Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Sunday - January 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (3/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/4)-(3/6/2/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/4)-(3/6/2/4/1)-(3/6/2/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/2/4)-(2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/4)-(2/1/6)-(3/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-3   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/4/5)-(2/1/6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(3/6/4)-(4/5/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-4   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/1/2)-(3/6/4/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(4/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(4/5/7/1)-(5/2/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-5   WIN (4/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/1)-(4/5/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/1)-(4/5/7/1/6)-(4/5/7/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/7/1)-(5/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/1)-(5/2/1/3)-(1/4/7/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-6   WIN (5/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/1/3)-(1/4/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1/3)-(1/4/7/8)-(9/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-7   WIN (1/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/8)-(9/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/8)-(9/8/4)-(8/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-8   WIN (9/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/4)-(9/8/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/8/4)-(9/8/4/5)-(9/8/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/8/4)-(8/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HOU-9   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/6/2)-(8/6/2/1)-(8/6/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   01/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER RULER Dec09 Nov21 Oct12 Sep23 Jul24 (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 123 8.00 ★    
2  CALCULATING KING Dec16 Nov08 Jul18 Jun24 May17 (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00 14% 6.30    
3  YANKEE INDIAN Dec15 Dec10 Nov12 Nov04 Oct28 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 1.20 27% 2.70    
4  GRAB THE MUNNY Dec28 Dec17 Dec03 Nov14 Jul23 (garza joaqu)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 15.00 9% 9.80    
5  DEANOS CAPE Dec15 Nov21 Nov02 Oct15 Oct02 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 3.00    
6  CAYMANS COBRA Nov14 Nov03 Oct08 Sep15 Sep01 (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
HOU-3   01/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALLERINI Oct14 Sep14 Jun11 May01 Apr07 (clary r)MORA GERARDO 123 2.00 17% 4.80    
2  SUMMER LIGHTNING Nov04 Oct01 Aug26 Jul16 Jun24 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 1.40 47% 1.20    
3  TEXAS THUNDER Aug27 Jul24 Jul09 Jun11 May20 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00    
4  SEXY RAGS Dec15 Jul18 Jul11 Jun27 Jun20 (cunning)GONCALVES R 123 20.00 ★    
5  LOVEY DOVEY Dec01 Jul24 Jun25 Jun04 May13 (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 3.50 ★    
6  GEE SHE'S PRETTY Dec15 Nov26 Nov15 Oct27 Oct13 (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00 14% 6.40    
 
HOU-4   01/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 45 M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XTRA SPICY Oct14 Sep14 Sep07 Jul21   (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 1.60 ★    
  (by GORMLEY out of E CLASSIC by E DUBAI)
2  LA VALEDORA         (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 15.00 ★    
  (by ADVANCEEXPECTATION out of DUBAIDORA by E DUBAI)
3  MORO NALA Jul22 Jul09 Jun23 May27 May06 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by MORO TAP out of ZENDERELLA by ZENSATIONAL)
4  BLOOD ORANGE         (h)DE CRUZ 123 8.00 18% 4.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of CITRUS PAD by LEMON DROP KID)
5  EXPECT LAVENDER         (kotara ro)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 10.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
6  TRANQUILITY         (hurley tina)HAMILTON WESTON 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of DYNACHICK by DYNAFORMER)
 
HOU-5   01/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARTECA Jun26 Jun05       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 15.00 13% 6.70    
2  ATTA MOY GIRL Jul03         (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00    
3  TEXAS TWINKIES Sep09 Jul10       (silva miguel)CIVACI SAHIN 122 10.00    
4  RIOBELLA Nov21 Oct28 Oct05     (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 3.00 32% 2.20    
5  ROCKET CITY Nov11 Oct19 Sep30 Aug25   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 17% 5.10    
6  HOW BOUT ME Dec14 Nov19 Oct12 Sep03 Aug19 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 4.50 ★    
7  MAMASHAVNAHOTFLASH Dec17 Nov30 Nov11 Oct21 Sep16 (silva miguel)MONTALVO C 122 4.00 15% 5.50    
 
