4/5/1/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/2/3/7)-(4/6/2/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(4/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(4/5/1/8)-(3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/8)-(4/5/1/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/8)-(4/5/1/8/6)-(4/5/1/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/1/8)-(3/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/8)-(3/8)-(5/3/7/8) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8)-(3/8/7/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/8)-(3/8/7/6/2)-(3/8/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8)-(5/3/7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/8)-(5/3/7/8)-(2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/8)-(5/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/8)-(5/3/7/8)-(5/3/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/8)-(2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/8)-(2/7)-(4/7/5/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/9/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/9/6)-(2/7/9/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/7)-(4/7/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(4/7/5/1)-(9/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/1)-(4/7/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/1)-(4/7/5/1/6)-(4/7/5/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/5/1)-(9/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/4)-(9/3/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/3/4)-(9/3/8/4)-(9/3/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL APPEAL (GER) Dec01 Nov16 Sep22 Sep15 Sep02 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.50 9% 10.30    
2  MARLEESBEEBEE Dec01 Jun18 May23 May11 Mar26 (bowman d)BAEZ M 113 20.00    
3  MICHEAUX Dec16 Dec01 Nov09 Oct20 Sep28 (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 122 5.00 35% 1.80    
4  A BLONDE THING Dec16 Nov30 Nov18 Nov03 Oct13 (pickett crys)LEWIS M 113 10.00 7% 12.60    
5  DIVA ROSE Dec07 Nov16 Sep28 Aug25 Aug11 (craig e)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00    
6  WAGER WORTHY Dec01 Nov16 Sep22 Sep02 Aug12 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 9% 10.40    
7  POWER SONDE Dec01 Nov16 Sep22 Aug25 Jul21 (bourne lori)RAMGEET R 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
 
CT-2   01/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3 F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE AGAVE Dec03 Nov16 Oct06 Sep16   (adorno jean )LEWIS M 111 12.00    
2  SHAKE IT GIRL Dec08 Oct26 Oct07 Sep15 Aug27 (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00 ★    
3  IRISH CREAM         (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  COWGIRL SHINE Dec03 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 55% 0.80    
5  SUPER WICKED Dec08 Nov16 Oct28 Oct06 Sep16 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
6  PARISIAN SUMMER Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 Aug03 Jun16 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 118 2.50 15% 5.80    
7  GOLDEN BLOSSOM Dec29 Dec04 Sep18     (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 ★    
8  SARATOGA CENTS Dec13 Nov07 Oct12     (brown kelto)RAMGEET R 118 12.00    
 
CT-3   01/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE HEIRESS Dec16 Nov04 Oct12 Sep23 Sep02 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 16% 5.20    
2  MISSING LINK Dec14 Dec02 Nov05 Aug14 Aug04 (hillegass a)RAMGEET R 122 10.00    
3  MS HEADLEY Dec14 Nov23 Nov10 Oct12 Sep21 (pickett crystal )BAEZ M 115 8.00    
4  ONE SMART COOKIE Dec16 Nov24 Oct13 Sep25 Sep03 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
5  SHACKABOOM Oct13 Sep23 Sep09 Jul29 Jul10 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 1.80 20% 4.10    
6  NANCYSAIDSO Dec16 Nov23 Nov02 Oct12 Oct01 (spriggs toschia )ACOSTA D 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  CHRISTINE'S COSMO Jan07 Nov30 Oct22 Sep28 May25 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 113 20.00    
8  PROMINENT HENNY Dec14 Nov21 Oct26 Oct03 Sep18 (baird michael)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00 7% 12.60    
 
CT-4   01/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A GIRL HAS A NAME         (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 123 8.00    
  (by JUBA out of MINT TO FLY by GHOSTLY MINISTER)
2  PHANTOM QUEEN Dec15         (greaves verno)THORPE DARIUS 123 20.00 ★    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of CLAQUE by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  BLUE MOUNTAIN Dec15 Nov24       (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 123 1.20 47% 1.10    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of JAMIE'S SILENT BID by BANKER'S GOLD)
4  SHY BELLA         (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 123 8.00    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of WASHINGTONIAN by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
5  LADY GANGSTER Jan01 Dec15 Dec04 Nov24 Nov03 (kee willi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 15.00    
  (by GANDHI out of STERLINGS AMERICA by SILVER TRAIN)
6  JUJU ON DA BEAT Dec09 Nov18 Nov03 Oct06 Sep10 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 6.00 ★    
  (by JUBA out of LOCKED DOWN LADY by FAST PLAY)
7  FAR MORE Nov24 Nov03       (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 123 5.00 ★    
  (by LANGFUHR out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
8  LAS VEGAS BLVD Dec15         (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 123 4.50 28% 2.60    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of RIDDEN OUT by MAKIN)
 
