Handicappers' Racing Form
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Finger Lakes
Monday - November 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
FL-1   11/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNFLAPPABLE MAX Oct03 Sep05 Aug10 Jul25 Jul11 (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 3.00 30% 2.40    
1A  KHOZANDO Oct24 Jan23 Jan15     (ferraro antho)NAVARRO KEVIN 113 3.00    
2  SMOOTH OPERATION Sep26 Sep07 Aug10 Jul14 Jun21 (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 113 6.00    
3  OUR MAN MIKE Oct24 Oct05 Sep07 Aug24 Aug08 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 117 1.60 31% 2.30    
4  PREPARE FOR GLORY Oct05 Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 Jun27 (lecesse m)NAVARRO J 117 8.00 ★    
5  FIRST DEPUTY Oct03 Sep17 Aug10 Jul26 Jun01 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 2.50 11% 8.00    
6  PARADE FIELD Oct24 Oct12 Sep27 Aug22 Aug05 (lecesse mi)DAVIS A 120 10.00 8% 10.90    
 
FL-2   11/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.6K) 2 ALL PT-12:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE MILTIE Oct19         (ferraro michael)COA J 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  GOLD TEMPLAR Oct25 Oct04       (falk jacqueline)PIERMARINI T 121 2.50 18% 4.50    
3  HUTCH Oct17 Sep21 Sep05     (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 1.40 47% 1.10    
4  CHARLIES MEDAL Oct19 Oct04       (sells rachel)SONE Y 121 6.00 ★    
5  WORTHYCONVERSATION Oct17 Sep05 Aug23 Jul26   (sells rac)NAVARRO J 121 15.00    
6  SCHIFTY'S HALOID Oct19 Sep05 Jul02     (acquilano )DAVIS A 121 4.00 ★    
 
FL-3   11/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR BLARNEY Aug24 Jul25 Jul04 Jun13   (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 117 3.50 21% 3.90    
2  LADY'S GOLDEN GUY Oct10 Sep06 Aug21 Jul04 May30 (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 1.50 27% 2.70    
3  WOW BROWN Oct10         (babcock kathleen)GOMEZ O 117 2.50 ★    
SCR  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) Oct17 Sep20 Aug19 Jun19 May29 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.50 18% 4.70    
5  ALMENDRO Sep20 Aug24 Jul04 Jun13 May16 (ubbink stephe)IGNACIO RODOLFO 117 8.00 ★    
 
FL-4   11/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTY SMOOTH Oct08 Sep15 Aug21 Jan02   (englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 2.00 27% 2.70    
2  STAY HOME MAMA Oct26 Oct10 Sep28 Sep14 Aug22 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 12.00 ★    
3  GRAPHITE DUTCHESS Oct26 Oct17 Sep28 Sep12 Aug15 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 10.00    
4  SALOON GIRL Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 Aug23 Aug09 (dean iii)BAEZ JOSE 121 5.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  STIMULUS CHECK Oct24 Oct09 Sep06 Aug16 Jul21 (iorio jr)GOMEZ O 121 2.50 32% 2.20    
6  TEACHER DRAMA Oct24 Sep28 Sep08 Aug12 Jul29 (sells rachel)COA J 121 10.00    
7  SHE'S GOT GAME Oct14 Aug26 Aug03 Jul19 Jun24 (davis edmu)DAVIS A 118 3.50 9% 10.20    
 