HOU-6   01/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOBBINS G Dec08 Nov02 Oct21 Sep22 May20 (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 119 4.00 6% 17.10    
2  TASHKENT Dec15 Dec01 Nov18 Oct26 Oct06 (william)GONCALVES R 119 6.00 10% 9.40    
3  EASTER SNAP Nov25 Nov07 Oct07 Aug26 Jul17 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 8.00 5% 17.60    
4  WIN FOR FUN Dec10 Nov21 Nov07 Oct02 Sep19 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 119 20.00    
5  VANGILDER Dec01 Oct15 Oct06 Sep08 Aug04 (buehrer w)DIEGO V 119 3.00 16% 5.30    
6  BRICKBAT Dec13 Nov15 Nov08 Oct31 Oct11 (ashford r)HAMILTON WESTON 119 12.00    
SCR  CONVICTION TRADE Oct27 Jun17 Jun09 May19 May01 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 1.80 39% 1.60    
8  HOT STOVE LEAGUE Dec17 Dec07 Nov24 Aug25 Jul29 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 119 15.00    
SCR  INDY TOURIST Jun28 May21 May08 Mar19 Feb14 (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 10.00    
SCR  LETHAL MOVE Dec03 Oct27 Oct07 May01 Mar26 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 12.00    
11  NAUTICAL MOON Dec16 Dec03 Nov14 Sep23 Sep08 (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 123 2.00    
 
HOU-7   01/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSISZIPPY BLING Nov22 Nov04 Oct14 Oct07 Sep21 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  HIGH DEF RIDGE Sep17 Jul23 May13 Apr08 Mar17 (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 123 30.00    
SCR  COSMETOLOGY Nov19 Sep28 Sep07 Jul24 Jul09 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  WOO HOO Dec16 Nov23 Nov09 Oct15 Jun10 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 4.50 16% 5.40    
5  MRS. KRINKLES Dec15 Nov26 Nov15 Oct19 Oct06 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 10.00    
6  RECLUSIVE Sep25 Sep05 Feb23     (h)DE CRUZ 123 4.00    
7  EAGLE EXPRESS Sep02 Jul22 May22 Apr29 Mar26 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 14% 6.10    
8  DIAMONDS N ACES Jul04 Jun05 May22 May07 Mar26 (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-8   01/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHUY GARZA Y. G. Nov30 Nov05 Sep21 Aug27 Jul17 (mendoza edg)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00    
SCR  HULLINAHURRY Nov12 Oct15 Sep15     (diodoro)GONCALVES R 122 8.00    
SCR  TIZ THE BIG ONE Nov22 Nov05 Oct08 Sep08 Jun26 (alberto antoni)BACA L 122 10.00    
4  B W P SPIRIT Sep08 Jul03 Jun10     (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 12.00 6% 15.40    
5  MONEY RUN Dec17 Nov21 Oct28 Oct02 Aug19 (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 122 2.50 ★    
SCR  ALTO ROAD Dec26 Dec09 Oct28 Jul17 Jul03 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  AARON'S SPIRIT Dec16 Nov22 Nov05 Oct21 Sep15 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 122 8.00    
8  VILLAGE WAY Sep08 Jul17 May20     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 12.00 13% 6.80    
9  CROOKED FELLOW Dec07         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  RANGER REX Dec14 Nov05 Sep17     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 15.00    
 
HOU-9   01/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPERLE Nov03 Sep05 Aug17 Aug02 Jun24 (rossi j)LUZZI J 123 6.00 ★    
2  RESOLVE NOW Dec14 Nov18 Nov03 Oct14 Sep22 (eoff terry)MONTALVO C 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHROME BABY Dec16 Dec01 Nov04 Oct07 Sep03 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 2.00 29% 2.40    
4  HAPPY ROMANCE (IRE) Dec03 Nov03 Oct19 Sep17 Aug26 (buehrer mar)HAMILTON WESTON null      
5  FEDERAL HILL (ARG) Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 Jul22 Jun26 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 123 8.00    
6  OLD SOT Nov27 Oct26 Sep26 Sep05 Aug19 (g)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 17% 4.90    
7  MANOR BORN Nov03 Oct05 Sep24 Sep03 Jul10 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00    
8  MOUNTAIN BREEZE (IRE) Nov03 Oct22 Oct05 Sep21 Sep03 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 27% 2.70    
9  INCA EMPIRE Dec17 Dec02 Oct28 Oct01 May24 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 123 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.