CT-5   01/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POSITIVE PHIL Jan05 Dec09 Nov12 Oct29 Oct06 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
2  MIRACLE SILVER Jan06 Dec09 Nov05 Oct28 Oct20 (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 8.00    
3  HONOR THE FLEET Jan06 Nov25 Nov12 Oct26 Oct12 (rawlin)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50 18% 4.40    
4  ONE TWO KID Jan14 Dec09 Nov14 Nov07 Oct28 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 10.00    
5  JAMMIN JIMTOWN Dec09 Oct29 Oct06 Aug27 Jul14 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
6  NORTHERN RIDGE Dec14 Oct29 Oct06 Sep29 Aug20 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00    
7  ANTIPOISON Jan06 Dec14 Nov25 Nov14 Oct28 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00 6% 15.70    
8  PROTA Dec14 Oct29 Oct06 Aug27 Jul16 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 10.00 5% 17.70    
9  GOLDEN APPEAL Dec14 Nov24 Nov03 Oct12 Sep23 (craig e)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
 
CT-6   01/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ODINA Jan06 Dec02       (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of JUMELLE SPRINGS by MORE THAN READY)
2  BARBERS POINT         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
  (by CONGRATS out of SATURDAY NTHE PARK by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
3  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Dec15 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12   (petty kristy)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of JACKY JUICE by FRIENDS LAKE)
4  GOLDEN SALLY Jan06 Dec15 Dec03 Nov16 Oct21 (boggs joann)RAMGEET R 122 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of FOR SALLY by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  SMOKIN LADY Jan06         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 18% 4.50    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of PRINCESS KENDRA by BENCHMARK)
6  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Dec15 Nov24 Nov11     (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 ★    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of LUCKY CANDY by LUFTIKUS)
7  AMELIA'S DREAM Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 Sep17 Sep02 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 2.00 22% 3.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DAYLIGHT'S COMING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  S S FRONTIER ANGEL Jan06         (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of HONKY TONK ANGEL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
9  NO DENYING DENIS Dec15 Nov24 Nov11 Oct21   (petty kristy)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 ★    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of WON'T BE DENIED by WINDSOR CASTLE)
 
CT-7   01/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUIET IMAGINATION Nov25 Nov11 Oct19 Sep30 Aug14 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIMEISGOLDEN Dec06 Nov26 Oct04 Aug26 Aug16 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 20.00    
3  MISS CHAMITA Jan06 Dec18 Dec09 Nov19 Nov04 (cash norman )LEWIS M 113 15.00    
4  BEARAKONTIE May27 Mar16 Feb22 Feb04   (johnston rob)BEATO INOEL 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
5  AZZURRA Nov05 Oct08 Aug26 Aug04 Jul01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 12% 7.00    
6  SHERIFF'S KID Jan05 Nov10 Oct22 Sep28 Sep10 (price r)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00 ★    
7  MOMA TIGER Jan04 Nov23 Jun08 May08 Apr16 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 1.20 16% 5.30    
 
CT-8   01/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY EXPENSIVE GIFT Jan12 Nov24 Oct13 Sep24 Jul22 (sandoval michae)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
2  SHAK'S HIDDEN GEM Dec11 Dec02 Nov12 Oct01 Sep10 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 115 15.00    
3  ONLY REWARD'S Sep25 Aug17 Jul13 Jun21 May27 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
4  ONEPRETTYTHING Dec14 Sep07 Aug24 Aug08 Jul12 (smith osbor)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SO RED THE ROSE Jun30 May18 Apr27 Apr02 Mar19 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00    
6  CATHERINES WARRIOR Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Sep03 Aug20 (straughn wi)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00    
SCR  STYLISH PAINT Dec10 Oct15 Sep24 Aug04 Jun10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 15% 5.60    
8  SEEDS OF TIME Dec10 Nov12 Oct29 Oct20 Sep11 (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 ★    
9  MARVELLA NASTY May14 Mar30 Feb11 Jan22 Jan02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 44% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.