FL-5   11/07/2022 5400ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($22.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALS ALLY Oct04 Sep20 Sep12 Aug17 Aug02 (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 118 20.00 7% 13.50    
2  MISTY GALE Oct24 Sep21 Aug24 Aug01 Jul18 (falk jacqueline)PIERMARINI T 121 12.00    
3  JOKERS RUN Oct10 Sep12 Aug15 Jul13 Jun22 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00 12% 7.10    
4  TIVOLI GARDENS Sep26 Aug09       (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 4.00 8% 10.90    
5  QUIET HORIZON Oct24 Oct04 Sep14 Aug15 Jul11 (cabrera a)ROHENA JR 121 15.00    
6  PAVE MY WAY Oct24 Sep07 Aug23 Jul25 Jul12 (ferraro anthon)COA J 121 3.00    
7  SEALITHIC Oct13 Sep07 Aug15 Jan20   (englehart chris)DAVILA R 118 3.50    
8  GOING GOING GONE Oct10 Sep12 Aug29 Jul06 Jun15 (lecesse mi)DAVIS A 121 8.00 15% 5.50    
9  SARATOGA KISSES Oct24 Oct12 Sep20 Sep12 Aug24 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 118 6.00 27% 2.70    
 
FL-6   11/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 2 F PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN WIDE OPEN Oct12 Aug22       (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 3.50 9% 10.70    
SCR  A PURRFECT PACE         (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 3.50 ★    
2  HOLIDAY NECKLACE Oct25 Oct12 Sep23 Aug26 Aug10 (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 116 20.00    
3  JOHN'S SECRET Oct25 Oct12 Aug22     (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00 ★    
4  ICE'S IRONICDANCER Oct25 Oct12 Sep27 Sep05 Aug22 (sells rachel)SONE Y 120 6.00 ★    
5  SARATOGA CENTS Oct12         (progno chris)DE EMANUEL 120 15.00    
6  MOOLAH ROUGE Oct25         (lecesse m)NAVARRO J 120 15.00    
7  FRANKIE C Oct25 Sep27 Sep05 Jul28   (bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 4.00 ★    
8  E Z TOLL Oct13 Jun25       (hamm timothy)PEREZ E 120 1.60 69% 0.50    
 
FL-7   11/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KAMPAI Oct14         (hillegass alexand)FRET STEVEN 124 15.00    
SCR  SOUL FIGHT Oct19 Oct04 Sep06 May19 Mar30 (hillegass)NAVARRO J 124 15.00    
2  BLOOD MOON Oct19 Sep17 Aug21 Jul08 Jun04 (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 124 20.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  DUCK POND ROAD Oct18 Sep19 Sep07 Aug29 Aug10 (ronen assa)DAVIS A 124 8.00 11% 8.30    
4  MAJESTIC SKY Oct11 Aug10 Jul25 Jul05 Jun08 (murphy p)PIERMARINI T 124 12.00    
5  COX'S LEDGE Oct04 Sep07 Aug22 Jul22 Jun19 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
6  THE GRAND CANAL Oct19 Oct04 Sep19 Jul05   (ferraro michael)COA J 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
7  ARMANDO'S TEAM Oct04 Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 Jun21 (acquilano james)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
8  TEXAS TOWER Oct19 Sep19 Sep05 Aug23 Jul16 (englehart jeremiah )CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00 10% 9.30    
9  BELLAGIO Oct19 Sep06 Aug08 Jul04 Jun13 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 4.00    
 
FL-8   11/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITT LASTING SPEED Oct24         (progno s)FRET STEVEN 124 20.00    
SCR  COUNT ON FRIENDS Oct26 Oct10 Aug08     (progno mi)NAVARRO J 124 20.00    
2  CRICKET WEST Oct09 Mar25 Feb12 Jan01   (englehart jeremiah )CRUZ JOEL 121 8.00 ★    
3  IN TRAFFIC Oct13         (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00 21% 3.80    
4  STAR SPEAKER Oct10         (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 15.00    
5  JACKSON AVENUE Oct24         (breed rona)DAVIS A 121 4.00 ★    
SCR  ULTIMA COPA Feb27 Jan19       (clement christophe)PEREZ E 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
7  MOTLEY SUE Oct10         (englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
8  RACING QUEEN Oct20 Oct10 Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 (huertas nirka)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 15.00    
9  MTOTHEFIFTHPOWER         (sells rachel)COA J 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.